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Jane Street barred from Indian markets as regulator freezes $566 million

cs702

According to Indian regulators, every trading day Jane Street would:

1) buy large volumes of stocks and/or stock futures that are part of an index tracking India’s banking sector, early in the day,

2) subsequently place large options trades, betting that the index would decline or volatility would spike later in the day, and

3) later in the day, cash out of the large long positions, dragging the index lower, making far more money on the options trades than on the long positions.

Jane Street can and likely will claim the firm was only arbitraging away pricing inefficiencies, nothing more, nothing less. It was just business as usual, etc., etc.

However, given the scale of the operation, Jane Street's actions sure look like textbook market manipulation. Calling it like I see it.

conditionnumber

Don't know about Jane Street, but that sounds like a general problem.

If options & futures are more liquid than the underlying, someone will be tempted to nudge the underlying.

Bond ETFs and their options chains seem like another locale where this could happen.

ivape

I have a suspicion this has been happening with a particular MAG7 stock these last few months, but I can't fully convince myself such a large stock can be manipulated like that.

Den_VR

Maybe, but given the reputation of Indian regulators I’m skeptical Jane Street’s only sin was the alleged market manipulation.

People may recall the matter involving Adani Group. https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani-update-sebi/

dyauspitr

Seems presumptive to slander an entire nations regulatory group on a single/couple of examples. By that metric the regulatory group in the US is completely bought out since they let 2008 happen.

sealeck

There's a difference between "letting" something happen and actively doing something – it shows very different intentions. The events of 2008 were also caused by a cascading system failure involving lots of different components, which are hard for a single human to fully understand. The actions of the Indian regulator in the Adani case are much simpler, and their motivation is straightforward.

Den_VR

Slander? Now there’s a strong word.

Examples of the 2023-2025 activities of the Indian securities regulator SEBI seem pretty relevant to current news involving SEBI here in 2025. Which is the topic of discussion. Whatever US regulators were doing in 2008 has nothing to do with this.

CPLX

> By that metric the regulatory group in the US is completely bought out since they let 2008 happen.

Not sure that makes the point you think it makes.

naveen99

Ok, but what moron was selling them the puts , and not seeing the pattern after a couple of days of this ? Sebi logic seems questionable.

pclmulqdq

I assume the moron in question was using Black-Scholes or some similar formula to price those options, and refused to update their prior when they lost money day after day. This happens quite a bit in derivatives markets.

isatty

But why would they refuse to? They're there to make money too, after all.

andrepd

That's not really how it works, the market making firms would essentially have to update their vol curves in response to that signal (BS being essentially just a coordinate change from price to volatility).

msgodel

Yeah that seems like it should push the premium higher. Even if it's some institution with very bad quantitative models eventually the careless put writers should run out of shares/capital to secure the puts with and get liquidated.

lopatin

Presumably retail options traders and less sophisticated firms

naveen99

Yeah, I think volatility in the indian market was way too low, and Jane street just juiced it. normally that would be a losing proposition, but too many existing players were short volatility habitually… answer is not to kick Jane street out, but to enjoy the taxes Jane street pays on the gains…

Horffupolde

So why can’t other players detect this behavior and trade with JS, removing their edge?

posnet

Most exchanges do not reveal counter-party information smaller than the broker level. So you wouldn't know just from looking at market activity the same person causing the large futures move was also taking large options positions.

londons_explore

Doesn't matter - see a pattern, exploit it - and in doing so, make profit yourself whilst reducing the pattern.

steveBK123

The other firms compliance departments

Horffupolde

The other firms are not manipulating the market. They are just riding along the manipulator.

cwmoore

Point taken, but maybe gov’s a player too?

stefan_

Hardly a sophisticated high tech HFT operation. Totally illegal of course, except in places that maybe don't have the regulatory rigeur.

cs702

Hardly a sophisticated strategy, indeed, but Jane Street was earning like $1B/year of profit on it, according to https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44483691

whatever1

Someone has to pay for the OCAML maintenance

balderdash

Having formerly worked for an NYSE Specialist firm the role of market making is incredibly important, but many large-scale HFTs today operate in ways that either stretch the legal boundaries or exploit regulatory gaps. Many practices arguably amount to market manipulation in spirit, even if technically legal. Candidly, the regulators are either too lazy, stupid, ill equipped or uninterested to do anything about it.

thinkingtoilet

>the regulators are either too lazy, stupid, ill equipped or uninterested to do anything about it.

Or it's their friends doing it and they're not uninterested, they're very interested in ensuring it continues.

sheepscreek

SEBI’s bold move, at the expense of appearing unfriendly to foreign institutions, is commendable. I really hope that the SEC will wake up from its slumber and start investigating the tactics used by Citadel and its kind.

state_less

Who makes the markets in India? Is it the big Indian banks, or do these multinational trading firms act as market makers? If so, how do they distinguish between their trading and market making activities? It seems like it'd be relatively easy to rig a market (control the price) with enough capital and management over the trading.

gruez

>but many large-scale HFTs today operate in ways that either stretch the legal boundaries or exploit regulatory gaps. Many practices arguably amount to market manipulation in spirit, even if technically legal.

Can you expand on this?

anonu

That's sort of the very definition of arbitrage in today's modern markets - its not just the text book definition of "borrow money at a low interest rate and invest at a higher interest rate": there's latency arbs, regulatory arbs, microstructure arbs... They belong to the firms who can research and benefit from them before others figure it out.

zeroCalories

Does it really matter? I've done nothing but buy and hold at reasonable prices, and market manipulation has never affected my trades. This seems like finance bros fucking finance bros, which is solidly in the "who cares" category of my life.

Fade_Dance

Trades on this scale move the big indexes, and everybody in the market is exposed to the passive investing ETF complex.

Even if you are purely a stock picking buy and hold value investor, you will feel the reverberations. The modern market is deeply interconnected, and what Jane Street is doing here is literally moving the entire index volatility complex to pick up a modest billion a year. Let's say your small cap value stock issues some converts. A hair of that trading strategy will be embedded in the pricing model for the converts, and it will slightly change the cost of the debt for the company. Once you get out to 3rd 4th 5th order effects, it becomes a very faint influence, but when you consider that some of these market making/HFT trading practices at the core of the market are so deeply interlinked to just about everything that prints a price on a screen, it should be apparent that there is value in keeping the core areas of the market like the index volatility complex as clean as possible. Now weather Jane street's trading is just Irving price differences and improving the efficient market, or market manipulation, well that's another question, but the general rule of thumb is if you're using gigantic size to force bids and asks around, that's at high risk of being considered market manipulation that is toxic to market function.

ycombinatrix

Our 401k & pensions are managed by "finance bros"

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sokoloff

I hope mine is not managed by someone dumb enough to keep handing money over to Jane Street on such a simple scheme. If they are that dumb, I need to move my money way more than I need Jane Street punished.

zeroCalories

My 401k is a well diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds, not a HFT or options trading playground.

walterbell

https://web.archive.org/web/20250519053752/https://www.bnnbl...

> Jane Street sued Millennium, Schadewald and Spottiswood in April [2024], claiming the two traders had taken an “immensely valuable” trading strategy with them. It later emerged at a court hearing that the strategy involved India options and had generated $1 billion in 2023 profits for Jane Street.

lordnacho

I'm amazed they managed to move firms. Suppose you know how the strategy works, and it's like what SEBI says.

1) How do you approach mlp? They don't just give you an account, they have risk officers, compliance officers, and general strategy due diligence.

2) If you manage to get past it, what then? Say mlp just asks some superficial questions and sees the dollar signs. Are you going to do the same thing? You have to think the compliance people will complain, surely?

3) So maybe the strategy they actually approached with was a parasitical strategy? If you know which stocks will be bought and sold by JS, maybe you do jump in first? Especially as you'll know particulars like when it happens, which stocks are selected, and how to spot them.

CPLX

As always in finance the secret ingredient is crime.

I wonder to what degree the lawsuit is what got this on the radar of the Indian authorities. Maybe they should have listened to Stringer Bell.

ldjkfkdsjnv

I know someone that made 10 million a year for a long time on wall street. They said, generally you can assume anyone making a large amount of money is a criminal. Any large deviations from the typical returns you would see in an asset class was suspicious

brcmthrowaway

This is interesting. Anyone know what they offered these traders? Can't be more than Zucks 100mn offer!

miohtama

On Indian options markets

> India retail investors make up 35% of options trades. Institutions, seeking to hedge their risk or profit for their companies’ accounts, handle the rest. Regulators are alarmed that regular folk are bypassing the tried-and-true way to build wealth: buying and holding stocks and mutual funds.

> Instead they’re engaging in pure speculation. The average time an Indian trader holds an option is less than Instead they’re engaging in pure speculation. The average time an Indian trader holds an option is less than 30 minutes, according to data from mutual fund provider Axis Asset Management Co. “If you want to gamble, if you need diabetes and high blood pressure, then go into this market,” Ashwani Bhatia, a board member on the nation’s top stock market regulator, said last year.

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/options/indias-...

landl0rd

Extremely funny that Jane Street's "elite strategy" leaked and it's just banging the close lol

pclmulqdq

Tower got caught doing the same thing about 10 years ago. Apparently the strategy was literally called "the hammer" or something that was far too on-the-nose, but it was exploiting other strategies at the firm that bought a ton in the morning and hammered the close - "the hammer" made that leg profitable.

I assume Jane Street's version of this may have been unintentional: get your big position to do a bunch of intraday trading without worrying about being too short, then exit at the end of the day. This can work because markets tend to go up or stay flat intraday, meaning you get to use typical strategies in a jurisdiction that doesn't like when you go short via superposition. Then along the way, someone figured out this options trade and didn't realize their own behavior was influencing the price of the option (oops, I guess it wasn't superposition all along).

alpark3

You're thinking of Optiver's The Hammer, though every HFT firm has basically done or is doing something like this. [1]

Jane Street's version of this was absolutely intentional.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/article/business/high-frequency-trad...

dmix

They probably run every sort of strategy available in various markets. The indian one they probably played a much riskier hand thinking they could get away with it.

wfleming

I look forward to the Matt Levine's section on this in tomorrow's Money Stuff.

monkeyelite

The alternative claim - that large traders do not make decisions based on how their activity will move the market, is of course absurd.

It’s just political. Who is allowed to manipulate and who pays their dues to be able to.

alephnerd

Not really.

In this case it was Millenium ratting out on Jane Street (edit - other way around), but now the entire HFT (Edit: hedge funds. Thanks for the callout avvt4avaw) industry is under extreme scrutiny by SEBI as a result [0]

[0] - https://www.sebi.gov.in/enforcement/orders/jul-2025/interim-...

monkeyelite

I’m speaking broader than that. It’s impossible to move a lot of money without secondary effects. Any pretense that does not give you advantages is misleading.

landl0rd

Any pretense that does not give you disadvantages is misleading. Small shops and retail don't have to worry about e.g. slippage like the big guys do when taking positions. Big shops can work out custom instruments sometimes but on the other hand they also need them a lot more, as trying to pick up adequate hedging in derivatives mkts could wind up with yet more slippage. Etc.

steveBK123

Yes as presented this behavior is clearly illegal. The next interesting question is if such an obviously illegal strategy was in use by JS, and they also produced the likes of SBF&co, what other related manipulation activity are they partaking in?

alephnerd

This behavior became common in the Indian market after the newer HFTs (Edit: hedge funds. Thanks for the callout avvt4avaw) in the Indian market like Millenium, Jane Street, Citadel, and others setup shop, and explains a LOT of the market weirdness that happened last year. DE Shaw India has been a much smarter player in Indian equities.

Jane Street's kvetching about Millenium showed the spotlight and now everyone will be getting the hammer ("iss hamam mein sabh nange hain"). Jane Street was also dumb enough to do this during the General Election, so now Indian regulators have to do something. This plus the Adani prosecution is a quick win to restore confidence in SEBI.

anonu

Didn't Jane Street sue Millenium first? I think the lesson of all this is - don't sue over your trading strategy secrets.

alephnerd

I think you might be right. It was such a juvenile and petty squabble.

And on top of that - don't make such squabbles public during a GENERAL ELECTION, thus forcing politicans to cleanup shop.

Same thing happened to Adani Group, as their scandal hit during the run up of the 2024 GE.

Now both Adani Group and the HFT industry are under severe scrutiny due to the upcoming Bihar Elections, which is used a sandbox to test messaging by the opposition and incumbents in preparation of the next General Election and other state elections.

thedailymail

>While these actions were not a breach of any regulation, SEBI said that the “intensity and sheer scale” of their intervention, and the rapid reversal of their trades “without any plausible economic rationale, other than the concurrent activity in and impact on their positions in the BANKNIFTY index options markets,” was manipulative.

I don't get the basis for regulatory action if they weren't in "breach of any regulation." Not a fan of financial skullduggery, but it does seem important for government agencies to play by explicit, non-arbitrary rules. (Or maybe this article just got it wrong?)

markasoftware

"market manipulation" in general is hard to define. The working definition in the US is something along the lines of "placing orders in the hopes that the price of the security will change in response to those orders existing, with no intention of actually executing the orders". There may be some specific regulations about specific types of market manipulation that are more clearly defined, but oftentimes not. There's lots of grey area, because the definition of market manipulation makes it seem like any order that's canceled instead of executed might be market manipulation. But in fact a majority of orders do get canceled before they trade!

So the real difference between market manipulation and a canceled order is just intention, so regulators have to make judgment calls sometimes.

Tadpole9181

Honestly, there's a good case to be made that it doesn't matter. A government has every right to say "don't manipulate our market and try to fuck our economy" and not need to specify every tiny little loophole, especially to foreign companies. The fact that they must be reactive means they are always behind, and guarantees their country will be screwed and untold damage done before the problem can be addressed.

There is absolutely zero illusion that Jane Street is acting in good faith. They know what they're doing is wrong.

After all the manipulation, all the crashes, all the exploitation - maybe it is appropriate to just say "I don't care if we wrote it down, we've had enough of this shit".

Zacharias030

What is „market manipulation“ actually vs non-manipulative buying and selling to make a profit?

Fade_Dance

Take the example of spoofing. A trader puts in a 10mm order on the bid in futures, and then pulls it once price gets near him. He then develops an automated trading strategy that capitalizes on the volatility spike in the options market when this bid hits the tape.

This example has two common characteristics of market manipulation - using size to push markets in a direction for personal benefit, and putting the bid in with sole intent to push the market, as in there was never any desire to see the order actually get filled.

If Jane Street was selling options that were only profitable within the context of a strategy that involved pushing massive size into the market near market close and forcing price down, that is likely categorized as manipulation. On the other hand, if they were moving inventory and in the process moved price, and they tweak their trading strategies to further profit from this, that's a more arguable position.

ysofunny

> What is „market manipulation“ actually vs non-manipulative buying and selling to make a profit?

directly proportional to the distance from the courts/judges/regulators

markasoftware

market manipulation is when you place/cancel an order with the intention that the market will react to you in a specific way, with no intention of that order actually executing.

bwfan123

I am shocked by the size of the retail index options traders. They are selling put options naked without any underlying hedges and getting fleeced as a result.

Two strategies are detailed with trades: 1) expiry day price discrepancies between index options and underlying 2) expiry day painting the close

sokoloff

Selling naked puts doesn’t seem particularly outrageous. About half the time that I want to buy a position, I’ll sell a series of put options just OoM until I get assigned the shares I want, collecting small premium along the way.

My “hedge” in this case is that I want to own the shares. (I’m short vs where I want to be.)

Fade_Dance

Futures index option traders are not looking to get assigned a basket of hundreds of stocks. They are cash settled, for one, so all that gets assigned is a profit or loss.

maest

NIT: It's _marking_ the close. "Painting" has a different meaning.

steveBK123

My understanding is that it is the closest to legal gambling available in India and so the local market for gambling type behavior inflates the Indian options volume.

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throwaway314155

News that portrays Jane Street in a negative light on HN? This should be good.

bobvylan

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