Boring Is Good

I think this is, essentially, a wishful take. The biggest barrier to models being able to do more advanced knowledge work is creating appropriately annotated training data, followed by a few specific technical improvements the labs are working on. Models have already nearly maxed out "work on a well-defined puzzle that can be feasibly solved in a few hours" -- stunning! -- and now labs will turn to expanding other dimensions.

"LLMs are not intelligent and they never will be."

If he means they will never outperform humans at cognitive or robotics tasks, that's a strong claim!

If he just means they aren't conscious... then let's don't debate it any more here. :-)

I agree that we could be in a bubble at the moment though.

Great take. I personally find the thought of spec-driven development tedious and boring. But maybe that’s a good thing.

I also agree that boring is good, but in our current society you won't get a job for being boring, and when you get a job, it's is guaranteed you are not being paid to solve problems.