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U.S. autism data project sparks uproar over ethics, privacy and intent

47282847

It’s interesting to muse about the larger picture here. What is it that makes autism so dangerous? To me it looks like part of an almost spiritual war against empathy/compassion by traumatized individuals trying to fight their own Jungian Shadow.

timoth3y

“I told you once that I was searching for the nature of evil. I think I’ve come close to defining it: a lack of empathy. It’s the one characteristic that connects all the defendants. A genuine incapacity to feel with their fellow man. Evil, I think, is the absence of empathy.”

      ― G. M. Gilbert, American psychologist who worked on the Nuremberg trials

ChrisMarshallNY

Didn't someone recently mention that "The fundamental weakness of Western civilization is empathy"?

Sounds familiar...

notimetorelax

I didn’t know who that was, so googled. Apparently, Musk said that.

gruez

That quote was massively taken out of context. His argument was that the west has too much empathy, not that empathy is bad, period. He even specifically prefaced that with saying that empathy is a good thing.

thrance

It's crazy we got all those lessons figured out, clear as can be and right in the history books, that every kid is supposed to learn. And yet, here we are, back to square one.

coldtea

He said that because he couldn't empathize with those defendants...

thoroughburro

This is the paradox of tolerance and it’s pretty cringe.

cruzcampo

Autists are just an easy group to target that can't fight back too hard.

It's just the next step on the escalation ladder. They'll come for all of us eventually

ryandrake

The administration's (and R party's) entire M.O. is now to find relatively small, easy-to-target demographic groups that can't fight back, exact cruelty on them to marginalize them even more or (in their view even better) stamp them out, and then go carve out another small, vulnerable group and repeat. We're going to see this pattern repeat over and over in the near future, and there will be many targeted groups.

cruzcampo

[flagged]

gizzlon

[flagged]

WhyNotHugo

Autists (and neurodivergent people in general) tend to think more freely and follow the crowd less than average.

I’d say they’re dangerous in the same way as librarians are dangerous.

JumpCrisscross

You’re really wondering why the administration that’s rejected habeas corpus, a right which pre-dates the Magna Carta in our system of law, is creating lists of undesirables?

throw16180339

RFK has been quite clear that autistic people are undesirables. They're collecting our personal information so that we can be imprisoned or killed.

em-bee

an interesting book related to this discussion is "Speed of Dark" by Elisabeth Moon. It tells the story of an autistic person and their struggles while faced with the possibility of a "cure"

ReptileMan

>What is it that makes autism so dangerous?

That the parents of severe cases eventually pass away and unless they figure out to take the kid with them, he is condemned at best to a life in mental health institutions - and usually they make One Flew Upon Cuckoo's Nest look like Teletubbies.

Add to that more and more people are single kids and usually born out of geriatric pregnancy (which also increases the chances of autism somewhat) - aka above 35, so they really are alone.

There are very good state and society interests in preventing autism. Mental disabilities are way worse than physical in today's society. Thankfully not every case is severe. But severe one's do exist.

Doxin

Surely you can see that this isn't going to be about preventing autism?

StefanBatory

"Do not commit the sin of empathy"

an0malous

“The fundamental weakness of Western civilization is empathy” — Elon on Joe Rogan

It’s a core tenant of this Curtis Yarvin / neo reactionary ideology that seems to be shared by a lot of VCs

tialaramex

The word you want is tenet

A tenant is somebody paying to lease property, for example if you have a landlord, you're their tenant, and by analogy e.g. an Azure tenant is an organisation within the Azure cloud with a unique identifier.

A tenet is a belief or principle that is important to some group, for example the IETF's Best Common Practice series are not just RFCs describing a protocol or technology but instead statements of principle such as BCP 188 "Pervasive Monitoring Is An Attack".

k__

And then he cries on TV because people are not buying his cars.

Can't make that crap up...

throw0101b

> “The fundamental weakness of Western civilization is empathy” — Elon on Joe Rogan

Also probably Nietzsche (not on Joe Rogan).

mycatisblack

The previous silicon valley giants were to a large degree followers of Ayn Rand. This society selects, grooms and idealises a certain psychological profile.

cruzcampo

[flagged]

0x1ceb00da

One thing this will do is disincentivize high functioning autists from identifying themselves as autists, which is a very good thing IMO. Just look at this channel https://www.youtube.com/@NationalAutisticSoc/videos. There is a lot of survivor-ship bias on this channel towards high functioning autists who can talk in front of a camera.

Just to give an idea to those not familiar with the difference between high functioning and low functioning autism, high functioning autists face problems like not being able to communicate properly some of the time, and low functioning autists face problems like not even being able to tell their caretaker which part of their body is in pain, or which kid in the group punched them.

Edit: The National Autistic Society is UK based but the situation is not that different in other countries.

autoexec

activities that would result in "identifying themselves as autists" include: seeking a diagnosis in the first place, getting the help of a mental health professional, frequenting support groups and forums, and wearing a fitbit or smart watch.

It's really not a good thing when people, high functioning or not, are forced to choose between getting the help they need and being targeted by their government.

jdrek1

> and wearing a fitbit or smart watch.

Since when is wearing smart watches only for autists?

autoexec

It's one of the many private data sources they were planning to use to track and collect data on autistic people for their database. https://people.com/rfk-jr-to-launch-autism-registry-using-pr...

Autistic or not, giving that kind of health information to private for-profit companies who collect that data to use it against you or sell to third parties was never a good idea even before the government wanted to take it for themselves.

everdrive

This will unpopular, but I would recommend that anyone who can manage it to avoid any sort of formal psychological diagnosis. Unless you strictly need it for medication, it is always something which could potentially drag you down. Anyone can use the DSM (alongside an actual doctor) to get something of an "informal diagnosis" which will help them understand themselves better and to work with a doctor to form coping strategies. The formal diagnosis could potentially be used against you in the future, whether it's related to autism or not. For some people as well, the formal diagnosis does not seem to help and instead feels like a modern form of astrology; it becomes part of their internal view of themselves, and they trap themselves within the boundaries of their diagnosis.

goku12

Autism, high functioning or not, rarely comes on its own. It often has comorbidities like PTSD, depression, anxiety disorder and ADHD. Many of these extra disorders, like the former 3 in my list happens due to how autistic people interact with the general society. Bullying, abuse, SA, etc are reported at higher than average rates by autistic people. A diagnosis often helps to deal with them and plan for the future. In addition, medication is used for these conditions. Autism doesn't really have a treatment as far as I know (could use a fact check). There are some therapies available, but they have limited effects.

Another matter is that 'high functioning autism' doesn't mean freedom from hardships. They learn and work differently and don't fit well in regular classrooms. If you search online, you'll find several hilarious accounts of puzzled and perplexed autistic students in their classrooms. Despite being 'high functioning', they really could use accommodations. This is true at home too. If you leave them alone, many would simply starve to death without even ordering food online. Another matter is 'masking' - something high functioning autistic people do in public. It makes them more approachable to others. But it also creates enormous cognitive loads that can later develop into other disorders. Diagnosis really helps in these cases.

ellen364

Channels about autism also disproportionally cover people who are willing to talk about their autism. Recently I've been reading The Lost Girls of Autism. Something that stood out in the anonymous accounts is the fear of being "discovered" and the associated anxiety and depression. Since reading that I'm not super comfortable with the idea of incentivising high-functioning people to hide.

npteljes

Why do you consider that a good thing?

michaelt

If the public face of autism is someone who needs no support or accommodations and is in fact very successful - people will understandably be confused when someone with the same diagnosis needs substantial support.

npteljes

In my opinion, people need to learn - and in many things, already know - that things have scale. For example, with "pain": a bruise, cavities in teeth, kidney stones, migraines all hurt, but the level of effect on someone's life is vastly different.

Also, people have no problem minimizing the things as well, where pain again is a good example. In many situations, if it cannot be seen, secondary parties easily disregard it.

So, in conclusion, this confusion with the autism levels should not be a problem.

goku12

I assume that you don't have direct experience with autism? Success is a very misleading criterion. Even the very successful autistic people often suffer from significant distress. Level 1 autism (the most independent one), is also listed as requiring help. They too need accommodations - but it might be different from what you imagine. And their life situation can change drastically and dramatically at any stage.

0x1ceb00da

High functioning people pollute the discussions about the problems of their low functioning peers who can't speak for themselves. It's selfish.

goku12

Low functioning peers can't participate and high functioning peers shouldn't participate. So all discussions about autism should include only non-autistic people? Weird logic doesn't compute!

But what if low functioning and high functioning peers share many symptoms, but at different intensities? Won't that make the 'high functioning' peers more capable of understanding and thus speaking for their low functioning peers? In fact, there is a specific term for this - 'the double empathy problem'. Perhaps you should try a less 'ablist' approach to autism.

npteljes

Thanks for answering that, I now see where you are coming from.

ModernMech

How does high functioning autistic people speaking up for the autistic community "pollute" the conversation?

First of all, the reason this registry isn't going through is because autistic people who are functioning enough to speak out did so in solidarity with the entire autistic community. So far from polluting anything we are advocating for ourselves and our peers.

Secondly, this "high functioning low functioning" dichotomy is wrong so your framing it as a "us vs them" situation is off. It's a spectrum not a binary.

Third, presumably if they can't speak for themselves, and "high functioning" autistic people are discouraged, then the only people speaking for them are allistic people speaking about what's best for autistic people. When that happens, you get bone-headed characterizations like autistic people "never pay taxes, they'll never hold a job, they'll never play baseball, they'll never write a poem, they'll never go out on a date. Many of them will never use a toilet unassisted." and suggestions of registries, wellness farms, and soon enough genetic cleansings.

Finally, it's autistic acceptance and awareness month, and the autistic community has been under attack for a week. You're spending your Sunday calling autistic people "selfish" and characterizing their input as "pollution". Have some compassion please.

_nalply

Autism is seen as a large and wide spectrum of many different symptoms all called "autism". Using terms like "high functioning autism" is probably not a helpful way to talk about some color on the spectrum, however.

Source: I am the parent of a child with autism.

sethammons

Can you clarify? How should one talk about and differentiate between the frequencies?

ModernMech

Because it creates a binary when a) it's a spectrum and b) high/low functioning dichotomy is not a constant. Every day needs can be different. Sometimes people are low functioning during child hood and become more functioning into adulthood. Sometimes high functioning autistic people become low functioning later in life. Some people can function very well when they had adequate support but the can't function at all when support levels fall below a threshold.

Reducing the conversation to high/low functioning also limits people's understanding and compassion of autistic people. The sibling commenter to you said they believe high functioning autistic people don't deserve to have a say over matters concerning autistic people, which is incredibly troubling because that just becomes and avenue for silencing autistic people; if having the ability to speak up for yourself means your opinion isn't valid, then that gives license to use and abuse a population, as autistic people often are.

0x1ceb00da

I believe there is a methodology for distinguishing high and low functioning autism. Level 1 is high functioning. Level 3 is most severe.

zeroto100

The high functioning folk are supposedly >6x more at risk of suicidal thoughts... and they're the folks society gets something back from.

I'm all for shaking our heads at young high functioning people flaunting it, but nobody gets the labels by having a good time. It's very rarely beneficial to disclose, even if disclosure is a choice.

threatofrain

About a fourth of kids diagnosed with autism have IQ at 75 or below.

ModernMech

"high" or "low" functioning is not a constant. I'm autistic and I've been low functioning and high functioning. I can hold a job and had a wife at one point. But sometimes circumstances in my life change my ability to function. Sometimes I will go periods where I can't speak, and this caused me to almost lose my job... but for the fact they knew I was autistic and had compassion for me.

I understand that sometimes people want high needs autistic people to be the only ones who are visible, because it perpetuates the (false) narratives people have about autistic people -- that we can't function in society, we are essentially children, we need to be "cured" to "save the children", but people need to realize this is a) a spectrum and b) your place within the spectrum is always in flux. Low functioning autistic people can become more high functioning with support, and high functioning autistic people who are abused can become low functioning very quickly.

ohgr

Aktion T4 next? This is a dark dark road.

I suspect the US will become like Germany in the next few decades where the paranoia about handing any data over is justifiably high. I hope this burns the unethical side of the tech industry to the ground. It deserves it.

ZeroGravitas

It was notable that he started with "these people will never pay taxes" when announcing this.

cruzcampo

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_unworthy_of_life#/media/F...

This poster (published in the NSDAP's Office of Racial Policy's monthly magazine Neues Volk around 1938) urges support for Nazi eugenics to control the public expense of sustaining people with genetic disorders. The poster says: "This person who suffers a hereditary disease has a lifelong cost of 60,000 Reichsmarks to the National Community. Fellow German, that is your money as well."

pwdisswordfishz

*looks at Elon Musk*

I suppose he has a point.

ben_w

Half of that point occurred to me too. While I have not considered how much taxes Musk actually pays, I do remember this from my school history lessons 25 years ago: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Röhm_scandal

K0nserv

Already the US can serve as a good example when discussing the need for unbreakable cryptography and e2e systems. The current decline nicely illustrates how quickly you can go from "The police have legitimate needs to break encryption to find heinous criminals" to something far more dystopian.

goku12

No amount of crypto is going to protect you from this mess. Technical safeguards work as long as it is backed by the law and the constitution. But when they are suppressed, the people in power will just find someone smarter than you and bribe, gaslight, bully, blackmail or beat them into helping them compromise such safeguards. And not to mention the fact that they love playing hideous psyops games. This is a social and political problem. You need social and political solutions. Technical solutions are just band-aids.

K0nserv

> No amount of crypto is going to protect you from this mess. Technical safeguards work as long as it is backed by the law and the constitution. But when they are suppressed, the people in power will just find someone smarter than you and bribe, gaslight, bully, blackmail or beat them into helping them compromise such safeguards.

I don't agree. Having unbreakable crypto is the absence of a tool. My point is that a democratic government can create the tool with good intentions, but you are only one election and a few months of backsliding away from the tool being used for nefarious purposes. You are right that technical solutions are just band-aids, but if you never create the tool it cannot be abused by a new authoritarian government.

goku12

What makes you think this isn't it? I know that the primary reason for his fixation with autism is to attack vaccines. But have you listened to him talk about autistic people? It's pretty clear that he considers autistic individuals as unproductive (the tax remark) burden who destroys families. It's very clear that he considers them as subhuman. Sounds very close to 'life unworthy of life' argument made by the Nazis. While at it, the Nazis also had a register of disabled people and used the 'economic burden' argument to sell the idea of mass murder. Honestly, I'm struggling to find a difference here. To understand the full scale of the danger, this is how the Holocaust originated - with the murder of a single child in 1939 under their involuntary euthanasia program for disabled children. It gradually made the system comfortable with mass murder as the scope of the program expanded to teens, then adults and to whole races in the end. That's exactly what I see now as well - people tolerating more and more transgressions that would have been unthinkable just a year ago!

People sometimes tend to shutdown comparison of any situation with Nazism using the hideous Godwin's law. Apparently it's a sacrilege towards the Holocaust victims to compare their plight with any emerging threats. But there is no guarantee that the horrors of the past won't repeat in the future. In fact, that is one of the reasons we learn history - to recognize the repeating patterns of similar mistakes. And I think the situation is very perilous already. Perhaps I'm paranoid. But remember that people are arbitrarily getting deported to some foreign detention camp and judges are being arrested within 3 months of this regime coming into power. How long before we find ourselves haunted by the dreadful events of the past?

brightball

Hasn’t RFK Jr spent his entire life trying to find the cause and cure for autism?

My life is pretty close to this community and I can verify that all of his comments are 100% accurate.

Parents who insist on traveling separately as a safeguard to ensure one of them is able to care for their adult child in the event of an accident, living with the knowledge that both of them passing away will mean the child moves to a group home most likely.

Others who cannot handle the demands as caregiver and simply get divorced over it. Some who call CPS because they can’t handle the danger that their child poses to their other children. Some who are flight risks that will literally just take off running (usually right to bodies of water) given the chance, putting parents completely on guard.

These are just a few of the issues before getting into “the autism diet” and chronic digestive issues. The fact that somehow a gluten free, casein free diet usually results in significant behavioral improvements leading many people to suspect that what we’re eating environmentally is contributing to the problem.

RFK Jr is giving a voice to parents who are scared, confused and fully aware that nobody is listening to them. If you had any idea the number of parents who are afraid to tell you when the symptoms started because they know you don’t want to believe them, it would shock you.

If you want to know what most people in the community believe is the root cause, it’s aluminum.

I realize that all things associated Trump are destined to get this crazy narrative but RFK Jr has been fighting for these families for at least 20 years. His desire to help people is genuine and not something in question.

goku12

> Hasn’t RFK Jr spent his entire life trying to find the cause and cure for autism?

Has he? That 'cure' part makes it pretty clear what his background with autism is. He has no clue about it. It's certainly not a disease nor a brain injury that can be cured. And it's too complex to be caused by something like a vaccine. All I see is that he has a particular disdain for autistic people and he wants to use autism to target something else - perhaps vaccines.

> My life is pretty close to this community

Do you have an academic or professional background on the condition? Or are you someone with autism? If so, you may claim some credibility. There are even associations of parents of autistic kids who spout pseudo-scientific nonsense about autism. And they routinely get fact-checked and opposed by associations of autistic people themselves.

> I can verify that all of his comments are 100% accurate.

CDC falls under HHS, right? They published the results about a week ago and it clearly said that the higher incidence of autism is due to improved diagnosis. And then he went on to trash those findings publicly. Why should I believe a career politician over a whole bunch of career medical professionals on this? Considering his past and political stance as well, he has exactly zero credibility on this matter.

> Parents who insist on traveling separately as a safeguard to ensure one of them is able to care for their adult child in the event of an accident, living with the knowledge that both of them passing away will mean the child moves to a group home most likely.

Am I to assume that you're a parent of an autistic kid? If so, let me warn you now. You're doing something more harmful to your kid than what you described. And one more thing. Your view of autism is still very narrow. What you're describing is level 3 autism at best. Some symptoms don't even sound like autism, and could be some other condition. You should perhaps check with a specialist or a level 1 autistic to learn what autism really is and what it feels like (higher level kids often find it hard to communicate their feelings).

> Some who call CPS because they can’t handle the danger that their child poses to their other children.

Very much on point with what I said above. Harmful and hurtful behavior is not an autistic symptom. That sounds more like a cluster-B personality disorder. Not that they can't coexist, but this is a very harmful stereotype. But I'm not surprised.

> These are just a few of the issues before getting into “the autism diet” and chronic digestive issues.

Autism is a neuro-developmental condition. Autistic brains are wired differently, if you will. There are many environmental factors that influence autistic people's behavior - albeit temporarily. Food is one of the less important ones among them. And if you think it is a cure, you are in for big disappointment.

> RFK Jr is giving a voice to parents who are scared, confused and fully aware that nobody is listening to them.

Instead of a politician vying for attention, you should try to understand your kid first. If they have difficulty expressing it, try to talk to a specialist or someone with more verbal autism. They are very common - that's why the 1 in 31 statistics. Then you may get some idea about what to really focus on.

> If you had any idea the number of parents who are afraid to tell you when the symptoms started because they know you don’t want to believe them, it would shock you.

I have investigated various matters throughout my career. That statement has all the symptoms of confirmation bias. The way to get an unbiased result is to do a large-scale, randomized (double-)blind study. You need quantified data, not emotional anecdotes. And if you have something specific in mind and the quantified info to back it up, then we can discuss. Otherwise, those assertions are moot. And for that matter, do you know that these symptoms are extremely hard to identify in infants? The timing of recognition of those symptoms is a rather unreliable indicator for anything.

And remember what I said before - a lot of autistic parents' associations are in the business of spreading misinformation. They're widely opposed and debunked by associations of autistic people themselves.

> If you want to know what most people in the community believe is the root cause, it’s aluminum.

Let me guess. The adjuvant in vaccines? I know where that comes from. If you fancy your own research, try searching up the research papers on that topic. Pay special attention to the authors and the citations. Then check the affiliations of those authors, including funding sources. That will tell you a very enlightening story. To summarize the technical argument, the aluminum used in vaccines don't reach neurotoxic levels even for infants.

> His desire to help people is genuine and not something in question.

His actions at the HHS indicate otherwise. I would rather trust the qualified career medical professionals and researchers he fired. And let's not forget the disastrous way in which he's handling the measles outbreak. I can see how you're emotionally invested in this matter. But please don't assume that the people on the other side aren't.

Tireings

I agree generally but I hope we make as much real anonymous health data available for research.

Google is certified and runs the biggest medical database with (I believe without googling this) the biggest hospital operator in the USA.

I have a condition which is rare enough that it doesn't get enough funding and data is missing

croes

Didn’t they already show that these data can’t really be anonymized if it should still be useful?

mschuster91

> Google is certified

That doesn't matter _at all_ when the government comes knocking at Google's door - in the best case, they have a subpoena that can at least be appealed afterwards, in the worst case it's DOGE teens backed by a bunch of heavily armed guys in camouflage.

ohgr

Indeed. No data is safe or secure in such environments.

This has become an issue big enough that the US company I work for is actually removing data from US cloud providers to make it harder to get at. The European divisions have started data sovereignty projects because it's now a principal risk.

I'm out of the cloud as well.

ohgr

I would leave that in the hands of professionals though.

Which is evidentially not this lot. Not even remotely.

formerly_proven

The criteria for diagnosing ASD today are vastly different from those that would’ve resulted in an autism diagnosis shortly after the abolishment of lobotomy, it is hardly surprising the rate keeps going up as you widen the net.

jsheard

> shortly after the abolishment of lobotomy

That's an important bit of context whenever RFK Jr. talks about how conditions like Autism and ADHD weren't a thing when he was growing up - his own aunt, who may well have had one of those conditions, was dealt with by giving her a lobotomy and then hiding her away. Those are the supposedly better times he's harkening back to.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosemary_Kennedy

ekianjo

Lobotomy was not given to young children even when it was a thing...

RacingTheClock

In this case lobotomy was put on a non consenting 23 year old. So much better?

shepherdjerred

> who was one of the youngest survivors of the transorbital lobotomy, a procedure performed on him when he was 12 years old.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Dully

jampekka

This is a huge factor, in ASD and in mental/behavioral issues in general. Not saying it's a bad thing but it makes comparison over time to be apples to oranges.

StefanBatory

Also... the picture of left-handed people would fit in here.

https://slowrevealgraphs.com/2021/11/08/rate-of-left-handedn...

The very much same applies here I think.

mschuster91

> The criteria for diagnosing ASD today are vastly different

Not that much.

The difference between now and 50 years ago is that a) we don't just throw them into asylums, b) we actually have accessibility of getting diagnosed, c) employment opportunities suitable for many people with mental disabilities (such as factory line assembly) have gone down the drain.

AlecSchueler

None of those points are related to diagnostic criteria.

crote

No, they are related to the pool of people being diagnosed.

You're only getting a diagnosis if a) you have access to a psychiatrist and b) you are running into enough issues in your daily life to warrant having it looked into.

Life has gotten a lot more complex over the past few decades, so people run into issues more often - and earlier in life. Someone who would've just been "a bit of a weird guy" 50 years ago is getting an autism diagnosis today, simply because these days they run into issues as a child and are being put in front of a psychiatrist.

dns_snek

> Not that much.

Very much so. What we now call Autism Spectrum Disorder was referred to as "childhood schizophrenia" in the DSM-2 [1], things only started moving in the right direction with the DSM-3 [2] when it was finally sort-of recognized as an independent disorder of "infantile autism", but some core elements of ASD like sensory processing differences were only recognized in the DSM-5.

There's a good overview at [3]. It's good that criteria are different today, the criteria from decades ago failed to include majority of ways that autism expresses itself, many of which benefit from support and accommodations even though they're not obviously debilitating.

[1] https://www.madinamerica.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/DSM-...

[2] https://aditpsiquiatriaypsicologia.es/images/CLASIFICACION%2...

[3] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8531066/

pridkett

And let’s not forget that until the DSM-V, a child could not be diagnosed with both autism and ADHD (see section E at the bottom of this table [0] showing changes from the DSM-IV to DSM-V):

> The symptoms do not occur exclusively during the course of a pervasive developmental disorder, schizophrenia, or other psychotic disorders and is not better accounted for by another mental disorder (e.g., mood disorder, anxiety disorder, dissociative disorder, or a personality disorder).

The DSM-V states that they can exist together. In fact something like 28-44% of people with Autism exhibit some form of ADHD. [1]

It just goes to show that we’re still evolving in how we understand things. And then we can get into things like twice exceptionality and Asperger’s…and yeah. Lots to learn.

[0]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK519712/table/ch3.t3/

[1]: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...

chiefalchemist

Yes, but is that a feature or a bug? Certainly those who define these things understand the need and value of historic tracking. And yet the target keeps moving.

If expanding the definition is the feature required action should be taken to mitigate the bug. True?

NomDePlum

What's the link between ASD and lobotomies?

viraptor

Progress of understanding.

NomDePlum

Sorry, still not that clear to me.

Are you saying that there is no direct link but rather understanding of various areas increased due to the stopping of this practice?

cma

I think he's just trying to choose a point in time when mental healthcare was more primitive to go along with saying the diagnosis is more sophisticated now.

A main thing is that people with autism would just be classified as generally mentally disabled and the rise in autism is highly tied a drop in that general diagnosis. I don't think that covers 100% of the rise but does seem to make up the big majority.

U.S. special-education autism classification was created in 1994 and tied to a big rise in diagnosis.

https://news.wisc.edu/data-provides-misleading-picture-of-au...

NomDePlum

Thanks. That helps.

arcticfox

gift link to a related NYT Opinion piece by an actual (very liberal) parent living this reality that may surprise some people

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/25/opinion/autism-rfk-parent...

As a very liberal parent of a profoundly autistic child, there has never been article I've related to more. The condescension of fellow liberals and advocates for level 1 autism for us, much of which is present in this thread already, is incredibly frustrating and in many ways harder to stomach than RFK Jr.

RFK Jr is at a minimum a misguided nutjob - but he's also the only one to ever recognize our plight on a national stage.

A4ET8a8uTh0_v2

I feel for you, because I am not sure how I would fare in that circumstance. That said, the opinion piece is in itself a frustrating.

<< Autism has become an identity, a different way of thinking and existing.

I think, this sentence, more than anything else in that article aggravates me the most and I am not entirely certain why. It is not some sort of rhetorical question. I simply struggle to understand the obsession US denizens have with identity. Everyone is 2% cherokee indian, 2/5 italian and maybe a little dutch on non-pagan holidays. And this does not spare the parents. They are X parents. Puppy parents. Teenager parents. Autist parents. All in an attempt to establish some sort of identity that can be displayed to the society at large.

<< Children with autism have a right to an appropriate education, to accommodations, changes in the classroom to help them succeed; we have sensory-friendly days at the zoo.

Sure, but at the expense of the non-autistic kids? What does that statement actually mean?

<< I don’t care if my child ever pays taxes

In case there is any kind of doubt, the society does. If the registry is not intended as an intentionally bad thing(tm) by RFK jr himself, you can rest assured it is absolutely seen as a way to ensure that more taxpayers exist ( and this is the charitable parsing of that registry ).

<< She did not destroy my family,

This is an interesting one. There are people who do derive meaning from service such as this, but they do not strike me as a majority of the population. At best, it puts a heavy strain on the familial ties.. and for a very obvious reason.. it is not a light cross to bear. And we do like easy mode. But to actively deny that it is a strain is silly.. because while it did not break the author, the same issue definitely took some families down.

<< I want to know why regressive autism happens

I think most of us on this forum can agree that knowledge can be useful.

refurb

Why is a comment like this downvoted? I found value in it since I likely wouldn't have come across this information otherwise.

The comment is simply sharing an article from someone directly affected. What happened to intellectual curiosity? Diversity of opinion? It's comments like this we need more of on HN, not less of.

Boogie_Man

If they come out with a list of twenty adjustments they're going to make based on the study (things like but not necessary including: banning certain fire retardents, attempt to reduce break/tire pollution, adjusting the timing of (but not eliminating) the vaccine schedule, banning specific food additives, reducing/modifying specific pesticide use) I will believe this is a legitimate and well intentioned effort from someone who is orientationally correct but frequently epistemologically incorrect. If it's just "eliminate all vaccines" then I'll be very disappointed.

The third reich response a lot of other commenters are having is interesting. I'm no expert and have not investigated autism, but if the messaging in response to RFK JR is "yeah he says 1 in 36 kids have autism now but actually that's fine and how it always has been and actually autism is good and he's actually Eichmann" you're going to drive a lot of people right to every unsubstantiated thing he says.

RacingTheClock

I think 1 in 36 kids having autism is similar to how breast cancer diagnosis shot up when we had better imaging ability or when we figured out prostate cancer was actually fairly common in older men but not usually something worth doing anything about. When we merged in aspergers and autism together that obviously makes autism rates higher and as research continues on diagnosing autism it makes sense rates increase from there too? I mean in the past we thought autism was only common in boys!

Boogie_Man

I sincerely hope this is the explanation and I will be frustrated if this information is not presented as a percentage of the increase as part of the report. If it fully explains the increase, even better.

RacingTheClock

I agree that I’m frustrated that this isn’t being coveted. Asperger’s being moved into autism was huge news at the time, so idk how RFK missed something so obvious and is pointing to quackery like vaccines. I don’t understand how we got to the point where cranks are trying to to prove their assumptions instead of real scientists.

theoreticalmal

This is a very valid point, but one RFK has mention he controls for in the past

firesteelrain

Some of those proposed adjustments are already in place in EU like the dyes. Regardless of possible autism link, it’s a good thing. But some are blinded by politics and can’t see that two things can be true. Trump Admin does bad things and good things

llm_nerd

Why would a list of random "adjustments" lend legitimacy to their effort? If they told you that going barefoot and talking in Pig Latin would solve autism, would that give it legitimacy? Maybe soap is actually suppressing our natural bio-film so we should all forsake showering. I mean, someone could contrive a laughable explanation to justify that, and maybe make a graph that hygiene improvements worldwide correlated with the rise of ASD, so start stinkin' evenyone.

We know, with utter certainty, that the conclusion of this farce will be completely unproven lazy correlations that are so common in the scammer industry. Maybe it's seed oils, or HFCS, or the chemicals, etc. There is no outcome of RFK Jrs farce that won't be an absolute joke.

>The third reich response

Anyone who doesn't see incredible parallels with the rise of Hitler's heinous crimes is not paying attention. Oh look, they're going after the press and judges now, but don't worry until they're not suffixing the Hitler salutes with "my heart to yours" or something it surely can't be real. Further, the "they're going to make me believe this garbage person" argument is always laughable. No one buys it. People who like these creeps should just be honest about it and save the tired "you made me" bit that positively no one believes.

But sure, the only thing I can agree with you on is that the "autism is actually great" fringe is not helpful. Autism is not good, and most people with autism, even the ones who don't need around the clock care, would rather they didn't. ASD is likely basically a manifestation of evolution, and is biology playing random variations to test survivability, as it has done through human history. It gives us some super-intellectually focused individuals that contribute massively to humanity, but it also gives us a lot of very sad people who can't connect and sometimes need enormous levels of care.

Indeed, genetics are widely considered the prevalent "cause" of ASD. It's possible that autism really has become more common -- if it actually has and it isn't simply increased or more inclusive diagnoses -- because our information/engineering age has given people who carry ASD genetics more, errr, marketability on the reproduction market. Instead of being outcasts, what we used to call "Aspergers" sufferers, such as myself, suddenly make lots of money and get to be high status. But that's a lazy guess at most. But we do know that people on the ASD spectrum, including the most successful ones who found ways to make it work, are much more likely to have children on the spectrum, no outside environmental cause being necessary.

BlueTemplar

Ultimately, whether one thinks that having more volume of and more or less fragmented statistics is good or bad depends on their opinion of the State.

Olivier Ray wrote a great book about the history of statistics : Quand le monde s’est fait nombre (fr)

https://archive.org/details/OlivierReynombre/

https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/les-chemin....

https://www.fnac.com/a9931250/Olivier-Rey-Quand-le-monde-s-e...

llbeansandrice

The state has made their intentions crystal clear…

BenFranklin100

“Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the nation’s top health official, repeatedly said before taking office that vaccines cause autism, despite overwhelming scientific evidence that they do not. He has declined to disavow his statements and has continued to promote a possible link.”

Having worked directly with autism researchers, I can confidently tell you that RFK is making a wild guess not based in current evidence. All the data we have indicate autism is a multifactorial condition with a genetic/developmental component that may or may not be affected by the environment.

RFK is genuinely a danger to health care in the United States.

SiempreViernes

Calling it a "guess" seems very generous at this point, saying it is a "lie" is more accurate I think.

ohgr

Never attribute to malice what cannot be adequately explained by stupidity. And he is one stupid fuck.

QuadmasterXLII

Never attribute to stupidity what looks ambiguous between stupidity and malice but makes a shit ton of money.

goku12

Add a new rule: Don't assume that that rule is always true. Especially when the subject's income depends on either.

ZeroGravitas

"Grift" might be a more appropriate term and so the more appropriate aphorism might be:

> "It's difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on not understanding it." -Upton Sinclair"

arcticfox

I don't know much about RFK Jr, I hope he is just stupid. But if you dig into the origins of the vaccine situation, much of it was driven simply by a desire to make money using vaccine manufacturers, and the "proof" was retrofitted to the goal with junk science that was essentially abusing disabled children. (Horribly invasive medical procedures with no medical necessity).

feverzsj

I'd guess it's ultra-processed foods.

criddell

Why guess? Isn’t that basically what RFK is accused of doing?

mrtksn

The controversy seems to be stemmed from American's relationship with their government. Most European countries do have many different(including autism and other stuff) centralized book keeping and registries to help with monitoring and management of certain deceases and conditions. During Covid-19 UK and Turkey were able to quickly iterate their response based on the centralized data collected and most of the EU also had similar stuff and later they were able to look back into the data to see if Covid or the vaccines caused further issues down the road. IMHO vaccines are much less controversial in those societies because it's pretty easy to look ot up when a Twitter influencer claims something.

But hey, considering what happened the last few months maybe Americans have a point for their case. In most of the Europe governments collapse and streets burn for much less all the time, in US they don't appear to have a recourse for at least 4 years.

Maybe its a good idea not to give the data to government affiliated billionaires that can crunch some numbers, feed the data to a machibne and come up with an optimization solutions like "If we can get rid of those suboptimal humans we can pay less income taxes". What are you going to do if the machine tells you that if an autist isn't making x amount of money by the age y it is drain to the society and the formula suggest that a deportation yields better outcomes financially?

lawn

This is just another angle of placing people in camps.

Combine this with the overzealous focus on transvestites and the so called "illegal aliens" you should see a pattern with where the Nazis began.

Freak_NL

> transvestites

The focus seems to lie on transgender people, not cross dressers.

torlok

I don't think there's much discern, given the outrage around the Drag Queen Story Hour.

Freak_NL

The type of person driving this pointless cultural war would like to make it seem that this is essentially all about men dressing up as women telling children things they shouldn't know — both erasing the fact that trans men exist, and deliberately linking both drag and transgenderism to sexual perversion and implied paedophilia while lumping the two groups together.

So let's keep the words we use sensible and devoid from (intended or unintended) bigotry.

Besides, drag queens and kings usually are not transgender¹. It is a type of performance featuring a carefully crafted, over-the-top persona, not a full-time endeavour, and it is, crucially, an act. A transgender person isn't acting.

1: I would guess not more so than other groups of people.

lawn

Yeah, my bad.

tsimionescu

I think the point was to use a "historical" term to evoke how the nazis would have spoken about trans people.

torlok

Don't forget the obsession with IQ, even if it died down recently.

prox

Even if you are a current supporter of this administration this all should give you a moment of pause really. Even if you think the current administration isn’t about this, and it’s fear mongering by the media to you, what if the next administration goes a step further than you like, and this is where the door was set open?

There is a reason the constitution was set up the way it was in the light of not having a King and not being unfairly treated.

yapyap

No he is saying putting people in camps like murder camps / forced labor camps / concentration camps.

Not in camps like divided by opinion.

european-pierre

https://encyclopedia.ushmm.org/content/en/article/euthanasia... "On August 18, 1939, the Reich Ministry of the Interior circulated a decree requiring all physicians, nurses, and midwives to report newborn infants and children under the age of three who showed signs of severe mental or physical disability." "Beginning in October 1939, public health authorities began to encourage parents of children with disabilities to admit their young children to one of a number of specially designated pediatric clinics throughout Germany and Austria. In reality, the clinics were children's killing wards. There, specially recruited medical staff murdered their young charges by lethal overdoses of medication or by starvation."

Spivak

Nit, nobody actually cares all that much about transvestites. Vest like from vestments meaning clothes. They're cross-dressers. Historically transsexual or transgender (depends on the country which one is the more prominent term) people have been called transvestites but it was a mischaracterization. Someone born with XX chromosomes but who lives his life full-time as a man is very different from a woman who likes to dress up like a man for sexual or other pleasure.

tsimionescu

While you're right on the terms, you're wrong about the stigma on cross-dressing. There is really very little distinction bigots make between their hate for cross-dressing and their hate for trans people. It all falls under a big umbrella of "degeneracy" to them. Even actors in cross-dressing roles are often hated by these people.

Spivak

I mean there certainly is a stigma, the stigma is probably on average greater than the current stigma surrounding trans people because even Republicans understand gender dysphoria as an illness. Ohio's Republican governor DeWine is, even by Democrat standards a huge trans rights and treatment supporter even for minors. It's legitimately uncanny to read stories about him from back home. But cross-dressers occupy an almost exclusively sexual connotation now that femboy/butch/tomboy/andro occupy the common term for just casually dressing in a manner defying gender norms.

But when it comes to policy actions taken by bigots they pretty narrowly target transgender people. If for no other reason than trying to legislate dress is going to (and has) run into 1A issues for anything not extremely narrowly scoped. Project 2025, arguably the comprehensive policy manifesto for the new GOP only really outlines policy targeting transgender persons.