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CATL Expects Oceanic Electric Ships in 3 Years

rgmerk

OK, I did some calculations based on:

* a 5,000 km electric range. * 40MW continuous power requirement for a 21.5 knot cruise speed[1] for a 14000 teu container vessel: * the size and weight capacity for the batteries being the same as the fuel capacity for a 14000 teu container vessel (taking the upper figure from [2]) * the battery pack having similar gravimetric (weight) and volumetric(size) energy density as this battery pack in a modern Chinese NMC EV pack[3]

The short version is that the battery vessel would require about 25,000 tonnes of batteries for a 5,000km range under those assumptions, which compares to the current fuel capacity of approximately 13,000 tonnes. Volumetrically, it's even closer - about 17,000 cubic metres, compared to about 13,000 for the bunker fuel.

Furthermore, it's worth considering just how much cargo the ship carries. One teu corresponds to about 33 cubic metres of cargo space (not counting the space taken up by the walls of the container), so the ship can carry about 462,000 cubic metres of cargo. So the additional space required to carry an additional 3,500-odd cubic metres of batteries corresponds to only about 0.8% of the ship's total cargo-carrying capacity.

I was surprised at just how doable this is, to be honest. What threw me is just how much bunker fuel ships can carry; if I'm doing the sums right, a ship like this can carry enough fuel to circumnavigate the globe a couple of times over. It may well make economic sense but it's not really necessary to have that kind of range to operate the ship safely.

[1]https://www.man-es.com/docs/default-source/marine/tools/prop... [2]https://www.freightwaves.com/news/how-many-gallons-of-fuel-d... [3]https://www.batterydesign.net/zeekr-140kwh-catl-qilin/

colechristensen

The recharging infrastructure for such a vessel would be an interesting challenge. Likewise if those batteries caught fire.

jmward01

I did some fast back of the napkin math on the idea of sahara solar + electrified shipping + sodium ion batteries. A lot depends on the, as yet, fully disclosed pricing of sodium ion batteries but the trend in pricing, and capacity, is clear and the price point may have already happened to make this viable. One thing is clear though, even if my napkin math was massively optimistic and it isn't economically feasible now it will be shortly and at that point energy production around the world is potentially disrupted. Ships can pull in and feed the grid directly or offload containers and onload empty ones to make the trip back for cheap, clean, renewable power. It is looking more and more viable to ship electrons like we do for oil and that is a major game-changer.

idontwantthis

That's both amazing and hilarious just like filling a plane with hard drives is both insanely effective and just plain insane.

56J8XhH7voFRwPR

I guess I want to know "oceanic" means in this instance. Is that just going out into the ocean a short distance? They mention the "Yangtze River Three Gorges 1" river cruise ship as an example. This thing has a range of like 100km. It seems we are far away from making true oceanic crossings of any long distance and I doubt that is coming by 2028.

Animats

East Asia has extensive coastal medium-distance trade. There are so many islands and island nations. That's oceanic trade, but not transatlantic or trans-pacific long hauls.

antonkochubey

Those small islands also don’t have any infrastructure to recharge such ships. The small ones often struggle even to serve their own needs.

ta9000

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mcculley

I am very skeptical. Battery tech is still far away from the energy density of diesel fuel. How far could an electric ship go and what could it carry?

jacquesm

There are multiple electric ferries already in operation:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MV_Ampere

They are quite impressive but they are still very far away from your average ocean going cargo vessel.

toast0

Electrifying ferries is great, but this particular one has a run time of 20 minutes (and a charge time of 10 minutes). I get a totally different vibe from 'oceanic ship' than a 20 minute ferry ride.

Near me, we now have a hybrid ferry, no charging infrastructure, but it still uses much less fuel than before it was refit, so that's cool too. It's bigger than the one you linked and sails on a longer route: 2,499 passengers, 202 vehicles, typically serves an 8.6 mile route.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MV_Wenatchee

hn12

... and energy densities of batteries will _stay_ well below that of tanks of hydrocarbons, as https://web.archive.org/web/20130204210054/http://h30565.www... explains.

scythe

Depends on the current fuel-to-payload ratio of the diesel ships. If it's 3% and batteries would push it to 10%, it's not a huge problem. But if it's 15% and batteries would push it to 50% you're losing a lot of capacity.

zeristor

Cars have regenerative breaking which is a help in urban areas.

Ships tend to go not change course nearly as much on a several day journey. I guess a propellor could run in reverse for regenerative breaking, but it wouldn’t help much.

jacquesm

Ships are subject to so much drag that this is rarely a problem, only in emergency situations and there is not much that you can do to stop a vessel that weighs 100,000 tons or more except to run your engines in reverse and start praying to your deity. Regenerative braking for boats would be a complete waste.

There are some vessels that have single use emergency brakes, but the latest trend is to have motor 'pods' that are electrical and that can be used both for normal propulsion as well as to perform emergency stops that are quite impressive given the size of the vessels they are on. Typically an oceangoing vessel requires at least 3, but commonly 5 to 10 ship lengths to come to a full stop from moving forward under power. This is not necessarily because of limitations of the propulsion unit, but simply because stopping that much tonnage too fast would do as much damage as a collision would. With classical engines there is far more rotating mass so it would take much longer than with electrical propulsion to react before the beginning of the braking phase.

VBprogrammer

Pods are used primarily for manoverability. This allows Cruise ships to get in and out of ports with a minimum of assistance (none at all, if conditions permit). This is important because they are entering and leaving ports every day or two. It also makes sense as the hotel loads on these floating skyscrapers is similar to the propulsion loads so having combined main engines and generators gives other advantages.

Ocean going container vessels on the other hand use massive direct drive two stroke diesel engines (usually they only have a single engine). They have no gearbox. The only way to go-astern is to literally start the engine in reverse. This can only be done up to a limited speed, otherwise the windmilling effect of the water passing through the prop would overpower the starting air.

Suffice to say, I'd put a long bet on the overwhelming majority of containerships being powered by internal combustion engines in 30 years time. If we get our act together we might have come up with an alternative / synthetic fuel by then but I wouldn't hold my breath.

NewJazz

Regenerative braking for boats would be a complete waste.

Unless you have a large sail to generate thrust to spin the propeller...

tshaddox

Not changing course is good though. Regenerative braking is only good because it increases the efficiency when you absolutely must slow down, but it would always be more efficient to slow down less.

tmountain

Isn’t regenerative braking reclaiming otherwise wasted energy from necessary deceleration? Running the propeller in reverse would result in having to apply equal or greater energy to regain the current speed, so it’s a net loss of energy if I’m understanding the suggestion properly.

dyauspitr

Wind, large surface area for solar

Also wave based generators that could also act as dampers/suspension and they wouldn’t steal energy from forward motion like wind would (depending on if you’re generating wind energy or using wind to buttress the batteries).

Ideally a combination of sails coupled with batteries and wave generators sounds like it would be very energy efficient.

jacquesm

Solar on board of cargo vessels is a pipe dream, as is 'wave based generation'.

eimrine

Is it possible for ocean vessel to generate from sun panels as much as needed for moving? I would suggest vessels does not need scarce Lithium, it is too needed for some other uses.

themanmaran

Unfortunately, it's not even close. Maybe 1-2% in a highly optimistic scenario.

- 20k square meters of hull space

- If fully covered with solar panels, on a sunny day, you could expect 1-2 MWh (when averaging in night time)

- Current diesel engines typically output 60MWh continuously while underway.

And that's not factoring in the solar panels getting covered in salt over time and losing efficiency. Plus preventing the ship from actually loading / unloading cargo efficiently.

It's not just a matter of panel efficiency either. If we had magic panels that could absorb 100% of the suns power over the 20k sqm deck, it would only equate to about four times as much (8% of the overall power need).

tshaddox

Did you mean MW rather than MWh?

probablypower

60 MWh continuously means inf MW.

SigmundA

Your math seem to work out, but I don't like the incoherent use if energy units.

60 MWh per what? Per hour? thats just 60 MW continuous POWER or 1440 MWh ENERGY per day.

epistasis

Lithium is not scarce, and not a limiting factor for scaling up batteries.

There's more than enough lithium out there, more discovered every month, and the perception that we are limited by lithium is mostly out there because certain media sources are trying to help out there fossil fuel friends by delaying the energy interchange by a few years.

Whether battery ocean shipping containers make technical sense is a different question, but I wouldn't worry about lithium use!

jiggawatts

All resources are "scarce" at very low price points, below which most nations are unable or unwilling to extract them.

Lithium, rare earth metals, and a bunch of others are only "scarce" because right now China is the only country willing to put up with the pollution levels that the cheap, dirty version of their extraction produces.

Everything can be produced cleanly, safely, etc... but that comes at a price.

It's like when employers complain that "nobody wants to work". That needs to be translated to "nobody wants to work for the low wages I'm willing to pay".

givemeethekeys

There are examples of solar electric catamarans - but they are much smaller than a cargo vessel. It's not nothing, but we're some ways away.

I wouldn't underestimate what creative and dedicated engineers can accomplish.

rgmerk

No.

I’m too lazy to do it myself but 5 minutes of searching and calculating will show you that the area of solar panels required to move a ship is far, far, larger than the area of that ship.

Not to mention that a container ship’s deck is typically completely covered with, well, containers.

Also, lithium isn’t scarce.

Onavo

No, but with wind it's possible. Either vertical windmills or sails with modern signal processing.

Honestly DJI and Boeing should get into this business. A boat's sail basically a plane's wing, aerodynamically speaking. They share a lot of similarities with endurance gliders.

bluGill

Plenty of engineers exist in sailing who know all that and have studied this. Boeing brings nothing new if they get in. Well other than perhaps dollars, but that isn't the problem for the most part.

throw-qqqqq

Smaller boats sure, but ocean going cargo vessels? There are some serious challenges!

Try to approximate the area needed to generate e.g. 50MW propulsion. It would be measured in hectares.

ta9000

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jauco

We already have electric oceanic ships. They’re called nuclear submarines.

Allseas is putting the reactors on their vessels as well iirc.