Has Brazil Invented the Future of Money?
108 comments
·July 23, 2025evrimoztamur
deweller
An important feature of (some) crypto stablecoins is that they function like cash.
Cash is fungible. And cash in my wallet is not subject to being frozen like a bank account.
One can argue the merits of a digital cash for society. But a crypto-based digital cash is fundamentally different from a digital bank-based payment system.
red-iron-pine
then we continue to use physical cash. a $10 bill still works when the power goes out
debugnik
I did find myself without barely any cash during Spain's blackout and that made it really stressful. It made me value physical currency a lot more.
Now I wish digital payments didn't require a server/ledger connection at all, but I understand that would risk double-spend attacks unless all the computation could be fully trusted, which we can't even guarantee for existing card payments.
graemep
I was just thinking that. He says the system has low transaction costs (free for individuals) and is fast (three seconds) instead of taking days. Sending money abroad is more expensive, but if you shop around for services instead of just paying what your bank charges it can be very cheap and fast.
In the UK we have bank transfers that settle in a maximum of two hours (much less usually, although I do not know whether it is as fast as the Brazilian system on average) and is free for individuals. It seems to be the norm globally. Is Krugman entirely unaware of how the rest of the world works?
The one things he is right about is that we do already have central bank digital currencies. Most currencies exist mostly in digital form (I cannot remember the exact number, but got GBP its well over 90%).
Cthulhu_
Exactly, it's a solution looking for a solved problem. The digital banking you listed out-perform crypto as well, and have heaps of checks and balances, auditing, and guarantees from central banks. All that will need to be reinvented for "crypto" shit, and they need to show some proof as to why it's better before they get the billions of buy-in required.
evrimoztamur
Well, I think crypto does solve a couple important problems faced by many speculative markets and casinos: Regulation and taxation. It's any scammer, grifter, and thief's paradise!
jgalt212
Truth. I think the major reason Tether continues to exist is because the USG has that place wired.
dandanua
It's a paradise for all kinds of scum and dark people, like pedos, human traffickers, drug dealers, ransom hackers, mafias etc. And all this receives a great care from the current fascists USA government, who invested in crypto a lot, I suppose.
cgag
I thought it was supposed to solve the problem of being kicked out of the banking system if you offend the wrong people?
herbstein
The Nordics also have instant C2C with Vipps/MobilePay. In Denmark it's $630 to a specific person per day. Send+receive $47k per year.
beAbU
In South Africa we've had free, instant, interbank payments for more than a decade now.
closewith
> SEPA? IBAN-to-IBAN? iDEAL and many other integrated payment systems
None of these are really comparable to Pix, which occupies a different place in the market (although it also covers these use cases). It absorbs almost all P2P payments as well as business payments, where cards and cash were previously dominant.
sam_lowry_
How is that different from SEPA?
All my bank transfers are done via SEPA, including those that I do for my business.
Frankly, I could not care less. I just type in or select an IBAN or scan the QR code with IBAN+Name+Comment+Amount+Currency
closewith
A vanishingly small number of people split bills, pay for chewing gum, etc with SEPA. Third parties including credit/debit cards and Revolut dominate (with their proprietary P2P payments) in the EU.
It simply occupies a different market space and mindshare than Pix.
kjksf
I would expect a Nobel prize winner, MIT and Princeton professor and New York Times contributor to be able to construct proper arguments not emotional outbursts:
> Republicans say that they’re worried about invasion of privacy, that a CBDC would open the door to widespread government surveillance. But remember, these are the people who have handed over personal Medicaid data to ICE to facilitate arrests and abductions
Instead of providing an argument for why CBDC is not invading privacy and enables government surveillance he goes for ad-hominem of "they're bad and don't care about what they say they care about".
I don't need Republicans to care about privacy. CBDC would be a privacy and surveillance nightmare and if Republicans ban it, it's a good thing regardless of their motivations or thoughts.
Imagine a giant bank, potentially mandatory for citizens, run by government.
Today if government wants to look at your bank account and transactions they have to convince the judge to sign a warrant.
With CBDC they'll just have this information, they'll control your ability to send money which is essential to modern living.
We'll inevitably be one supermajority away from your ability to use money will vanish because you say something government doesn't like or call a politician fat.
This is not future dystopia, this is today dystopia.
In Canada during Covid protest the government gave itself emergency powers and shut down bank accounts of protesters.
In Brazil the new government just made it criminal to do and share interviews with previous president.
In Germany they're prosecuting someone for calling politician fat.
Governments will abuse any power they get so it's best to give them as little power as possible.
Politicians love it because they love every tool of control.
I don't know why Krugman loves it but you should be against it.
Sending money is not a problem and it doesn't need government to provide a "solution".
throw0101d
> I would expect a Nobel prize winner, MIT and Princeton professor and New York Times contributor to be able to construct proper arguments not emotional outbursts:
¿Porque no los dos? This is is popular culture newsletter, not a peer reviewed journal. He can write articles that are more or less wonkish, geared more or less to academics or the general public, as he feels.
> In Canada during Covid protest the government gave itself emergency powers and shut down bank accounts of protesters.
They did not shut down bank accounts of protestors but of occupiers. Occupiers that did not disperse when ordered and were deemed a threat to public order. An inquiry mandated by the legislation found the events met the threshold for invocation:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Order_Emergency_Commiss...
jaybrendansmith
I think we should be equally afraid of government and banks. That's why allowing both would be better for everyone.
dandanua
Every government should have a tool to check if a transaction is illegal or not. In normal countries this should be done via a judge order if there are serious suspicions. This is how governments suppose to work. And there are checks and balances against power abuse, which were invented centuries ago. If a government doesn't work like that - then this is a problem of this specific government, not the laws. "All governments are bad" is a stupid idea, intentionally put onto the masses by the current US ruling party and their enablers (Musk), who are trying to seize all the power for themselves.
monkeydust
Reminded me of UK Faster Payments which I use frequently to send money around at zero cost and typically reaches destination in a minute at zero cost to either side. Only works with a dozen or so banks in the UK.
https://www.hsbc.co.uk/current-accounts/what-is-faster-payme...
jl6
Those dozen banks cover about 99.99% of people who have a UK bank account, so in practice, sending money to other people in the UK is free and instant.
gsch1
In Brazil, you can send money to individuals, businesses, government entities... essentially anyone with a bank account, and for free. And the transaction doesn’t take minutes, it takes seconds.
grey-area
It takes seconds in the uk too, a minute is just hedging as in some cases it could take longer but this is rare.
jstanley
> instant
is a very generous word to describe banking websites and apps!
Sending a payment to a new person with Santander is going to take at least 5 minutes and 3 round-trips through SMS 2FA.
Bric3d
Well that's due to the bank being liable for people falling for scams, sadly as long as the banks have to pay for people's mistakes they will have to do this no matter the payment method.
grey-area
Sending money with my bank takes less than a second to most other banks. Face ID is used to secure it.
Instant seems a good description.
graemep
Does not take anything like that with Lloyds, or TSB, nor do transfers from Wise or anything else I have used.
andrewinardeer
Australia too with PayID/Osko
JimDabell
Singapore as well with PayNow. I think at this point, a lot of countries have free, instant bank transfers. It’s not the future of money, it’s the present of money.
closewith
Right, but only to a bank account with bank account details. You can't send money to a phone number, QR code (temporary or persistent), CPF, email address, etc.
Pix isn't really comparable to SEPA Instant or Faster Payments, and the adoption rate shows it.
graemep
45 banks and payment providers are in the system: https://www.wearepay.uk/participants-list/
Most, if not all, of the rest (such as smaller building societies) will take part indirectly through an account with one of the participants.
asmnzxklopqw
Seems to me that this a story mostly about the very long settlement process that is specific to US, and less to the rest of the civilized world.
Regarding the use of a digital currency, what Pix is missing, and what a cryptocurrency has, is the decentralization mechanism. All the ops are still controlled by a centralized entity, in this case the Brazilian Central Bank. Am I missing something?
mateusfreira
Pix has become virtually liquid cash here in Brazil. We use it for everything from tipping a waiter to buying an apartment or house in seconds.
Before the release, when I read about the system, I was skeptical, but after its release (approximately 5 years ago), it has worked seamlessly, and adoption is now nearly 100% across the economy.
nottorp
This is funny. Most of the "positive" attributes of the Brasilian Pix that are praised in the article are the same as for IBAN-to-IBAN ("wire") transfers in Europe.
What does that have to do with any ---coins?
marcandre
The devil in the details. Pix allows you to give your account nb, but also email or phone to locate. Vendors can produce a QR code which embeds the destinator as well as the amount to be paid. Pix feels quicker than IBAN to IBAN. Very importantly, Pix is available even without a bank account. Opening a bank account is quite challenging and expensive for non-residents, among others.
red-iron-pine
> Pix is available even without a bank account
this may be a big angle, esp. for lots of poor people (which is a thing in brazil), as it gets them secure transfers.
getting cash remits from the gov was/is a huge challenge in india, for example. lots of people qualify but don't have a bank account or card or other basics.
evrimoztamur
Netherlands has implemented Tikkie on top of iDEAL, which is essentially the same outcome. You link your bank account, send a payment request URL or put up a QR if you're a business. That's good UX, and it's getting better adoption.
kokada
That's definitely closer to Pix, but the advantage of Pix is because since the Brazillian Central Bank forced adoption for almost every player (not just banks, but even things like PagSeguro that is the Brazil equivalent of PayPal), so you can just assume that everyone has a Pix account already.
Last time I went to Brazil I remember that at least twice I asked if the person seeling me something would accept Pix in place of cash since I generally don't carry any cash, and they happily accepted even if they didn't advertise this.
Cthulhu_
And iDeal is being expanded across Europe; the technology is now owned by the European Payments Industry and rebranded as Wero, which will replace iDeal in the Netherlands, Giropay in Germany, Paylib in France, and Payconiq in Belgium and Luxembourg.
This fragmentation of digital payment methods has had a... less than optimal effect on European payment traffic, with a lot of e-commerce going through American payment providers like credit cards (Visa, Mastercard mainly) and Paypal. A lot of internationally operating online outlets have added support for iDeal over time though, so hopefully Wero will be deployed very fast.
andrepd
Portugal the same. I heard there's an initiative to unify all national Tikkies/Mbways/Pixes and make them inter-compatible.
null
kokada
As a Brazillian living in Europe, they're similar in concept but there are huge differences in the implementation. If I remember correctly IBAN-to-IBAN can take up to 2 days to process, Pix has a p99 of 10 seconds if I remember correctly (I worked in the implementation of Pix in one of the major digital banks in Brazil).
This is huge because it allows for all kind of use cases that it is not really possible with IBAN. For example, I just bought 3Dmark to test my new PC in Epic Games store using Pix, and my transaction was authorized almost as fast as if I had used a credit card. People in Brazil use Pix in day-to-day transactions like you would do with physical cash, so Pix also reduces the friction if you just want to start a side hustle (e.g., instead of accepting just cash or going through the trouble of getting a payment terminal, you can accept either cash or Pix and almost everyone is happy).
nottorp
> IBAN-to-IBAN can take up to 2 days to process
It's getting there. Some of my transfers are instant now.
Apparently someone decided they'll fix the existing system instead of creating a whole new system with a fancy name.
However, your description of Pix still doesn't explain the ---coin fetish in the original article.
kokada
> Apparently someone decided they'll fix the existing system instead of creating a whole new system with a fancy name.
I think the approach created by Pix is probably better to be honest. Yes, I know that some IBAN-to-IBAN is instantaneous, but since this depends on both banks supporting it and also this is not always clear that it is instantaneous (I think at least when I used N26 the way they advertised this feature the wording wasn't clear if it was guarantee that the transfer was instantanous or not).
Pix is not. Everyone in Brazil knows that it is fast, so if you don't get a notification that you received the money there is probably something wrong (it is really easy to forge a receipt showing that you "paid" something). Especially for a country that has lots of issues with scams, it is really important that the system is reliable so people can trust the system.
> However, your description of Pix still doesn't explain the ---coin fetish in the original article.
I wasn't trying to, I didn't even read the article to be honest. I was just trying to clarify why the Pix experience is different from IBAN-to-IBAN, even if in concept they're the same.
Cthulhu_
Is this transaction time down to the two banks using different systems? I do vaguely recall that banks exchange a day's worth of transactions in nightly batches. Whereas a centralized system means everyone uses the same.
I wouldn't object to standardized banking software in that case.
misterio7
Yep, that's the whole point. Pix transactions are designed to be instantly settled, even across different banks. The central government bank enforces this, as well as other rules (e.g. Pix between two individuals can't have fees, etc).
zihotki
2 days is (almost) a thing of a past considering the implementation deadline for EU member states - https://www.ecb.europa.eu/paym/integration/retail/instant_pa...
ivan_gammel
„IBAN-to-IBAN can take up to 2 days to process“
Iirc, it is now legally mandated to perform instant transfers but some banks are slow to implement this feature. I have an account in one of German neobanks, where it’s basically 4 steps: Face ID, click transfer, paste IBAN and enter the name, enter amount, and the recipient gets push notification from their bank within a few seconds.
sschueller
In Europe at least Switzerland instant IBAN to IBAN costs money. This is because they want to protect the similar payment service called TWINT which charges a high percentage to vendors and is owned by a group of banks. The conflict of interest is a huge issue.
These middle men are not needed and their fees especially not. If I taxes pay for the SNB which is supposed to guarantee that payments can be made then they should also do that for digital transactions, not only cash.
zihotki
According to the regulations, https://www.ecb.europa.eu/paym/integration/retail/instant_pa... , equality of charges must be implemented before 9 January 2025 for member states and before 9 January 2027 for non-member states. And SEPA is a euro only. So conversion fees will apply for Switzerland.
There is also another thing in the works based on SEPA instant payments - Wero ( https://wero-wallet.eu/ ) but it will take some time to implement all functionality and roll it out.
Youden
Instant IBAN to IBAN in Switzerland doesn't inherently cost money, the cost is just a cash grab by the banks.
BEKB offers a free account with free instant transfers. Hypothekarbank Lenzburg offers free instant transfers on their standard paid account.
Outside of Switzerland, instant SEPA transfers are typically free.
lazide
Also almost identical to Indian UPI.
dotcoma
> I can’t help noticing that Pix is actually achieving what cryptocurrency boosters claimed, falsely, to be able to deliver through the blockchain — low transaction costs and financial inclusion. Compare the 93 percent of Brazilians using Pix to the 2 percent, that’s right, 2 percent of Americans who used cryptocurrency to buy something or make a payment in 2024.
nicholasbraker
The first line is straight out of the Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy in the same vein as "In the beginning the universe was created. This made a lot of people angry and has widely been considered as a bad move." Love it!
mrkramer
Tbh it's better that the state controls citizens' payment infrastructure than the private commercial banks.
Cthulhu_
A hybrid (as is happening today) is very feasible, that is, banks are subject to state laws, regulations and certifications. In turn, the state, through a central bank, offers them and their customers guarantees and warranties.
If my bank goes under, €100K of my money is insured by the central bank for example.
rbanffy
And if a Central Bank goes under, banking is the least of your concerns.
GLdRH
I wouldn't be too sure about that.
red-iron-pine
its a great idea as long as the state is benevolent. MAGA showed just how fast that can change...
exiguus
If I understand it correctly, Pix is the same as digital euro [1]. No common bank account needed, just move digital money from one to another wallet from the federal bank.
[1] https://www.ecb.europa.eu/euro/digital_euro/html/index.en.ht...
niemandhier
The digital euro could be a huge thing: 1. It would free the eu economy from the hidden “credit card tax” that goes to us companies. 2. It would create a base to finally make the availability of digital payments mandatory.
exiguus
If you think about it, it makes you independent of any bank. You simply don't need them anymore. Additionally, you can use the wallet from the federal or central bank to verify your age when making purchases.
The downside might be—depending on how they implement it, but currently it's not looking good—that the wallet is no longer anonymous. This is a huge issue, in my opinion.
GNU Taler [1] for example, might be a Software implementation that can be used for anonymous transaction with digital money (without blockchain).
Ekaros
POS will likely always cost something or be slightly annoying like having to use some stupid possibly unsecure app(I will never trust them, whatever you tell me). On other hand for consumer cards the fees are already in sub 1% range. Which to me sounds acceptable.
Eddy_Viscosity2
It naive to think that that digital currencies would somehow be free of fees, hidden or otherwise. Remember when streaming services were great because they offered an ad-free experience. Digital currencies will eventually have fees, and lots of them because they can be built-in and because people won't be given a choice. It will be a worse state than current credit cards.
andrepd
Apples to oranges. Digital Euro would be a public service maintained by the ECB, not a for-profit entity. Their interest is in maintaining transactions in the Eurozone as low friction as possible, not to bleed their customers dry after a monopolistic lock-in.
rbanffy
Didn’t get much traction before, but worth looking into: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44645694
akam4n4n
i was randomly going through top posts, had no idea this is by a nobel laureate. hn amazes always
andrepd
Krugman had a long-standing opinion column. Always a pleasure to read, even though many capitalists don't like what he has to say.
audinobs
"We need more communism!"
- Standard well paid software engineer rails against the evils of capitalism
lantry
"but you have an iphone"
- standard bootlicker defends billionaires for free while they rob him blind
andrepd
Exceedingly insightful, gonna switch from reading Krugman's columns to reading your comments.
owebmaster
"We need more capitalism!"
- Standard laid off software engineer dreaming about finding a well paid job again
Hello..? SEPA? IBAN-to-IBAN? iDEAL and many other integrated payment systems in Europe allowing instant C2B/B2C/B2B payments?
We do not need crypto, the technology is here and implemented, and bank transfer fees are archaic rent-seeking structures.
Well done Brazil, wake up America.