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The top 10% owns 87% of the stocks

The top 10% owns 87% of the stocks

499 comments

·March 3, 2025

ookblah

I think about this from time to time and I suppose everything is cyclical in the end. Most of us would have been some peasant in the feudal age and when it gets really bad it always ends in a revolution of some sort. It's just on a global scale and timeframe now.

As more of the population feels the effects of inequality they won't appeased by just fancy toys and shiny things, they will want change by force. My only solace is I'll probably be long dead by the time that happens.

sigmoid10

The population might not be happy, but they don't have the means to change it. Revolutions don't happen when people are mad, they happen when the ones who can afford armies and equipment sense the possibility of coming out on top. 250 years ago George Washington could have financed the entire Revolutionary War out of his own pocket and he still would have retained two thirds of his wealth. Instead he put the losses on top of the public debt, became the leader of the new nation and enjoyed no longer having to pay taxes to the British for the economic output of his slaves. Today we can see the same thing happening again with different rich guys' names. But the poor will not benefit this time either. When things get bad for average people, it's just an opportunity for other rich guys to take the reigns.

wqaatwt

> 250 years ago George Washington

His wealth was mainly in very illiquid land. A lot of it was near worthless unless US won the war since it was beyond the line drawn by the Royal Proclamation of 1763 and white settlers were generally banned from settling there.

Otherwise like many landholders back in the day he was semi-broke and had limited access to cash.

Of course after the war of course he was both compensated for his expenses and got “his” land in Ohio (more or less)

sigmoid10

Well, most of Elon Musks assets today are also not cash and highly dependent on the federal government going his way on key issues. He's certainly not dumb doing what he does if his goal is to get richer and more powerful. But unlike 200 years ago, we can watch live how that stuff plays out.

vkou

Historically soldiers have been just as happy to be paid in land as they were in cash.

Owning people is the easiest way to become wealthy. Owning land is the second-easiest.

serallak

> George Washington could have financed the entire Revolutionary War out of his own pocket and he still would have retained two thirds of his wealth

Is that true ?

As far as I am aware, the money the French Government alone loaned to the US during the revolutionary war (at least two million dollars[0]) far exceeded the value of Washington personal wealth (estimated at $780,000 in 1799 [1], so at the time of his death, not during the war).

And this is not counting all the loans made from other foreign sources (the Spanish Government and private Dutch investors), and the money raised directly by the Continental Congress.

Also, as others have said, it would have been almost impossible to liquidate his assets (his lands and his slaves) during the war - the problem was availability of cash, not wealth.

[0] https://history.state.gov/milestones/1784-1800/loans [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Finances_of_George_Washington#...

sigmoid10

Your source says that it depends on how you look at it. See the similar discussion regarding Iraq war spending in the other comments.

But it is also totally irrelevant, because the point is that Washington was one of the richest people in America before the war started and even richer when he died. There is no doubt about that.

ThinkBeat

Revolutions can happen if enough people show up. Massive amounts of people are difficult to deal with.

Smaller groups you can outright kill in daylight, but better to get to them first to torture and kill them out of sight.

Once you need to kill 500.000 who are protesting and if violence to quell the hoards wakes up more people who want to see the regime fail.

jgilias

The people of Belarus put this to test not that long ago. Massive numbers of people came out, factories went on strike, even people from the military and police spoke out against the regime.

Turned out that in this day and age when the governments have unprecedented powers of surveillance and the ability to cut anyone from the respective financial system, a revolution is a really hard thing to pull off.

If the British had the kind of power that even half-competent governments have today, the American revolution would never have succeeded.

sigmoid10

Belarus had 500.000 people show up. But they got beat down. Hong Kong had millions of people show up. But it just led to massive crackdowns. Numbers mean nothing when the guys who own the guns are not on your side.

throwawayqqq11

If the power gap between angry peasants and fully autonomous killer robots is big enough, why not kill 500.000?

I always wondered why north korea is so stable. I think its a mix of military power, media control and chinese support.

beardyw

I think Russia in 1917 is a more recent and valid parallel. But it takes hunger rather than disapproval to fuel such a revolution.

sigmoid10

It's actually pretty similar when you get to the bottom of it. Lenin was a member of the nobility during the Tsar rule. He saw his oppurtunity when Russian leadership was weakened after the first World War (similar to how the British were weakened after the Seven Years' War) and took it. The biggest difference is that he had unsuccessfully tried before and was orchestrating the whole thing from his exile base in Switzerland. Hunger was just a useful tool to overthrow the government more easily. If hunger alone was enough, Mao would have gotten his ass kicked harder and faster than anyone else in history. But in the end hungry people don't make good soldiers and only soldiers can bring drastic change in governance.

potato3732842

>George Washington...

Literally all the founding fathers stood to be wealthier by getting the colonies to work with Britain than against it. Like, this is basic fucking math. Dragging armies across the economy you do business in with the end result being you are on your own and can no longer rely on the dominant economic power for protection and trade agreements and whatnot is not how you get fabulously rich if you are already starting from "not peasant".

If you want to look at them through an economic lens the right one to choose is "the founding fathers were rich enough that they knew that even if revolution was bad on a macro level they'd still be filthy rich and wouldn't starve"

>But the poor will not benefit this time either. When things get bad for average people, it's just an opportunity for other rich guys to take the reigns.

I think you need to look at more revolutions. What tends to happen is a shuffling of the people who are already on top and the "HN class" of high end professionals, academics, media personalities, business leaders and other "peasants who are critical to the system" wind up in the gulags or losing their heads because the "fungible peasants" are pissed off at them for really squeezing out every penny until the system collapsed.

tim333

>they don't have the means to change it.

They could vote for lefties like Corbyn or Bernie but they don't because things aren't that bad.

eric_cc

Washington did not have anywhere near the financial resources to fund the Revolutionary War, and the war was financed mainly through debt, foreign aid, and state contributions. While he did benefit from independence in some ways, he did not orchestrate it as a means to avoid taxes or personally enrich himself.

mihaic

I can see almost the same argument being made in 1780 in a French salon, after the cost of fielding armies had exploded in the seven year war.

sigmoid10

Because it's literally the same basic concept. The fall of the French monarchy and the eventual rise of Napoleon followed the exact same principles: Rich people born into nobility using their military influence and public dissent to overthrow a government and establish themselves as new rulers. The biggest difference here is that Napoleon came from a more modest form of nobility by comparison and was an actual military genius who rose from a low-end officer all the way to the top because of his skills on the battlefield (at least until his success went to his head and he crowned himself emperor). But he wouldn't have gotten anywhere without his soldiers.

wolvesechoes

"they will want change by force"

Won't happen in a society where elders are more numerous than young. In the past it required a lot of young males thinking they have not much to lose, but they are becoming extinct.

Old people won't revolt, middle-aged fathers that need to think of their children and mortgage won't revolt.

zuppy

Yet, my mother and my grandfather participated in the Romanian revolution, where real bullets have being shot against the people. I was almost 8 years old and I will be forever grateful for what they did. There is no other way, there is nobody else to help you if you accept what is happening. It's not on the same level, of course, but my anecdotal experience does not align with what you said. You can't fight lawless with law, but you can at least protest.

wolvesechoes

Obviously when I use universal quantifiers, even implicitly, it is easy to find counterexamples. Of course there are individuals that are willing to sacrifice even when old.

But don't you think that your (grand)parents may have been more motivated due to having children and grandchildren? Now, why an old, childless lady or man, living on pension, would take risks, especially when they lived their life watching things taking shape? Again, some will act on principles they believe in, but such people are always a minority. And I doubt people in age of your (grand)parents constituted a bulk of protesters.

I am from Poland. When mass workers protests were happening under communist regime, age median was under 30 yrs. Today it is over 40 yrs. Even excluding other aspects (like liberal ideology taking a firm hold here, and real economic growth that happened since), people today are much more complicit, and much less willing to take direct action, even if today's government is much less likely to beat you to death in jail.

ryandrake

Young people, in general, don't even bother to vote in the USA. They're not going to be participating in a revolution any time soon.

mirekrusin

We are living in feudal system at the moment. Amazon, cloud providers and everything seems to be subscription based nowadays - as Yanis Varoufakis calls it "techno-feudalism". We have system which funnels unimaginable amounts of money to few overlords, it'll keep reinforcing itself creating more and more contrast with time. Open source everything seems to be the only answer if you ask me.

graemep

People do not understand subscriptions. I little a month looks cheap. They do not understand the technology or the economics.

If you are a landless peasant you know if you are being too heavily taxes - you can see how much the land produces. People have no idea whether they are overpaying for food at the end of a long supply chain, let alone for technology.

Another factor is when you are paying for many things, its only worth worrying about the most expensive as the others are relatively trivial. Compared to housing and utilities the rest is hardly worth thinking about.

vineyardmike

I love open source as much as the next guy, but unless you consider mortgage or rent a subscription, then I don’t think that it’s really a primary issue for most people today.

That said, the subscriptions do keep growing. But, in fairness, most cloud services have ongoing cost to the business, so ongoing consumer costs make sense.

tokioyoyo

Global average age is higher than it has ever been and it keeps climbing. My stupid take is, we will continuously live in unprecedented territories for the foreseeable future, because needs, wants, abilities, thinking style of humans change as they age.

rho4

interesting take, resonates strongly with my own experience. my views changed a lot from my naive idealistic teen years.

raziel2p

do they? can you give some examples?

tokioyoyo

Think what your priorities were when you were 15, 20, 25, 30 and so on. Personally for me, my priorities have been different at each stage. As I got older, I had more things to lose, loved ones to think about, deeper connections and etc., which made me more mindful while making specific decisions. I’m not saying that at the age of 30 (current global median age), every one of the same age think the same way. But it is different than what one would think at the age of 20.

I’m sorry, I don’t know how old you are, but I’m sure if you look back, you can think of examples in your own life too. But again, it’s just a stupid thought that I live with, and try not to compare current affairs to something in the past for that reason.

datadeft

The peasant had to pay 20% tax and had free housing and food and worked half the amount of hours / year that we work. And they got revolutions. What does it tell about us?

tgsovlerkhgsel

> worked half the amount of hours / year that we work

Source? I have some doubts about this claim. Are you sure this doesn't simply measure one form of labor while ignoring another?

datadeft

Not really. Check out that reddit thread it goes into details about this topic. It has surprising details.

riffraff

That is the argument made by Piketty in his book.

It's not so much "inequality is evil" (tho he surely think so), but rather "inequality breeds catastrophic revolutions".

GuB-42

Inequalities by themselves are not really a problem. I don't care about other peoples palaces if I can live comfortably in my small house. In fact, if said palace is well maintained and tasteful, it can make for a beautiful landmark everyone can enjoy seeing.

It only becomes a problem if people are miserable, the palace stops being a beautiful landmark and becomes a symbol of oppression.

Back to stocks, I think there is absolutely nothing wrong with the top 10% owning 87% of the stocks (in the US, because apparently, the rest of the world doesn't exist...). The stock market is risky, that's really a thing for those who have all their basic needs covered and can afford to lose big. Owning stock i.e. investing in companies is also among the most best things to society the rich can do, compared to, say, building palaces for themselves.

All that to say that if some causes are worth revolting against, I just don't think inequality in stock ownership is one of them.

ozim

Absurd.

Inequality doesn’t matter really nowadays. There will be no revolution as most of people are out of poverty despite what narration on the internet is.

Living conditions as today day poor person are immensely better than 18 or 19th century peasants.

Whoever has billions does not affect me having running water in faucets and me enjoying life.

Warm water is not all there is to life but it is a lot.

ryandrake

> Whoever has billions does not affect me having running water in faucets and me enjoying life.

Whether or not people are in subsistence poverty is not the only measure of a functioning society. It's great that extreme poverty is going down, but let's not declare Mission Accomplished just yet. The existence of billionaires might not affect your running water, but it does distort the market and negatively affect how much everything around you costs, from housing to healthcare to groceries. The existence of billionaires also affects your share of power in democracy. A billionaire is right now, running amok, griefing workers and tearing down institutions. All because his billions bought him the power to do that.

You might change your "billionaires existing doesn't bother me" Enlightened Apathy if they one day kill a government service you rely on or decide your job must end because they need double digit stock growth again this year.

weatherlite

So a stock market and/or real estate crash can actually be good to reduce inequality . In fact I think its about the only way to dramatically reduce inequality.

Think about young people trying to buy their 1st home now, its becoming impossible.

Almondsetat

No, because the richer one is the more one can endure. In a market crash, the rich can just survive with their own stash of liquid money and when the time is ripe they can sweep in and buy for cheap the stocks of middle class investors trying to liquidate to make ends meet

prasadjoglekar

Liquid money is only good if the bank stays solvent. Which SVB was not, and neither were many banks in 2008 until the federal govt stepped in and backstopped all deposits beyond the $250K limit.

Almondsetat

Rich people use different banks than the general population

denkmoon

The 2008 stock market crash famously reduced inequality. Definitely didn't increase inequality by leaving the average person (via government bailouts) holding the bag.

weatherlite

I'm assuming sarcasm here. The 2008 crash was immediately offset by huge rounds of QE that most of them went to bail out financial institutions and inadvertently further inflated the prices of most assets. It may have been necessary, I don't know, but the bottom line is the stock market (and all assets generally) was inflated with huge sums of new money.

raziel2p

so how does this align with your opinion/idea that a stock market crash today would reduce inequality? more likely the same thing would just happen again.

stuaxo

Indeed, the bailout if banks in multiple countries is the biggest transfer from the rest of us, to the rich there has ever been.

Absolutely enormous amounts of money.

jajko

All major banks paid back all those loans with interest. That was actually net income for governments that lended those money. Who really lost money directly were all those speculators who had 10 mortgages on them and just kept taking more and more.

Look, I am all for hatin' the big man when he deserves it and he often does, but lets be a bit smart and not just throw random angry spits without checking the facts, shall we?

Do you even realize that during covid globally money lost some 20-30% of their purchasing power? That's real burning cash of regular folks right in front of you and everybody else.

swiftcoder

The 2008 crash was also famously centred around mortgages, rather than pure stocks

keernan

Mortgages that were packaged into mutual funds that traded on the stock exchanges.

Meanwhile, the insiders who knew what was going on (that the packaged mortgages were super high risk) insured their risk through new financial products - specifically 'credit default swaps' marked by AIG. The gimmick there was that AIG designed the swaps in a way that avoided insurance reserve regulations - and thus AIG had no money set aside in the event of default.

So when the shit hit the fan taxpayers coughed up close to 200 billion dollars to cover the 'swaps' sold by AIG that were backed by ... nothing.

A fair number of billionaires rose out of the ashes of those shenanigans. None were ever charged. That's how 'capitalism' works in the gold old USA. Always has. Always will.

__loam

You should probably learn what financial contagion is.

roenxi

In fairness; there is an ongoing strategy of printing money and distributing it to asset owners. That may also be contributing to asset owners accounting for most spending.

ty6853

This is basically what happened during the covid low interest mania.

Not realizing what had happened, in three years I went from "almost enough to buy a house in the city in cash" to "have to buy vacant rural wasteland then develop it myself from scratch."

The latter worked out, but cost me two years of my life of hard labor. Those two years of manual labor more or less represent what home owners took from non owners via the central bank.

bawolff

Similarly, the great depression was not a great time to be poor. [Edit:to be clear income inequality did go down, but poor people got a lot poorer, which seems like a pretty bad outcome]

carlob

The great depression in itself wasn't, but the combined effect of WWI, GD and WW2 was. We razed Europe rather than redistribute.

lmpdev

Only in the US and some other countries

I’m still “waiting” for the GFC to correct the Australian housing market…

vkou

The bailouts were paid back with interest.

QE was not, but, you know, everyone who owns assets or had a job turned out to be a beneficiary of it.

pjmlp

It has not been possible for decades in Southern Europe countries for decades, that is why most people live with their parents and only leave home when married, and then get credits that last all the way until they retire, assuming they live that long in first place.

Or eventually get the parents house from generation to generation.

Earw0rm

And yet there's hundreds of entire villages in Mediterranean Europe that are empty apart from a few elderly people, lots of small rural towns with tracts of empty property. Usually because they're hours away from the nearest good jobs.

What's happened is a massive shift from a small-scale agricultural economy to a mix of urban and large-scale agriculture, and the building of homes/apartments hasn't kept pace.

pjmlp

Yes, even those are out of reach for many pockets.

vladimirralev

The Fed has a few papers on this issue. Their conclusion is basically that the young will eventually inherit the wealth and market forces will force a redistribution. Thus it solves itself eventually.

I personally think that the Fed papers are just designed as an excuse to print money, but my point is the Fed is very far from seeing this as a problem and will never act to remedy it.

ahaferburg

Trickle down economy is totally going to work. Just wait another couple decades! /s

baobabKoodaa

> Think about young people trying to buy their 1st home now, its becoming impossible.

At least in Finland today it's much easier for young people to buy their 1st home now compared to 15 years ago. Interest rates are roughly where they were 15 years ago, but house prices in real terms have gone way down. There's also huge market asymmetry with large amount of vacant properties that nobody wants to buy, and relatively few buyers.

Epa095

How did you manage that!?! It was my impression that increasing housing prices is a problem all over, and that it partially stems from the mega trend of people moving to cities. Most countries have a lot of room to build houses, just not where people want to live!

So why is it different in Finland? Is there a lot of free space around then cities? Or doesn't everyone want to live in Helsinki?

nthingtohide

The home crisis can be solved if we insist that people can buy property only for living and not as an investment. Chinese are buying homes in Canada which is the reason for housing crisis there.

Gravityloss

Well, it's a bit more complex. Some areas have gone vastly up in price. But there's also been a lot of building and new mass transit projects, making it possible to now commute from an area that was a bit more complicated before. For example metro expansion and associated building.

baobabKoodaa

I've been trying to sell my apartment in Helsinki for 4 years now. I've dropped the asking price multiple times and I'm now trying to sell at a huge loss. And yet, nobody will buy it.

The mega trend of people concentrating to largest cities also occurs in Finland. The housing market in Helsinki (where I'm unable to sell my place!) is much better than the housing market in more rural areas.

kleiba

That's great to hear for young Fins - other countries, unfortunately, are not as lucky when it comes to the price developments of real estate over the last 15 years.

actionfromafar

So, are young people buying their 1st home now? If not, is it actually easier for them to buy?

baobabKoodaa

> So, are young people buying their 1st home now? If not, is it actually easier for them to buy?

No, young people are not buying their first home. Despite that, yes, it is actually easier for them to buy. What is stopping them? I would say mainly the expectation that housing prices will drop further as the economy is going further down the drain, leading to better buying opportunities at a later time.

lifestyleguru

I'm not an expert on Finland but looking and economy and geopolitics young Finns might have a massive problem with the second secret ingredient to buying their 1st home - a job. Then looking at fertility ratio only people who can afford buying housing to their children decide to have children.

nickjj

As far as I know the stock market has winners and losers.

If you're not rich but invested whatever you could over the course of your life and now the market tanks to where you've lost half (or more) of what you had then someone else is going to win that from you.

A massively rich company can hold out a lot longer than a software developer who tucked away what they could over the years. If a real crash happens that software developer just got 30 years of their net worth mostly vaporized in a few months.

How much of the population is in that category? It's the whole middle class basically. It's a crushing blow to most folks when the market crashes for a long period of time. It's even worse for folks who are already in a position of barely scraping by while putting a little bit aside whenever they can. That person is destroyed if a majority of that disappears because they may have to sell it off on the spot just to survive because if the market really crashes, you can be sure a ton of people are going to be out of work.

ryandrake

In other words, if your retirement savings is $200K and you lose 50% of it, at best you're going to have to make major changes to your plans. At worst (depending on how much debt you have) you're in for some real pain.

A billionaire with $200B in wealth could lose 99% of that and still have $2B, generational wealth that will perpetually fund an entire family tree down to great great grandchildren.

nickjj

Yep and losses are only losses when it's realized. A billionaire can just ride out the crash for 5, 10 or 15 years while investing more when the market is near the bottom. What they are investing in is buying the shares that the middle class has to sell off to pay their rent.

I don't know what you want to label it as but being able to ride out a crash and having your unrealized losses go back to normal while still having capital to buy a ton when the market was near the bottom of a crash sounds like a lot like transferring wealth to me (from the middle to the top).

suraci

not always

in the great depression, the crash did reduce inequality

in the covid19, the crash increased inequality

my opinion is that nowadays, fortune is highly financialized.

during a crisis, for most(99.99%) ordinary people who are in the market, they suffer the real lose, and they have nothing to comeback, even have to sell their assets to pay their bills, all they can get from the goverment is something like food banks, or the best situation, get a job to sell their labor

but for certain people either hold enough cash or can obtain enough cash from government relief programs, putting them in a position of advantage, this enables them to quickly reap a large amount of wealth during an economic crisis.

markus_zhang

No, they always win. A stock market crash could actually be a boon to them to grab free chips on the table.

They are only scared of one thing.

fxwin

In any kind of non-uniform distribution of any good, the top x % will always own a disproportionate (wrt to headcount) amount of it (In economic systems, this mathematical fact is further amplified by other factors such as financial literacy and leverage). What's always missing to me in these types of discussions is what this value should be at, and what the distribution should look like qualitatively (i.e. what should the ideal Lorenz curve look like).

Is there any discussion/research/case study analysis where this is explored? I.e. overall citizen satisfaction/economic productivity and how it relates to wealth distribution?

angusturner

I personally think we should resist the temptation to separate out values from the discussion. Like, even if it was the case that some extremely high-level of inequality turned out to be "optimal" in some GDP-maximizing way, the question still ought to hinge on some notion of fairness or justice (in my view).

(Although, I guess if your metric is "citizen satisfaction" maybe that's not as terrible).

In any case, there are lots of case studies showing what happens at the extreme inequality end of the spectrum. As I mentioned in another comment, my favorites come from Piketty "Capital in the 21st Century" and Acemoglu & Robinson "Why Nations Fail".

In the latter, the case study on the rise and fall of Venice is particularly fascinating - huge economic growth due to inclusive economic institutions that promoted social mobility, followed by a downturn once the aristocracy moved to entrench their own interests at society's expense. This seems to be the central thesis of the book, although I'm only a few chapters in.

The parallels with modern US politics are pretty hard to ignore though.

fxwin

I haven't read the examples you mentioned, do they point toward the source of the instability being extreme inequality, or the lower (economic) classes being unable to survive in dignified conditions? (read: can we tolerate great inequality if it comes with increased standards of living for everyone?)

angusturner

I mean, it seems possible that with greater absolute wealth people might tolerate greater relative inequality but like … why run the experiment?

Anyway, that’s the path we are on - Piketty doesn’t hazard a guess about if/when society collapse, IIRC the point is just that things will only continue to get more unequal unless there’s a major crisis or some political intervention (e.g wealth or inheritance taxes - imagine trying to get the US to agree to that lol).

Also you can’t ignore relative inequality because wealth is strongly coupled to political power/influence.

Look at the head of DOGE - he spent $300m to get himself a top gov role, in charge of regulating his own business and restructuring US gov spending to suit his own whims.

In terms of percentages / orders of magnitude it’d be like your avg citizen spending $100 for a top gov role.

Johanx64

>In any kind of non-uniform distribution of any good

Not in any kind. It is absolutely the case, if there's mostly untaxed generational wealth transfer. Imagine this - you are born in this world with nothing. And every parcel of land and property is owned by somebody - somebody who with high likelihood inherited it or hundreds of millions or billions of assets on spawn.

Now obviously, you can inherit all sorts of other factors too - like very valuable social networks and a set of trade skills carefully passed down and tought. But even neglecting those, the largely untaxed generational wealth transfer would naturally lead to massive inequalities and disproportionate amounts of wealth concentrated in few families.

fxwin

That statement had nothing to do with taxes or inheritance (or any specific financial process in fact). It was simply a (admittedly rather reductive) mathematical statement, which remains true independently of the nature of the underlying good.

My point was that pointing out "Top x% own Top x+y% of good z" doesn't say anything meaningful without contextualizing why (if) this is a bad thing, and what x and y should be for a given z.

Johanx64

Saying "non-uniform distribution" doesn't actually purvey any insight or mathematical "truth" and reveals almost nothing about the actual distribution - other than stating that it's non-uniform (well, duh!).

What you are doing - in essence - is making it sound like gigantic economic inequalities and wealth concentrations in hands of few families are some underlying, unavoidable fact of universe.

While in reality they are - largely - a result of unlimited, largely untaxed generational wealth transfer. And outcomes of other similar policies.

>My point was that pointing out "Top x% own Top x+y% of good z" doesn't say anything meaningful

No, it does. It shows just how grossly wealth is increasingly captured by a small amount of people. Depending on what those x, y and z, you can gauge the actual shape of the "non-uniform distribution" and how it changes over time. Which is exactly the point.

frontfor

I think we can start with the work of Gary Stevenson. He made a few points on why inequality is bad.

When there’s massive inequality in the system, the super rich will compete with you for resources. Resources can include:

- Housing, of which fewer and fewer people could afford owning at the median income level

- Education, think buying access to spots at top schools and the ability to afford the fees/debt

- Political power, think Elon Musk in the western world

- Media/consensus, think Jeff Bezos, and think blaming of immigrants for house prices

- In the current tax system, the super rich could inherit wealth while paying very little tax, and they can borrow money at very low rates collaterized with the massive amounts of assets their own: meanwhile some of us pay a 30-50% tax on our income and are struggling to save for a downpayment or retirement.

With the massive financial power of the super rich, it’s not so much that this is bad in an “evil” way. Rather, it’s bad for the rest of us because the super rich are indifferent to us in pursuit of their own agendas in the “cosmic indifference” kind of way. Just as how we humans destroy anthills with an indifference if they get in the way of road constructions, the super rich would “run over” us if it benefits them.

m000

> What's always missing to me in these types of discussions is what this value should be at, and what the distribution should look like qualitatively (i.e. what should the ideal Lorenz curve look like).

Just looking "more uniform" would be a great starting point. The optimal distribution is left as an open question for future research.

Not having the perfect solution upfront should not block incremental improvements, which is more or less what is happening ATM. E.g. people argue we cannot have free healthcare because the proverbial "welfare queen" will also receive it.

fxwin

> The optimal distribution is left as an open question for future research.

What makes you think the optimal distribution is "more uniform" rather than less? I'm not taking sides in this question, simply pointing out that the headline is rather meaningless without context

m000

What makes democracy fairer than absolute monarchy? You can't bet on the benevolence of the one (or few) for the prosperity of a society.

tfourb

The most in-depth historical and empirical analysis of wealth inequality that I know of was done by Picketty et al. He is quite famous, so you can easily google his main research findings.

The upshot is that wealth inequality is above or close to historical high points and that it has actual and severe real world negative consequences.

fxwin

Thanks!

gniv

The title uses the stock stat because it's so unbalanced. But to me the scariest statistic is the other one mentioned in the article: "the top 10% also accounts for 50% of all consumer spending". This seems extremely fragile. Small changes in the behavior of the well-off can have big negative consequences for the entire country.

WastedCucumber

And of all the metrics, spending has increased the most in the examined time period. Up from 36% in 1989.

jasdi

Also when scaling tech/platforms this is a big factor in how many people can actually pay.

Every scaled up platforms then gets trapped into collecting/selling personal data and flooding the field with Ads (and obviously in these ad auctions the 10% can outbid the majority so Ad prices keep rising).

Gasp0de

I was very surprised by the holiday budget. Less than 2500$ for 80% of the population? Does that mean that no one from these 80% stays in a Hotel or AirBnB for longer than a week with their family? No one travels overseas, or if so, only every 5 years or so? 2000$ is what you can easily spend on plane tickets for a family of 4.

Etheryte

I think this is a pretty good example of the vast disconnect between reasonably high wealth and low wealth families. If you're in the bottom bracket, it's very likely you don't even have a vacation in any meaningful way, at best you have time off. The lower you are in the division, the starker the difference.

pjc50

Yes? How long has it been since you checked what income percentile you are in? I would expect most of the posters here to be in the top 5%, with a short tail of unemployed and retirees.

The number of Americans with passports is at an all time high of 48%, and some of that is simply for convenience ID for internal flights.

Gasp0de

My partner and I are in the top 20-25% of Germany (looking at combined household income, we earn about the same). Not poor, but not (very) rich as well.

tfourb

Income does not equal wealth and wealth is what this article is referring to. Wealth is a much better measurement for this kind of stuff, anyway. I'm living in Germany as well and I'm probably in the top 10% in terms of household wealth, but easily in the bottom 50% in terms of household income. My wealth is much more impactful in terms of how I live my life, compared to my income. I'd describe myself as rich.

I'd expect that if you look at your wealth instead of your income, you probably come to a similar conclusion. If you are in the top 20% income bracket but do not feel rich, my guess is that you are probably in a lower wealth bracket (i.e. you have a house but still a huge mortgage on that house and not a lot of other assets, putting you somewhere in the top 40-50% wealth bracket.

If your wealth puts you in a similar bracket as your income (i.e. top 20%) and you still don't feel rich, this is more a case of your perception being out of whack. Top 20% in terms of wealth in a society like Germany by definition makes you a very rich person. But even our millionaire future chancellor described himself once as "middle class", so this is a common mistake to make ;-).

aktenlage

Note that income is not the definition of rich. It's just it's derivative. You may earn well, but that doesn't (necessarily) mean you possess much. Most wealth is inherited nowadays.

TobTobXX

Well yeah, European here so things might be a little different, but our family's budget for holydays was usually around 1500-2500$. As a result I've never travelled outside Europe. I've only flown to the Canary Islands twice and otherwise travelled by car. Big money saver. And also camping is cheaper compared to AirBnB and hotels. Though you can usually squeeze two weeks out of that budget.

Gasp0de

I'm European too, and I also usually don't spend more than 2000€ on holidays per year, but when I compare myself to friends and colleagues, I always had the impression that how we go on holidays (camping, traveling by bicycle/train) was relatively uncommon. Therefore I didn't think that 80% of the population went on holidays like that.

widforss

It's the unusual vacations that get time in the coffee break.

fancyfredbot

It's possible to stay in an Airbnb for longer than a week on that budget. But yes I think you have broadly understood what that means. I'm not an expert myself but it sounds about right to me. I would guess the fact it's shocking to you is an indication of how segregated society can be.

jltsiren

Those numbers exclude airfare and other transportation costs.

And you need both time and money for a vacation. The average American family probably can't take 2-3 weeks off to travel every year, which makes their vacations shorter and cheaper.

Gasp0de

Wow, I didn't know that! In Germany, everyone get's at least 4 weeks of PTO, most jobs get 6 weeks off.

sprainedankles

My first job (2018) provided 2 weeks of PTO, with an increase to 3 weeks expected after _five_ years. Folks in the U.S. can't quite comprehend having more than that (or any at all, depending on the job).

I am very grateful for my current company's "unlimited" PTO policy, it's life-changing.

quacksilver

You can rent the 2 bedroom house across the street from me as a foreigner for $200 per month on the local platform. It is 200 meters from a nice empty beach. If you speak the local language and are willing to compromise (alley and 700 meters from the beach) then half that may be achievable.

marapuru

In the Netherlands, a financial advisory board (NIBUD) advises people to save 10% of their income. The average yearly income being around € 45K comes to a € 4.5K yearly saving. Deduct unexpected costs + that you want to spend part of this on actual savings _and_ realizing that many people don't manage to save that much due to increasing prices + senseless spending (subscriptions, fast fashion, etc.) makes it much less surprising.

Also, Hotels and Airbnb's are incredibly expensive (even for me, working a decent job with a good income) for families. That's why i chose campings over hotels and bought a decent tent.

internet_points

Sounds like my holiday budget. My primary school kid has never flown an airplane, nor been in a hotel, but a few airbnb's, road trips. I would say it's for climate reasons, but really it's the money.

jonplackett

This guys has been saying this for ages

https://m.youtube.com/garyseconomics

ahaferburg

I am taking a deep dive into inequality thanks to Gary Stevenson. He has a lot of educational videos on his channel. Highly recommended.

Here's how I would sum up his main argument: Ordinary people have less money and can no longer afford to buy property. Governments have less money, infrastructure everywhere is eroding. So where does all the wealth go? The only possible answer is to the very rich, who are doing better than ever, while everyone else is down financially.

To be clear, this is not about the entrepreneur who made a couple million bucks and has three houses. It's about the top 0.1 % who are sucking everyone else dry, permanently: The poor, the middle class, and the government.

We need to do something to reverse this trend. And soon.

fancyfredbot

I really enjoy Gary Stevenson - both his YouTube channel and his book - but his very convincing message that wealth inequality is a problem isn't really accompanied by any particularly good solutions. Tax the wealthy yes, but how do you do it exactly? How much does it raise? How should the revenue be spent?

tfourb

He actually provides the solution quite explicitly in several of his videos: Tax non-moveable assets of the ultra-rich, i.e. real estate.

His theory (which sounds plausible to me) is that a lot of the wealth of the ultra rich is actually bound up or linked to immovable assets. At the same time, investments in these assets is what makes them unaffordable for everyone else (i.e. your kids won't be able to buy a house anywhere in the country, despite them earning more after adjusting for consumer goods inflation).

By taxing large real estate wealth accumulation (think personal wealth in the tens or hundreds of millions and up), you get the best of both worlds: The (ultra) rich who want to stay invested have to pay your taxes (they can't move real estate to a tax haven) and thus transfer part of their wealth back to society. And if they divest from real estate, it puts downward pressure on real estate prices, thus making it more affordable for the rest of us. Win-win, from a society's perspective.

Apreche

You have to raise taxes on the wealthy so heavily that they begin to sell their assets. This brings asset prices down. Meanwhile, lower taxes on normal people, who will have more money and be able to buy those assets. This reverses the wealth transfer. It doesn’t matter how much tax you raise. It just matters that it is enough to reverse the transfer of wealth back to the working class.

How specifically doesn’t matter as long as it’s enough. The way I see it, the best ideas, other than all out socialism, is to have progressive taxes that start low and have extremely steep curves.

Just one example, we could have a progressive property tax. For people who own a single reasonably sized home that they actually live in, the property tax would be very low and reasonable. However, if people own multiple properties, properties they don’t live in, or extremely large properties, the tax rate would increase and then skyrocket to the point where a wealthy person has no choice but to sell those properties or lose money. All that selling will bring down the price of real estate. At the same time, nobody will be in a position to buy that real estate except for those who don’t already have much, because for anyone else the tax will be too high for it to work out. If they don’t sell, they pay enormous tax, which is also acceptable. Either way we reverse the transfer of wealth.

Apply this same progressive scale to capital gains tax and estate tax. Also income tax, but less so. Effectively this puts a cap on wealth. If a person tries to own more than their fair share of things, they won’t make more money. Of course you still allow people to be quite rich. There will be multi-millionaires with fancy cars and mansions. There will still be movie stars, sports team owners, and bankers. They will still live lives of luxury and want for nothing. They just won’t control our entire society.

How do you spend it? You spend it on anything that benefits labor and makes everyone’s lives better. You don’t use it on a fossil fuel subsidy. You don’t use it on defense contracts. You use it on universal health care, social security, education, FEMA, infrastructure. Pretty much you do the exact opposite of whatever DOGE is doing.

fancyfredbot

Take your property tax idea, and assume you solve issues like the wealthy "selling" the property to companies who "lease" them right back to their wealthy owners (the wealthy will spend a lot of time and effort avoiding the tax)

But say you succeed. The wealthy sell their second homes with only a small impact on house pieces. Now your tax raises nothing (everyone sold) and the wealthy invest in something else. It's a marginal improvement in housing affordability but not a solution to societies problems.

Or maybe the housing market collapsed under all these forced sales and the wealth is gone, and a load of normal people are in negative equity and your tax still doesn't raise anything. You've made life better for non homeowners but you've also trapped a bunch of mortgage holders with expensive unsecured debt. That's not exactly perfect either.

It's not simple and I'm a bit tired of pretending it is.

This isn't me saying we shouldn't be trying to tax the wealthy, it's just that I'd really like to see a specific workable plan rather than hand waving.

angusturner

When I was at uni I read Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the 21st Century", and parts of his newer "Capital and Ideology" (although I never quite got through that one).

The big takeaway for me was that wealth inequality never improves without some major catastrophe (war, revolution, plague etc). The proposed model is really intuitive and compelling (tldr; return on capital has historically always been higher than real growth, which guarantees indefinite concentration of wealth until there's a crisis).

Last year's Nobel Economics Prize winners, Acemoglu and Robinson, tell a similar story in "Why Nations Fail", which I am working through at the moment. Although in their case, they seem be suggesting a more causal link between erosion of political and economic institutions and the collapse of empires.

I wish these ideas were more broadly accessible and understood. The real risk of total societal collapse should transcend any partisan fighting about ideal tax rates, government inflation/unemployment targets etc. Everyone has a common interest in there not being a violent upheaval (arguably the rich most of all).

Last I checked the numbers, current wealth inequality seems about as bad as it was before the great depression. And its not enough to just say "well, absolute wealth is more important". As others have pointed out, its not stable to have such huge relative wealth disparities. And that's before you even consider corruption.

Mandelmus

The book "The Great Leveler: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the Twenty-First Century" by Walter Scheidel makes a similar argument:

> Are mass violence and catastrophes the only forces that can seriously decrease economic inequality? To judge by thousands of years of history, the answer is yes. Tracing the global history of inequality from the Stone Age to today, Walter Scheidel shows that inequality never dies peacefully. Inequality declines when carnage and disaster strike and increases when peace and stability return. The Great Leveler is the first book to chart the crucial role of violent shocks in reducing inequality over the full sweep of human history around the world.

[1] https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691183251/th...

demaga

I would also recommend "The Dawn of Everything" by David Graeber and David Wengrow. It explores "the roots" of inequality. A lot of interesting insights there.

Pooge

Why Nations Fail was such a great book. I actually recommended it in another thread a few days ago.

I didn't know Acemoglu got the Nobel Economics Prize.

sitkack

Beware, fellow plutocrats, the pitchforks are coming | Nick Hanauer https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2gO4DKVpa8

schnitzelstoat

Given they don't have such a high percentage of total wealth and an even lower percentage of real estate, it seems this is largely due to financial education.

I know a lot of working class people with significant savings (more than I have) but they tend to just put it in a savings account at a bank or perhaps invest in a property to let out.

Many people see the stock market as a casino even though you have far less risk in index funds than you do by renting out property.

jopsen

Top 10% is actually a lot of people!

Wealth equality is not really a goal, it better to ask if the bottom 50% got wealthier in absolute terms, which the author answers in another post:

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2024/06/the-bottom-50/

Earw0rm

It also depends on what being in the bottom 50% gives you a claim on.

If you have no net wealth, but a Scandinavian-style social safety net (not just retirement income, but healthcare, free access to arts/culture/parks and so on), you can still live a good life.

"Does the 80th percentile have an outsize claim on lifelong wellbeing relative to the 20th percentile" is a better metric than just looking at bank balances.

Also have to consider age effects, to what extent people move naturally up and down through the centiles through early and late working life and retirement. Looking at net wealth centiles in isolation doesn't tell you very much about how a society works.

bawolff

From a socital stability point of view, i think it still matters. Too much inequality (especially when combined with lack of class mobility) leads to class resentment which is bad for sociatal stability. Humans get jealous even if their wealth increased in absolute terms.

mandmandam

As true and important as that it, there are more harmful and more direct effects wrapped up with our record inequality than jealousy and resentment, or even hate; like the capture of our political system.*

And most Americans have no idea how unequal wealth distribution really is, which means that those emotions are being easily redirected onto vulnerable groups by the people actually responsible for the gross inequality: immigrants, trans people, foreign powers etc.

* See, for example, the vast gulf between public opinion on issues like Israel, public healthcare, free education and housing for all, vs the opinion of the political and media class.

bawolff

> * See, for example, the vast gulf between public opinion on issues like Israel, public healthcare, free education and housing for all, vs the opinion of the political and media class.

While i agree with you generally (blaming domestic problems on unpopular minorities or foreign enemies is a playbook as old as time), im not sure i agree that those issues are based on class division. Large swathes of America seem to be genuinely opposed to public healthcare. As a non american it boggles my mind, but it seems pretty clear that a significant portion dont want that for whatever reason (i would say that similarly those other issues don't follow class divides all that much either)

nicoburns

Rough (not absolute) wealth equality is a goal in and of itself we want a capitalist economic system to function.

Capitalism only efficiently allocates resources if the market value of a good or service closely approximatatoon its "true" value to society. And that ceases to be the case when wealth is very unevenly spread.

jopsen

Fair point.

It's just we often see these "outrageous" statistics without perspective.

What has it been historically?

Are we still better off than soviet Russia?

It so easily becomes: capitalism = bad.

nicoburns

> What has it been historically?

In the latter 20th century we had 80% tax rates.

> Are we still better off than soviet Russia?

That's the wrong question (a very poor state to aim for!). The right questions are: are we better off than we were? And are we as well off as we could be?

> It so easily becomes: capitalism = bad

It so easily becomes "capitalism vs. communism". Where is our imagination to dream better?

(both are bad in my opinion, and for similar reasons (centralisation of power))

wakawaka28

>Rough (not absolute) wealth equality is a goal in and of itself we want a capitalist economic system to function.

No, it's not. Capitalism has nothing to do with equality. We can have extreme inequality as long as the workers actually get enough to satisfy them. That of course depends on many things like their productivity, supply and demand for labor, and preventing monopolistic abuses by corporations and labor.

>Capitalism only efficiently allocates resources if the market value of a good or service closely approximatatoon its "true" value to society. And that ceases to be the case when wealth is very unevenly spread.

Wealth inequality has nothing to do with market efficiency. Every person in the market makes decisions according to their own estimations of what the true value of a thing is. That's basically a democratized hive mind at work. If any individual spots a market inefficiency, they can try to exploit it, and in so doing increase overall satisfaction of market participants. This distinguishes capitalism from other systems like communism, which rely on a small number of central planners to make necessarily imperfect decisions for everyone based on limited understanding of the entire economy and all its participants.

nicoburns

> Every person in the market makes decisions according to their own estimations of what the true value of a thing is. That's basically a democratized hive mind at work

If everyone has equalish wealth then yes. Otherwise the hive mind becomes weighted by each person's wealth...

> This distinguishes capitalism from other systems like communism, which rely on a small number of central planners to make necessarily imperfect decisions for everyone based on limited understanding of the entire economy and all its participants.

...which ends up not being very different at all to communism in this regard. Your billionaires become your central planners. Except they're not even trying to make good decisions for other people in most cases.

Now, granted, power in western democracies in 2025 is less centralised than it was in soviet Russia, but it's a hell of a lot more centralised than it was in the 70s and 80s. And currently it's only getting worse.

poincaredisk

I was actually surprised it's this high (more equal than I expected). But then I clicked the article and of course the title failed to mention that it's top 10% in the US

pembrook

Any system that allows humans agency will end up with a Pareto-style distribution in that thing (non-linear). Doesn’t matter if it’s wealth, HN upvotes, Crime, Traffic accidents, Productivity, Tetris scores, academic papers published, etc.

As for the slight drift in US wealth distribution since 1980, it’s wholly explained by the change in age demographics. Since 1980 we’ve gone from a nation of people 30 years old to 40 years old. 10 years is a lot of time when it comes to compounding returns on productive assets (stocks, etc). Due to compounding, wealth held by each age group also gets more Pareto-extreme heading into retirement age.

Adjust that out, and this is mostly a nothing burger. But emotionally people don’t feel that way so nothing I say will change that. Narrative zeitgeist always wins over objective reality.

Average Americans are wealthier than they've ever been. Another chart to drive this home, the percentage of Americans who have a passport since 1989 (Note, this is also influenced by age demographics, but not as dramatically as wealth): https://www.statista.com/statistics/804430/us-citzens-owning...

ahaferburg

It's not a slight drift, it's a massive change since the 1950's.

Looking at averages is completely irrelevant when talking about inequality.

Here's a video from 12 years ago: Wealth Inequality in America https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPKKQnijnsM

flexie

Top 10 percent of who?

According to this source, 40 percent of US stock is owned by foreigners: https://taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/who-owns-us-stock-foreign...