Millions in west don't know they have aggressive fatty liver disease, study says
112 comments
·June 5, 2025alecst
For those who are curious, there's some anecdata online that extended fasting (days or weeks) can reverse this disease.
I can't find much published research on it to be fair, but I think the science in this field is lagging behind people's personal experiences.
If there's evidence to the contrary let me know, I'm not trying to spread misinformation. It's just one of the things I consistently recall reading over the years.
Edit since I'm being downvoted:
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6893587/ (prolonged fasting, ~8 days)
> The improvement of FLI correlated with the number of fasting days (r = −0.20, p < 0.0001)
https://eglj.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s43066-021-00... (ADF rat model)
> MSRDF rats showed cure of grade-1 NAFLD and significantly decreased LW than other groups and normalized HOMA-IR, HbA1C TC, LDL-C, ALT, and CRP.
https://www.cell.com/cell-metabolism/fulltext/S1550-4131(22)... (exercise + ADF, humans)
cmrx64
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-45260-9
this is the main thing I could find.
https://prolonlife.com/ sells a prepackaged fasting-mimicking diet. plenty of reviews online about the subjective effects on energy levels and soforth during the fast.
I didn’t like it. day 2.5-3 will put me back into the headspace of food scarcity and even knowing that the next meal was sitting in the box and that this is temporary … it was a mental challenge for me. if you’ve never experienced food scarcity, it can be all-consuming and seriously warp your cognition and emotional baseline.
SlowTao
Personally it is a strange thing. Diffcult to do over 24 hours but easy over a few days. Once you get over the head space of "im hungry must eat!" It turns into "im hungry, oh well".
But this is a sample size of 1 and results definetly vary wildly between folks.
tshanmu
I can concur - that shift in mindset to "i'm hungry, oh well" is crucial for your body I feel.
watwut
> "im hungry, oh well"
The real danger is if you dont swap back and just created yourself an eating disorder.
ty6853
Even cutting back a couple hundred calories a day can leave you absolutely exhausted, in my experience. Even just increasing exercise by a couple hundred calories a day without eating more is also incredibly exhausting, after a few weeks it becomes thought dominating second-by-second.
Hunger is truly a powerful driver.
al_borland
If you're going to fast, especially extended fasting, it would serve a person well to drop carbs and sugar and get into ketosis, at least for a while, so your body can start burning fat more effectively. If you've never done this before, it can be an uncomfortable process, with a lot of headaches, mood swings, etc. Making sure you take in enough electrolytes (sodium, magnesium, and potassium) will help a lot during all this, and during longer fasts.
I cleaned up my diet about a month ago, and have accidentally done some 24 hour fasts when I was busy and it's been fine. By the time I do eat, I'm really not even hungry, though my stomach may be growling a bit. The first time I ever did this, I had horrible headaches and felt miserable for a while, but subsequent times have been easier.
Good sleep maters too. Bad sleep will throw your hormones out of whack. I'm extremely hungry when this happens, and crave all the wrong things. Knowing what's going on helps a little.... just a little.
I find all this much easier than just trying to cut back by 200 calories with what I normally eat. It's all about hormones.
GoToRO
This sounds like a diet problem. You eat till your stomach is full. That because your food is not actually feeding you.
Long story short: meat and vegs + fruits. It takes a while.
cmrx64
and that’s when you’re doing it willingly :)
voidfunc
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SketchySeaBeast
That feels like the incorrect framing, the burden of proof is on the initial claim. That'd be like saying "I've heard online that leprechauns live on the moon. I haven't found published research on it, but I think science in this field is lagging behind personal telescopic experience. If there's evidence to the contrary let me know, but I've read it online a lot." and treating that like it's proof of moon leprechauns.
al_borland
It's not exactly the same, as there are studies, there just haven't been a lot yet, since a lot of the study around it is new, although fasting has been practiced for thousands of years. There is no money in fasting, so the number of organizations willing to fund the studies goes way down.
To put some numbers to it:
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10564080/
> Only five out of the 1304 studies on NAFLD involved IF.
Here is one that mentions there may be some efficacy to the idea and no harm.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8958240/
> In conclusion, current evidence suggests that intermittent fasting in patients with NAFLD is a feasible, safe, and effective means for weight loss, with significant trends towards improvements in dyslipidemia and NAFLD as illustrated through non‐invasive testing (NIT).
If someone has NAFLD, they can either sit around and eat cake for 20 years waiting for the science, or they can try doing some fasting, which is very low risk (assuming they don't have other issues going on), and find out very quickly if it works for them. Sure, it's an n of 1 in that case, but who cares, if they are the test subject it only matters if it works on them.
I'd add to this that the carbs should be kept low and the diet having quality foods outside of the fasts. Eating aforementioned cake during a feeding window every day is going to leave a person miserable, burning muscle, and still leave the hormones all screwed up. Insulin needs to be controlled and lowered. Fasting does that quickly, but don't abuse it during your meals on a regular basis.
From what I've read elsewhere, fasting can help in the early stages to reverse it, but once real damage occurs that sticks around.
nradov
There may be some medical benefits to periodic fasting, especially for people with excess adipose tissue. But in terms of "no harm" the Memel et al paper you linked doesn't seem to mention anything about loss of lean muscle tissue. This can cause serious harm for some patients — especially older patients with the "skinny fat" body type — by leading to sarcopenia (higher musculoskeletal injury risk) and endocrine dysfunction (muscle is a glucose sink). Loss of muscle can be limited to an extent by doing resistance training and maintaining high protein intake during non-fasting periods. But overall there are still a lot of unknowns in this field.
SketchySeaBeast
From your chosen quote, it doesn't seem to indicate that fasting specifically changed things, but fasting being an "effective means for weight loss" was the bit that really mattered. I don't see anything to divorce the two - general weight loss and improvement to the FLI.
> Available evidence suggests that any form of caloric restriction may be beneficial and specific forms of IF should be tailored to the individual.
Also important to notice that once the liver is damaged it's not recommended to fast:
> Additionally, it is important we investigate the possible risks of fasting in patients with cirrhosis, which is currently not recommended.
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apwell23
so live a life of gluttony and "reverse" it in few days of fasting. seems like a good deal.
Qem
I wonder, given the instances of common diseases that were discovered/strongly suspected recently to have a microbial component (eg. ulcers + heliobacter pylori, Guillain–Barré + cytomegalovirus, Alzheimer + HSV, Several cancers in men and women + HPV), what are the odds we'll eventually discover fatty liver disease is a symptom or is triggered by "hepatitis X" or something like that?
owebmaster
That won't be the case for a disease that is almost 100% correlated to asedentary lifestyle, bad diet and alcoholism
abraxas
This frankly scares me somewhat. I had a liver ultrasound where the radiologist warned me I had some signs of fat on the liver though not extensive yet.
I weigh 72kg at 178cm height. At peak, when I got tested I weighed around 86kg. I was barely overweight and definitely not obese and yet...
ABS
Knowing the weight alone is not enough though: you can be 72kg and fat or 86kg and very lean but also very muscular.
E.g. I'm 178cm as well but when I was 71kg I was visibly "fat", or at least skinny fat to be charitable. I'm currently 67kg but very lean and somewhat muscular.
abraxas
At 86kg I had a bit of dad bod going on. Not a huge gut but somewhat pudgy here and there. Not hugely so and not overly visible as most of it was visceral fat. I haven't had an ultrasound since losing the weight. I hope the liver looks better now. I've been eating fewer calories, healthier calories and swimming. Hopefully that's enough to at least halt the damage done by my old lifestyle.
prettyblocks
I had moderate NFLD and managed to get rid of it completely by just eliminating fried food, most dairy, and sugary snacks for about 6 months, I also almost never eat red meat. It's not so much about being overweight, but what you're eating.
SketchySeaBeast
You totally changed your diet and didn't lose weight?
prettyblocks
I did lose weight, but it wasn't crazy dramatic.
SlowTao
Yep, the dietary recommendations have been consistent for decades at this point. Dairy, meat, sugars and excessive oils are not great for us. A little in moderation is fine, that is a lot lower than what most people think.
But it isnt pushed hard because it is difficult to steer the ship of humanity. Like how doctors will say "lose some weight" but they arent really expecting miracles on it as they know the battle that is.
nradov
Dietary recommendations have fluctuated widely for decades, and still differ substantially between sources. So far there is zero direct evidence that meat consumption causes fatty liver disease; I mean it's possible but we just don't know one way or the other. The only real data we have comes from low-quality observational studies (basically junk science).
If someone wants to try limiting meat consumption as an "n=1" experiment to see how it affects their body composition and other biomarkers then go ahead. Just don't expect a major impact from that one factor.
bigbuppo
Not to mention, there's a good chance that your doctor is fatter than you are.
Amezarak
I eat enormous amounts of dairy and red meat and recently I had abdominal surgery and the doctor afterwards confirmed I was in very good shape and had no signs at all of fatty liver and very little visceral fat generally.
I eat around a pound of beef a day, a gallon of yogurt a week, and almost everything (eg oatmeal) is made with copious amounts of butter.
I think unless you know something specific about your genetics, just eat plain natural foods people have been eating for millennia and you will be perfectly fine. Basically, buy plain meat, vegetables, grains, and dairy and prepare them yourself. Don’t eat preservatives, corn syrups, or novel vegetable oils like canola. Maybe they’re fine but there’s no reason to risk it. Also do your best to make sure what you eat followed the same rule; eg my beef was grass fed and finished and was not fed skittles in a feedlot. Diet affects animal meat as well, just as it does us.
wokkel
Bmi is one metric but you need to combine it with a measurement of your belly circumference. I had similar numbers but the weight was al in the belly and got diagnoses as type 2 diabetic with high cholesterol etc.
tryasimight
The two big ones are high fructose corn syrup and alcohol.
I feel the hfcs is the bigger issue here because it is put in everything in the US, but moderating both of these will help.
Look at labels and put back anything with hfcs.
https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-research-matters/how-hig...
crazygringo
HFCS isn't any meaningfully different from sugar. It's basically chemically the same as honey. And no, they don't put it in everything. It's in soda and certain sweets (obviously) and sweet sauces, but it's not like it's creeping into unexpected places in some huge way. Yes, there may be foods with a hint of sweetness that have a hint of HFCS, but then it's a negligible amount anyways. HFCS isn't some kind of bogeyman. It's essentially just sugar. Treat it accordingly.
chris_va
Fructose is processed by the body quite differently than sucrose, in a way quite relevant here.
And actually one of humanity's major evolutionary advances.
hxorr
This is wrong. As another commentator pointed out,the body processes fructose differently from sucrose.
As for honey (and fruit, for that matter) - they are full of beneficial compounds that help your body regulate blood sugar.
To illustrate this, someone I know of with type I diabetes who ate natural honey didn't need to inject as much insulin as when eating commercially processed/heated honey - those beneficial compounds are destroyed during the process. Same for fruit vs fruit juice...
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tryasimight
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golemiprague
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Theodores
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chownie
Any answer that begins with "if everyone just-" is tantamount to doing nothing and those are the other options available, nothing except for weight loss drugs has managed to put a dent in widespread obesity.
shdjcnckcicnx
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maketheman
It has nothing to do with spirituality or morals. Skinny-country person moves to the US, they get fatter (statistically speaking). They weren't skinny at home because they were better spiritual warriors or whatever, but because they didn't live in the US.
The options are to fix what are probably a whole bunch of problems across multiple domains at a cost of $(enormous sum) with a project spanning many decades (and which may easily be derailed and set back years and years at any time), so that living in the US doesn't make people gain weight, or... drugs, that work today. From a policy perspective, those are the only options. There's no good reason to think that reversing "moral decline" or whatever will help, since that doesn't seem to be why some other countries are skinnier.
slibhb
> It’s more a spiritual / moral decline of culture in the west.
It's not a question of decline. There's no reason to think that humans today have less self control than in the past. We're dealing with obesity now because tasty, cheap food didn't exist until the second half of the 20th century.
amanaplanacanal
Sure, our obesity epidemic is because everybody just suddenly decided to start eating more a few decades ago. Much more likely there is some environmental factor causing it. I guess calling it moral decay feels more self-righteous though.
JumpCrisscross
> It’s more a spiritual / moral decline of culture in the west
It's not just the West.
"Obesity in India has reached epidemic proportions in the 21st century, with morbid obesity affecting 5% of the country's population" [1]. (It's about 7% in America [2].) Meanwhile in China, "the incidence of overweight and obesity among school-age children...was 15.5% in 2010, rising to 24.2% in 2019 and soaring to 29.4% in 2022" [2]. Same story in Vietnam: "The prevalence of overweight among children aged under 5 years increased from 5.6% in 2010 to 7.4% in 2019. For overweight and obesity among children aged 5 to 19 years, prevalence rose from 8.5% and 2.5% in 2010 to 19% and 8.1% in 2020, respectively" [3].
OP is right. "If everyone just..." is shorthand for wishing upon a star that the world were different. It's not a serious solution for reality as it is. (To the degree there is a social trust variable at play, it's in folks doing mental gymnastics to reject the clinical data.)
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Obesity_in_India
inglor_cz
"yet those same people are unable to put less food in their mouths"
And you think that addiction is a moral/spiritual problem? Nope, it is an endocrinological problem. And precisely drugs like Ozempic have made it very clear, because it doesn't just treat obesity, but many other addictive behaviors like compulsive shopping or gambling. By "merely" altering hormonal balance in the target organism.
People once thought that smallpox was divine punishment for sins. It is 2025, we are on Hacker News, and yet the very same pattern of thinking emerges here, against all the scientific knowledge.
keybored
Are you ready to throw stones in glass houses? We can list a thousand sins of people with actual political power that dwarf the sin of “accommodating” so-called lifestyle choices. Then we can talk about how those same people abuse trust at every opportunity.
Your buzzwords are useless.
tptacek
I love how this is framed as if it's obviously a sinister thing, like some shadowy force made up MASH in order to sell drugs, rather than it being kind of a medical miracle that effective treatment regimes are becoming available.
sixtyj
In the article is this paragraph: Dr Paul Brennan, a co-author of the Lancet paper and a hepatologist at NHS Tayside, said: “GLP-1s (including Wegovy and Mounjaro) offer the potential to resynchronise our metabolism, by introducing feelings of satiety – fullness – and delaying the time the stomach takes to empty. These effects often result in reduced calorie intake, and improvements in how the liver handles nutrients as a result of weight loss, thus reducing scar tissue formation in the liver.”
mattgreenrocks
I'm excited by the prospects of GLP-1 for reduction in inflammation. I have to wonder if that plays a role in helping people lose weight as well.
axus
I haven't been able to cure the fatty liver by self-control, so I'm intending to ask the doctor about a medical solution on my next visit. This particular article came after that decision!
xanderlewis
> Call me cynical, but every article in a newspaper is published for a reason, and I think I know where this is going.
I wouldn’t call you cynical; I’d go so far as to call you conspiratorial.
jjtheblunt
I know what you mean, and perhaps this is also a signal to "short" stock in sugar companies.
That is, i wonder if the article possibly mentioned the eyeball-attracting names of the weight-loss drugs as more enticing than just saying "cut out added sugars and these livers may well fix themselves".
JumpCrisscross
> and then get them on the drugs for life, knowing full too well that they won't make the lifestyle adjustments needed to get them off the drugs.
What are you basing this on? Everyone I know who went on and off Ozempic kept off clinically-meaningful amounts of weight.
There is religious intensity to this popular unsaid (and blatantly incorrect) assumption that the human body left alone is perfectly made, and that any intervention in its mechanism is prima facie evil.
inglor_cz
The human body left alone in original East African savannah sorta worked, hunters and gatherers don't suffer from metabolic disease much. (Though obviously they still succumb to injuries, infections and random disease such as appendicitis.)
The human body left alone in a modern supermarket world is way off its original evolutionary envelope. I am a descendant of 300 generations of agricultural people and I still struggle with processing of milk. Most of our commercially sold foods aren't 300, but 1-2 generations old. We just cannot be adapted to that.
JumpCrisscross
> human body left alone in original East African savannah sorta worked, hunters and gatherers don't suffer from metabolic disease
One, we don't know that. But two, it's fair to assume they didn't because their constraint was starvation.
Look, metabolic disease makes sense from a preservation angle. It's a safe assumption, in the wild, that one will not suddenly come across permanent sources of excess calories. So if one assumes starvation is the enemy, and the body finds itself amidst excess calories, it must assume this is a finite resource to be competed for. Herego, stuff your face. Build fat cells. And under no circumstance shoud you give up a fat cell. No, reduce voluntary motion and--if necessary--cut basal metabolism to ensure we can get these calories into our bodies before someone else exhausts them.
For what it's worth, I'm on the other end of the spectrum. My body happily burns away fat stores. This is frankly great in the modern world! But if I get seriously sick (or thrust into a starvation environment), my odds of dying are high--it's why folks with a mid-twenties BMI have a longer life expectancy than those of us closer to twenty. Not techhnically underweight, and with plenty of muscle. But also with less of a buffer.
> human body left alone in a modern supermarket world is way off its original evolutionary envelope
It's arguable that the evolutionary envelope was leapt off around the development of agriculture and animal breeding. (We're still on patch Tuesday from c.a. 10,000 BCE on lactase.)
Theodores
The article isn't just poor journalism, it crossed the line into soft propaganda for the weight loss drugs.
There is a lot of money riding on these drugs, and there is a story as to how we have got here. The drug companies that are marketing these weight loss drugs switched up their game after their previous cash cow, insulin, ran out of patent protection. Sure, they have got a new fix, but they care about their shareholders, not anyone's waistline. This does not make them evil, it is just business.
Standard practice for all drugs is to get them through the regulatory hoops for one thing, in this case diabetes (2) and then go off label, to get them prescribed for weight loss and now, fatty liver disease.
All of these conditions are one an the same, metabolic syndrome. So it does make sense to have these 'off label' uses, but you have got to respect the hustle.
If the article was properly researched then it would have outlined how that lifestyle interventions are preferable to prescription drugs, and that plenty of research papers have shown that Mediterranean and whole food, plant based diets (devoid of processed foods and animal products) have had some success at reversing fatty liver disease and enabling patients to obtain a healthy BMI.
I know some people throw a temper tantrum if a banana or a chickpea is placed on their plate, but the heart of the problem is lifestyle choices. Nobody is selected by a cruel roll of the dice to get metabolic syndrome, it is a lifestyle of car dependency, processed foods and saturated fats from animal products, probably washed down with fizzy drinks and alcohol.
Your mates that took Ozempic is anecdotal. Also anecdotal, everyone I know that follows Michael Pollan's advice to eat (mostly) plants has a healthy BMI.
JumpCrisscross
> drug companies that are marketing these weight loss drugs switched up their game after their previous cash cow, insulin, ran out of patent protection
Are you disputing GLP-1's efficacy?
> If the article was properly researched then it would have outlined how that lifestyle interventions are preferable to prescription drugs
This would have struck me as CYA filler. We know diet and exercise work. Nobody reading Lancet is confused about that. And if they're reading The Guardian and are confused about that, they're not going to have the ephiphany halfway through a medical opinion.
> plenty of research papers have shown that Mediterranean and whole food, plant based diets (devoid of processed foods and animal products) have had some success at reversing fatty liver disease and enabling patients to obtain a healthy BMI
Compared to GLP-1?
I have a sore throat right now. I'm eating lots of ginger and garlic and foods rich in vitamin C and zinc. (Taken with hot teas.) If it were to progress into serious tonsillitis, I'd be pretty pissed off at the surgeon throwing a honey-lemon tea reference into their briefing.
> the heart of the problem is lifestyle choices. Nobody is selected by a cruel roll of the dice to get metabolic syndrome
Sure. Yes. If people made better decisions in the past we'd have fewer problems today.
In reality we have a lot of people who didn't make good decision in the past. Their bodies are failing. If GLP-1 works, it works. Getting conspiratorial about Big Pharma or butthurt that nobody mentioned feta cheese and hummus isn't useful for the targets of such an article, people thinking about the health of their loved ones as well as the arc of public policy.
lgleason
I wonder who funded the study....
n4r9
You don't need to wonder. It's in the Acknowledgements section of the paper.
> JVL, HEM, and CJK acknowledge institutional support to ISGlobal from grant CEX2023-0001290-S, funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033, and the Generalitat de Catalunya, through the CERCA Programme. CDB is supported in part by the Southampton National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centre (NIHR 203319). Funding statement: This work was supported by Novo Nordisk and Echosens via a grant to ISGlobal. The funding sources had no role in the study design, writing of this manuscript, or decision to submit the paper for publication, but did carry out the data modelling.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanepe/article/PIIS2666-7...
johnyzee
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mixmastamyk
I was wondering why it didn't recommend reducing carbs and increasing vegetables; instead recommended drugs.
diggan
According to the paper (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanepe/article/PIIS2666-7...):
> JVL, HEM, and CJK acknowledge institutional support to ISGlobal from grant CEX2023-0001290-S, funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/ 501100011033, and the Generalitat de Catalunya, through the CERCA Programme. CDB is supported in part by the Southampton National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centre (NIHR 203319).
> Funding statement: This work was supported by Novo Nordisk and Echosens via a grant to ISGlobal. The funding sources had no role in the study design, writing of this manuscript, or decision to submit the paper for publication, but did carry out the data modelling.
Fun to see my local government funding something that appeared on HN :)
null
Lots of the numbers here are confusing in relation to other numbers…
“The researchers found that just under 3% of people in the UK, France and Germany, and 4% of those in the US have MASH, but diagnosis rates were below 18%. That means about 20 million people in the US, UK, Germany and France are living with MASH but only 2.5 million people have a diagnosis, leaving more than three-quarters – about 16.7 million people – unaware they have the condition.”
2.5/20 is 12.5%, which is under 18% but a very weird and specifc way to put it; 16.7 is more than 3/4 of 20 indeed (by a lot), but adding 2.5 to 16.7 is about 19 not about 20. This just all seems randomly off in various ways that make little sense to me. Anyone has any good theory how such sentences escape editorial edits, or can find a simple typo or two that make this paragraph coherent again?