Countdown until the AI bubble bursts
16 comments
·December 4, 2025Loughla
CivBase
It'd be kinda funny if they asked each AI every day and updated the clocks/rationale accordingly.
amryl
They do (with only one AI though): "How does it work? Every night, a script runs that asks Gemini to search the web for the latest AI news—both hype and criticism. Based on the sentiment and economic indicators it finds, it updates the predicted "burst date" and explains its reasoning."
exegete
As of today ChatGPT is saying September 15, 2026 +/- 3 months
delichon
If Gemini turns out to be good at this kind of prediction, including the timing, it will stop making financial sense to use it for anything but trading. On the upside we won't have to compete with it for jobs anymore. On the downside it will own everything and be the sole employer.
bravetraveler
> The Predicted Date: October 3, 2026
> — Analysis generated by Gemini 2.5 Flash on December 4, 2025 ...
Also:
> Registry Expiry Date: 2026-10-01T23:59:59.0Z
This domain will be the pop heard around the world
exegete
Well the date is going to change everyday based on what Gemini says
bravetraveler
I see, there's hope yet. I didn't read that close, gotta skim with all this ~value~ generation
I mean, I got the gist it might change... but I assumed this is a flat page, made once. For the lulz. Entirely missed the relevant FAQ!
edit: I'll actually check this again to see what the robot(s) think, others have good a suggestion: more, compare sentiment beyond Gemini.
bdangubic
the date has been changing for years now. one day someone will actually define what bubble we are waiting to burst and then will poke it to burst and many will say “hey, see I was right all along” ;)
hmartin
Would be awesome to have logs of the daily estimates and their reasons
int32_64
I wonder if the max pain AI bubble burst is just the mag7 being tightly rangebound for years, down in real terms but buoyed by the global money printers switching on again to repair the clearly distressed global economy. This outcome would disappoint the AI haters and the true believers alike.
jijji
you can write all you want about an AI bubble but when I can do from the command line with agentic AI changes to a large code base that would take over a year and get it done in a week or two, it's simply a dramatic evolution of software engineering by one competent software engineer
null
rickcarlino
How can the predictive market bros quantifiably turn this into a bet? At what point can we verifiably say we heard a loud pop?
I think you should have all the different models complete the same task and get different clocks going for each. That might be funnier.