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The wake effect: As wind farms expand, some can ‘steal’ each others’ wind

glkindlmann

The word "rights" surprisingly didn't come in that piece. By analogy to "water rights" [1], "wind rights" are a thing, both in the basic sense of permission to extract wind power from some chunk of land [2] and the messier sense of that article: conflicts between upstream and downstream users of the wind [3] (recent article and fascinating read)

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riparian_water_rights

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_rights

[3] https://eelp.law.harvard.edu/wind-wakes-and-the-right-to-win...

JumpCrisscross

Wind rights, as presently constructed, are more analogous to air rights than water rights. They convey the right to use a space versus resource.

curiouscavalier

Thanks for posting this. Water rights and who gets priority was the first thing that came to mind. The thought of “wind augmentation plans” is fun to think about.

tantalor

From the article:

"you can't steal something that can't be owned - and nobody owns the wind"

timewizard

Drainage! Drainage, Eli, you boy. Drained dry. I'm so sorry. Here, if you have a milkshake, and I have a milkshake, and I have a straw. There it is, that's the straw, you see? Watch it.

Now my straw reaches acroooooss the room, and starts to drink your milkshake. I drink your milkshake!

dp-hackernews

I presume this is a quote from a film, but which one? Or, if not where from?

roxolotl

There’s a fun study from ten years ago modeling out what this looks like with hurricanes. Not particularly likely to ever happen but it’s a fun read. One of the things that surprised me is the authors assert that you don’t have to worry about building especially strong turbines because they progressively sap the energy of the storm as it approaches meaning the eyewall wouldn’t be as bad.

Study: https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate2120

Article: https://www1.udel.edu/udaily/2014/feb/hurricanes-wind-turbin...

0xDEAFBEAD

How about hurricane-chasing drone ships full of turbines?

Kill two bird with one stone! Sap hurricane energy and turn it into renewable energy.

smusamashah

To move forward in wind/hurricane the propellers/turbine wings need to move faster than they currently are with the wind. Basically more energy is required to chase the wind. Unless the ship drops and settles inside the hurricane, it won't work.

rightbyte

You might be able to anchor. But the whole concept sounds wildly impractical.

And a vehicle charged by a turbine can travel straight towards the wind. There are physical models of such. Quite counter intuitive. I wonder of it is theoretically impossible if the vehicle is in the air?

0xDEAFBEAD

By "hurricane chasing" I just meant constant repositioning to capture wind energy that's currently favorable.

elric

Where does the energy go in this case? The ships would have to be pretty large to have any kind of impact. Should they extract CO2 from the air using the generated power?

0xDEAFBEAD

Yeah that sounds good. How about making natural gas using the electricity, as I understand that Terraformer is doing using solar power?

The ships will get plenty large if the operation is profitable :-)

g42gregory

If windfarms reduce overall wind speed around them and if there are enough of them built, wouldn't this measurably reduce the wind speed in the environment?

And if the wind speed of the environment is measurably reduced, wouldn't this affect the environment itself?

What are the negative effects of this on birds, climate, insect population, etc...? Do positive effects significantly outweigh negatives?

PaulKeeble

The amount we can extract is tiny compared to the volume of energy put into the air every day by the sun. At a certain scale it could definitely become an issue and change the local environment and reduce wind speeds, we have seen that with some of the biggest solar farms where the air temperature is changed and the shade increases vegetation and wildlife so presumably wind speed reductions will have some effect. But compared to the CO2e it saves from being emitted its absolutely worth it currently.

grues-dinner

> The amount we can extract is tiny compared to the volume of energy put into the air every day by the sun.

Here's a study in how much wind power you can extract before adding more wind turbines doesn't produce more power overall.

At the 100m mark (as opposed to the whole atmosphere up to the jet streams), they calculate 250TW.

Total human electricity generation is well under 5TW (30PWh/yr, out of around 180PWh/yr of total energy), so we could supply all electricity from wind and still leave 98% of the "extractable" global wind potential in the air, which is itself less than all wind energy because of the Betz limit.

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1208993109

vlovich123

> But compared to the CO2e it saves from being emitted its absolutely worth it currently.

Funny. That’s a huge part of the argument made to justify that burning fossil fuels is OK. The problem with letting small problems linger while you scale is that suddenly you have a huge problem you can’t do anything meaningfully about because suddenly it’s a critical part of your economy.

Dylan16807

"It reduces CO2 emissions" is being used to justify burning fossil fuels? And is "a huge part" of the argument? I think you explained yourself wrong.

jordanb

Yes kinda, although even very large wind farms are small compared to:

1) the total height of the atmosphere and

2) other natural obstructions like cliffs and hills

What happens in surface level winds (which is where windmills operate) are actually controlled by the upper level winds. Obstructing surface level winds has local effects (these are also called "terrain effects" since this is usually caused by geography).

Theoretically, if you were to cover the earth in windmills, this would have a serious effect on surface level winds, where they would generally be blocked by a nearby windmill. This would be especially noticeable at sea where you otherwise don't get terrain effects. The vast majority of the atmosphere (everything above a few hundred feet) would continue to be unaffected, though, and would continue to be driven by ground and sea surface temperatures and the Coriolis effect, mostly.

bz_bz_bz

In terms of negative effects of wind farms on birds... reduced wind speed is truly the least of their concerns.

Wind farms do have meteorological impacts (e.g. onshore ones slightly dry the soil behind them). It is measurable but insignificant.

grues-dinner

Then again, in terms of direct threats to birds, ignoring climate change, things like powerlines (25 million birds a year in the US), and more significantly air pollution (200-2000 million), windows (2000 million) and cats (1000-4000 million) even very high estimates of 2 million a year including things like habitat destruction and extra powerlines (more direct estimates from collisions are around the 500k mark) from wind turbines make them in turn seem like the lesser of the problems.

Which is not to say it's not an important factor, especially as they affect very specific kind of birds disproportionately, but it's not like wind turbines are primarily bird-killing devices, and it's even possible they may be net benefits to birdkind by, say, reducing air pollution.

SEJeff

There was a study a few years back that saw radical reduction in bird strikes simply by painting a single blade a contrasting color.

jordanb

I believe bird strikes went down when they made the windmills much bigger, and the angular velocity of the blades much lower. Not building them on open truss towers encouraging birds building nests under them also helped.

deafpolygon

That's what I was wondering -- couldn't this have some long-term effects on the climate of the area? In its current form, there is probably very little impact. But I imagine as wind farms become more common and dot the country-side... what does this do?

cookiengineer

[flagged]

SEJeff

Modern SMR nuclear reactors use precious generation spent fuel rods as their own fuel, and by design, are impossible to cause a meltdown.

I have 21.1kW of solar panels on my barn, and nuclear is still the cleanest energy at scale, but a lot. Also, solar panels can’t be realistically recycled and when the panels are done, they’re destined to landfills. At least they’re finding ways to recycle wind farm rotor blades.

pjc50

> solar panels can’t be realistically recycled

Something that's mostly aluminium, glass, silicon and silver can't be recycled? You going to tell these guys? https://solarrecyclingsolutions.co.uk/solar-panel-recycling/...

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JohnKemeny

The book Mine is relevant here. It’s about how people argue over what belongs to whom, especially when ownership is unclear.

When one wind farm is upwind, its turbines slow the wind for farms behind it, cutting their energy. In a way, it’s “stealing” some of the wind.

The book explains why these kinds of fights over shared resources happen and why we need better rules for such situations.

Other examples: upstream hydropower reducing downstream potential energy; a tree in your yard casting shadows on your neighbor’s property, thereby “stealing” sunlight and potential solar power.

wodenokoto

That book title is not easily googleable!

Mine, by Kim Faulk, 2022 Synopsis: “ Family is everything... I always knew my father was a cold, heartless bastard.

But the moment he took Elle Castlemaine and her pathetic daughter into our home, barely a month after our mom died, he unleashed something savage inside me.”

I’m guessing it’s not that one!

wiether

I was still interested by the synopsis!

Until I look out and found that it's a romance book... No thanks!

And if anyone is still looking for the real book, it's this one, by James Salzman & Michael Heller https://app.thestorygraph.com/books/fd8d48d8-f8e0-4693-a064-...

JohnKemeny

Sorry, the book's full title is

Mine!: How the Hidden Rules of Ownership Control Our Lives by Heller and Salzman. The authors are professors of (real estate and environmental, resp.) law.

triceratops

It would be a heck of a plot twist for that premise to turn into a fight over solar and wind rights.

wodenokoto

“He unleashed something savage inside me. I built an upwind, windmill fight and our family and the worlds view on wind rights was never the same again”

Theodores

We have been here before with the waterwheels that powered the mills at the start of the Industrial Revolution, allegedly.

Allegedly this was a problem in the Cotswolds, UK, when the woollen industry was where the big money was. I only know this from school history classes, not from Google, hence my use of the word 'allegedly'. Allegedly, mills placed upstream slowed the flow to existing mills downstream, leading to disputes.

In time, mills were built with big chimneys, meaning coal. But why would you go for expensive coal that had to be transported when you had 'free' power from the river? It has been hypothesised that drought may have played a part in this, not the over use of waterwheels.

grues-dinner

It's quite obvious if you look at how a watermill is built. Upstream, there's a wier which diverts water along a culvert into a pond at the level of the weir. The watermill is then driven by water falling from the pond to the level of the river at that point. Depending on the gradient of the river, this can be some distance from the weir. If the weir diverts on average a substantial portion of the flow, anyone wanting to use the river between the weir and the mill will find there's much less water for the purpose. Many British rivers in areas where there were (literal) cottage industries like little mesters are not that big (only a few metres across and under a metre deep) so you can see where conflicts could arise. And also they do dry up to almost trickles in dry weather.

oulipo

Classical example is rivers crossing two countries, and the country upstream installing dams...

glumreaper

Oh, the wailing and gnashing of teeth over wake losses. Let's get some figures:

* From their own study: the cumulative wake loss impact of four new wind farms in the Irish Sea on Orsted's existing estate is 3.28% [0] * "Wind turbines are found to lose 1.6±0.2% of their output per year." [1]

So, wake losses turn a brand new wind farm into a 2-year-old wind farm. Given the yuuuuuge lifespan of wind farms, it seems kinda trivial.

[0] https://www.rechargenews.com/wind/-catastrophic-wake-losses-...

[1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096014811...

FilosofumRex

Most climate change advocates naively believe that because an energy resource in renewable it must be infinite too. Simple energy balance over a given area will show how much extraction of wind energy will reduce available energy downstream.

Moreover, the economics of offshore wind farms is often commingled with state enterprises and various subsidy schemes, which makes them uneconomical even in the best of times, so a 2% capacity reduction coupled with inevitable maintenance and repair costs escalations might make many wind farms uneconomical.

Onshore wind farms are much more economical but the best locations such as Texas, Oklahoma and New Mexico already have been developed.

matthewdgreen

I don’t know what a climate change advocate is: someone who believes in physics? But in general nobody believes that resources are infinite. We just have a lot of offshore wind area, onshore wind area, and space to fit solar panels. Not infinite, but enough to massively increase humanity’s access to energy sources and put us back on the growth path we were on before fossil fuels caused us to stagnate.

maeil

You're right, solar energy isn't infinite, there's merely orders of magnitudes more available than necessary to power the globe.

half-kh-hacker

"climate change advocate", in contrast to some "climate change opponent"?

pjc50

Yeah, this sounds like someone who doesn't realize that climate change is a real effect driven by CO2 emissions, regardless of the precise economics of renewable energy.

FilosofumRex

An Advocate/activist is someone who puts politics and policy ahead of science and economics, and it isn't limited to climate change either.

For example, it was gay advocacy/activists not heath sciences professionals who made sure more money was spent on Aids/HIV than all childhood diseases combined.

mike_hearn

Their assumptions are worse than that. They assume constant global rate of renewable energy production but average global wind speeds aren't constant, they appear to be slowing down. This is called "global stilling". It is often blamed on climate change, which (it is now claimed) both speeds up and slows down the wind simultaneously, although the rapid construction of wind farms and urban buildings might also be related.

https://projects.research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/en/hor...

vlovich123

I think that’s a glib dismissal without any analysis of the financials that motivate the investment being profitable in the first place.

japanuspus

This is exactly it. Especially for the UK offshore projects where sites were auctioned off: All bidders knew that a competitive bid had to aim for an ROI only slightly above market rates, given that risk was very low. This means that 1 percent on production will easily turn into 10 or 20 percent on profit.

Source: worked on CAPEX and yield estimates for major player operating in this sector for a decade.

Rastonbury

Did they factor in the risk that a site upwind of them could be auctioned later basically turning their project unprofitable? If you bid higher ignoring this risk and later lose money, maybe they should have bid a little less

0_____0

You're not crazy. I think sometimes software people forget that perfectly happy industries sometimes have single digit operating margin.

cududa

Are you doing a Jordan Peterson bit? The one where someone asks him "Do you believe in" and he says "Well what is the meaning of do, and what do you mean by you? And what is believe?"

vlovich123

I really am insulted by the analogy. All I said is that painting a 3% drop as trivial and not worth thinking about is completely ignoring that that could be the entire profit margin for the wind mill installation in the first place and thus the financing and capital investment math could have been done incorrectly and push the profitability negative. Pretty sure I presented a clear description of what my issue with such a glib dismissal is.

theptip

I think the point is that with thin margins and capital costs, 1.6% (compounded over decades) could be a large chunk of your profit.

TFA discusses this:

> To justify their investment and make a profit, "it's very important for a developer to be able to project that the wind farm will produce a given amount of electricity for 25 or 30 years", the typical lifespan of a wind farm, he says. Even a relatively small, unexpected reduction in that energy output can upset this investment calculation and make the wind farm not financially viable, Finserås says.

Rastonbury

If wakes losses have been known for years as asserted by the piece, I'd argue it's the fault of the operator and investors building a farm downwind (or potentially) of another. The only thing I can think of is if regulatory or zoning changes caused underlying assumptions of wake loss to change.

It's like setting up a low margin Italian restaurant with none nearby and a few months later another Italian restaurant sets up taking your revenue, tough luck then

Dylan16807

> 1.6% (compounded over decades) could be a large chunk of your profit.

I don't understand what you're saying here. The 1.6% compounding was part of the plan from the first rough draft. The 3% is not compounding.

KennyBlanken

This isn't a Best Buy. Offshore wind is very expensive compared to land-based wind and operators can struggle to turn a profit. 3.28% is indeed likely very significant.

I do not understand HN's pathological obsession with trying to "gotcha" news media titles for being "clickbait" especially given the "Software (version number)" posts and edgy titles to corporate and personal blogs that are everywhere here.

polishdude20

This made me think of a cool sci Fi post apocalyptic idea. A colony that has its base in the middle of violent tornado or storm country but it has a huge array of wind machines that harvest the storm for energy. On the leeward side of the array, where the colony lives, the air is calm, robbed of its energy.

OutOfHere

This has in the past been scientifically proposed as a legitimate way to cure the US of tornadoes while yielding significant energy in the process.

SlowTao

Sounds like an idea that is technically sound but economically a dead end. Like harvesting lightening for electricity. It might not seem it locally but the energy is too defuse at a large scale.

m-r-r

This sounds a lot like the plot of The Horde of Counterwind by Alain Damasio

freeone3000

A Valley Without Wind 2…

morkalork

From TFA the wake can stretch 100km from a windfarm and reduce output of another by 10%. Interesting so it sounds like an optimization at country scale, how to place windfarms to maximize overall output when accounting for these effects.

Retric

Some level at 100km OR 10% if very close, but not both at the same time.

bamboozled

People seem to love finding faults with wind farms, even if the contents of the article are purely factual, we need them ,we need to keep experimenting with them and developing better solutions.

We can't let wind turbines be like "nuclear"; the dirty word which could've saved our civilization.

SlowTao

Pretty much. For all the faults we can find with wind farms, they are still pretty dang useful.

pjc50

The problems with wind farms seem trivial in comparison to the wave of fallout which disrupted agriculture all across Europe.

chgs

Wind has been common in the U.K. for decades, I remember driving past them as a kid in the 90s on holiday

It’s only recently that the right wing has become particularly against them

bamboozled

That's my point, there is some sort of anti-wind religious crusade going on, and it's bullshit.

chgs

There are people who spend money to make more pollution in their local neighbourhoods

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rolling_coal

It’s unsurprising that nimbys don’t want wind in their back yard despite acknowledging the benefits.

mikeyouse

The argument I've seen a lot recently that seems the most disingenuous is that the blades aren't recyclable. Completely inert fiberglass blades that are useful in generating GWH of energy over their multi-decade lifespan and people are pretending to be mad we're going to bury them in the same landfills that we bury millions of tons of other trash?

A close second is some dramatic image of a turbine with a gearbox issue that leaked gearbox oil all down the side about how much oil they use, "100 liters per turbine" or some such bullshit that ignores that all of that is fully recycled so you might 'consume' 100 liters in a development in a year but even that's not turned into CO2, it's just leaked into the environment.

GuB-42

Here the victims of "wind theft" by wind farms are other wind farms. The point of this article is that by not accounting for the problem, the efficiency of wind power around the world may decrease and also discourage investors.

AngryData

I kind of wondered about this since I got a big windfarm near me in all the fields. It seems like ideally they would be spread out over a much larger area across the state. Of course there are probably also advantages to having all that electrical infrastructure in one area.

exabrial

Unpopular opinion: I don't like wind farms ruining natural landscapes. They pollute natural beauty and put industrial infrastructure where it would have never been otherwise. I'm 100% onboard with alternative energy as it's essential to prevent changing our atmosphere. However, as I look across the Kansas plains, I'm saddened by the industrialization and further human encroachment into areas previously untouched.

Kon-Peki

The first photo in the article (turbines with a sailboat) is very well chosen!

Stealing others’ wind (or making it “dirty”) is a well-known and well-used tactic in sailboat racing. It is very effective.

One explanation of tactics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lh9Hz0TDFxE

amai

That really is only a problem if the direction of the wind never changes. But if the direction of the wind turns around the farm stealing the wind and the farm being robbed of wind switch roles.

fensgrim

Also, isn't it really stupid to treat the wind the same way we do with rivers or with electrical current (which is actually flowing the opposite way to electrons, so not like the river/wind at all)?

E.g. country A is saying that country B is stealing their incoming (upstream) wind, but there's currently a zone of negative pressure (based on the mountains/shore/passing by cyclone/whatever) on the country A's territory which actually allows for the pressure gradient to form through both countries A and B - so there's more energy potential available to tap into on country A's territory?

Ekaros

Thinking of wind direction. I would imagine that wind farms in general are build in areas where there is tendency for prevalent winds. That is known to have certain direction and speed. As these are most sensible places for most production.

Areas with more changing wind patterns are likely less desirable.