Why does Britain feel so poor?
399 comments
·April 4, 2025IndianITGuy
d3nj4l
I've had very similar experiences in India. Incredibly expensive, well-furnished homes surrounded by streets filled with trash. The people living in there don't even walk outside any more, it's too hot/polluted/dirty for that. They get everything delivered to them or go for work/events in their fancy car.
cpach
Must be incredibly boring to live like that!?
ASalazarMX
Only the commute, I guess. You constantly go from wealth point to wealth point through a brief poverty scenery.
ZeroTalent
boring and depressing if you have any self-awareness. yet India announced they eliminated all poverty recently. I've visited in the last months. It's still the dystopia that it always was.
shiandow
Are those kitchen and bathroom numbers supposed to be shockingly high? Over here you're not far off just dividing the house price by the number of rooms.
IndianITGuy
I'm just throwing numbers around based on my experience. In the USA, I got a full kitchen remodel done for 25k in a modest, clean, homey kitchen in a $750k home. Then I visit some high-end residences, and their kitchens look like Gordon Ramsay shows up every night to cook a private dinner. It's a stark contrast.
I was once debating between granite countertops that ranged from 5k to 10k—like it was a make-or-break decision for my budget—only to walk into a home where the owners start rambling on about how much of a pain it was to get custom wood countertops imported from Brazil, sourcing the same industrial kitchen range that michelin star cook cooks use, industrial fridge/freezer setups, marble floor tiling, and every single top-of-the-line thing in a kitchen you can possibly think of.
Considering I spent 25k on a modest kitchen with brand new top of the line Samsung appliances in a fairly large house in a "high-income" area, I’d say these folks are spending 4-5 times what I did. And honestly, my guess might be an underestimate. The elites and upper-middle class have DEEP pockets.
dnemmers
A 25k ‘full’ kitchen remodel in 750k house in a HCOL area is a VERY good deal. How hands off were you in the process?
philipallstar
It's deep pockets often from house price inflation due to demand increases from immigration and price increases from the rise of two-income households. The latter won't continue to happen, although the former will.
ethbr1
People underappreciate how much luxury pricing diverges.
When you have a customer base with 1000x average income, you will rapidly find there's a 1000x priced option... even if it's only 2% better than something priced 10x average (or often, simply labelled differently).
korse
Why do you go straight from upper-middle to elite? Is this something peculiar to the UK which I am missing? As a US citizen, I am used to upper-middle class lacking the purchasing power you describe (not that people don't try to compensate via borrowing) and an entire ecosystem of 'rich' that sit between the middle class and the elite.
roryirvine
Likely a difference in terminology.
"Upper middle class" in the UK comprises the top 5% or so of the population. They tend to be senior professionals or business owners, are likely to be privately educated, will probably speak with a "received pronunciation" (rather than regional) accent, and have significant asset wealth.
"Upper class" is reserved for landed gentry, nobility, etc. They're people who can live off long-standing inherited wealth and don't need jobs or even education (though many still do have them, of course).
reedf1
Middle class does not translate across the atlantic. Middle in the UK might be what an American calls upper. Upper class in the UK is reserved for royalty.
ASalazarMX
Also, classical middle class is shrinking. Middle class didn't use to mean people who would become poor after a few months without paychecks. There are people who consider themselves middle class, but whose wealth is actually negative.
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IndianITGuy
It's just my perspective—limited as it might be. I'm from the US, so my general view aligns with yours. However, everything shifts when I fly into a random UK town. You get these shitty streets that give off “Baltimore, might get stabbed” vibes, with infrastructure in complete shambles, and then you step into a townhouse owned by someone making about what I do—and inside, it's a mini-Saudi royal palace.
I’m no economist, but after working closely with many UK clients, I’ve noticed something: the upper-middle class here may not be flush with current cash flow, but they're sitting on a ridiculous amount of generational wealth that's been safely accumulated over the last 200 years within tight-knit family networks. In my view, the elites have both robust current cash flow and deep generational wealth, while the upper-middle class primarily relies on that generational cushion. They might not be buying Bugattis like the elites, but they're still living extremely luxurious, lavish lifestyles. Anyone without that kind of inherited wealth—unless you hit it big with a million-dollar tech idea—is stuck in the rat race, whether you're working at Starbucks or engineering at a tech firm.
The US seems a bit different. Here, there’s more opportunity to generate enough cash flow within one generation to set up the next with “generational” wealth. In the UK, it takes longer—about 3–4 generations—to build that legacy. But once a family in the UK secures this wealth, it tends to provide a relatively stable, luxurious life for the next 2–3 generations. In the US, while you might build wealth in just one generation, it can just as quickly vanish—sometimes within a single generation or even half one—due to medical debt, mismanagement, or economic swings. It takes a structured effort, clear strategy, and a strong individual family culture to preserve wealth in the US. If it’s not properly secured, that wealth ends up transferring to someone else who is setting up their own cycle of generational prosperity.
I also think the UK’s cultural and systemic setup makes it much harder for wealth to move from family networks at the top down to the working class. Over the past 10 years, globally, more wealth has shifted from the working class to the upper-middle and elite tiers. In the UK, that wealth is now entrenched at the top for the next four generations—even if the flow stops today, it’s going to stay that way for another 50 years or so. In the US, although wealth has also moved upward, there’s a genuine chance for it to “expire” at the top within 5-10 years and start cycling back down to the working class. I think this is the major difference in US economics as opposed to much of the world.
That said, who really knows what will happen given today’s global political climate? Everything’s kind of up in the air right now, and we'll have to see how it all settles over the next few years.
korse
Thanks. Explanation much appreciated!
Jensson
USA doesn't have nobility like Europe does, nobility was the original definition of upper class.
hintymad
Nassim Nicholas Taleb wrote something like below in this book Skin in the Game. It looks to me that there is a lot of inequality and unfairness hidden in the Europe.
"Consider that about ten percent of Americans will spend at least a year in the top one percent and more than half of all Americans will spent a year in the top ten percent[1]. This is visibly not the same for the more static –but nominally more equal –Europe. For instance, only ten percent of the wealthiest five hundred American people or dynasties were so thirty years ago; more than sixty percent of those on the French list were heirs and a third of the richest Europeans were the richest centuries ago. In Florence, it was just revealed that things are really even worse: the same handful of families have kept the wealth for five centuries."
And there is more quoted here: https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d...
Gud
There is a vast difference between the UK and the rest of Europe, in this regard.
Full disclosure, I travel all over Europe for work and in the last 3 years, 1 of them was in the UK. The divide between the rich and poor is incredible.
Further, the only place I’ve seen so many young homeless men on the streets is in the UK. Not seen it anywhere else.
prawn
Been several years since I was over there. What are the public spaces like?
Go back to my childhood (Australia) and a playground was a very basic slide, possibly weathered and with minimal regard for safety and no landscaping beside mown lawns. A public plaza would've been pretty austere. Now, either have quite premium fit-outs - high end playgrounds, thoughtful and professional landscaping, etc. The budgets would be huge. And there are still very premium fit-outs in many houses.
jasonm23
> It’s because it’s been withdrawn from the commons and buried behind closed doors.
That happened in the 80s. This is not a new sensation in England, just a worsening one.
senordevnyc
Sounds exactly like Galbraith's concept of "private opulence and public squalor"
splix
I'm wondering what should be the right way here. Taking the doorframe trim for £10K.
I see there could be like 3 options: 1) hide wealth / do not spend this money; 2) distribute to economy / i.e. pay a tradesman to curve the frame; 3) donate money to a fund or throw from a balcony to the crowd.
It doesn't seem that 1 cold be helpful to anyone. We see 2 in those examples, but it seem you imply that it's not the best way. So we have the only the 3rd option left, with donations. Is that what is considered as the best option? Is it sustainable in a long term?
gspetr
Throwing from balconies doesn't work. Pavel Durov tried it in 2012, it quickly turned into a brawl under the balcony. So the one above got bad reputation, being called out by the media for making PR stunts in bad taste, and the ones below might have even had negative ROI, if that money went to pay for medical bills.
poincaredisk
I have no idea, but what about investing the money? (yourself into something new, or just into the stock market)
splix
I'm sure they do it at the first place. It seems to be p.2 here, but it even less acceptable by many, as it's just "greedy people multiplying their wealth." Speaking of "fixing outside world," I'm not sure why it's the better than paying to a tradesman?
prawn
Isn't the trim/joinery/etc effectively 'investing' the money into (hopefully) skilled craftspeople? In Australia, the equivalent project might involve using local premium timber instead of imported, or custom cabinetry over imported flat-pack.
gchadwick
I think a key part of the 'poor' feeling in day to day experience comes from councils' inability to do maintenance, things like pot holes, children's play equipment, public toilet, general upkeep on public spaces and services like libraries. In the grand scheme of things this isn't too expensive but it's been cut to the bone due to way local government funding works. This is explored in the article:
> in large part because they’re mandated to write blank cheques for social care with no support or strategy from central government. Individual cases in Central Bedfordshire are now costing up to £750,000 per year, a quarter of the entire libraries and leisure budget and an amount that is rising rapidly with no apparent ceiling. As I wrote previously, “In a single year, residential care costs for children have increased by £2,000 per child… per week,” taking the average cost for a single case from ~£200,000 to ~£300,000 per child per year, again with little explanation as to where the money is going or how this is even possible.
> Similarly, “school transport costs have increased by over 100% - from £9m to £20m - in just 4 years” - that’s driven by an unexplained rise in the number of SEND pupils eligible for support and it amounts to roughly the same as - deep breath - the transport, roads, parking, libraries, leisure, housing benefit, public protection and safety budgets combined. Central Bedfordshire Council is not an outlier here - collectively, council overspends on SEND services are set to hit £2bn in the next year, risking further bankruptcies. Again this is not about pitting children against libraries, but asking if we seriously believe we’re addressing either of these things well?
Local councils have to pay the very large bills for social care and supporting SEND children but have basically little control over how it's spent or levers to help control the bills.
Fixing this so councils can once again spend relative minor amounts of money improving the public realm could go a long way to improving day to day experience. Definitely some other large structural problems (see the huge costs of HS2) but it would provide a noticeable improvement in people's lives and potentially isn't too hard for a government willing to make some bold changes around taxation, local government funding and providing proper national strategy and funding on social care.
pjc50
The unfunded mandate system for councils is extremely stupid. Local democracy has long been bad in the UK, but mandating policy centrally and then letting that destroy any connection between local taxation and local budgeting is even worse.
gchadwick
It's even worse when paired with the ability for a local authority to go bankrupt when it can't cover the bills and be forced to sell off major capital assets (e.g. buildings, sometimes of significant public interest like concerts halls, leisure centres and other community venues).
Of course the actual place continues to exist so the local authority will continue to exist in another form, this time with fewer major capital assets and they're paying rents to the people who now own them instead.
As pointed out in the article you could see this happen when something entirely out of the authorities control (e.g. spending on SEND children due to the massive increase in eligible children in Central Bedfordshire's case) causes it too.
Muromec
>It's even worse when paired with the ability for a local authority to go bankrupt when it can't cover the bills and be forced to sell off major capital assets (e.g. buildings, sometimes of significant public interest like concerts halls, leisure centres and other community venues).
Which may be perceived as a actual goal of this mandate if you have enough of tinfoil in your hat.
varispeed
> "In a single year, residential care costs for children have increased by £2,000 per child… per week"
and child is being looked after by barely qualified minimum wage worker (often actually paid below minimum wage if you add unpaid overtime and foreign workers not knowing the laws), meanwhile owners of care services live opulent lifestyles in places like Dubai. UK services market is not free, which is part of the problem.
prawn
For anyone else unaware:
SEND = "Special educational needs and disabilities"
andybak
Thank you. I'm in the UK and I've never heard this before.
RobinL
To make matters worse, there's also litte evidence that the increases in spending on SEND provision have led to better outcomes.
I can't help feeling like this is a vicious cycle - the lack of community facilities is causing greater isolation, causing a rise in health needs and so on.
BurningFrog
Sounds like whoever receives the SEND money has a lot of political power.
mike_hearn
There's bad policy in other areas. Councils are going bankrupt due to court cases and equity laws that say any gender pay gap is the result of discrimination. Therefore they were found guilty because they are paying e.g. bin men or sewage workers more than mostly female jobs like nurses and librarians. They obviously have to do this because those jobs are dangerous and unpleasant so if you paid the same as other jobs nobody would want to do them. But the courts disagreed and now the councils have to pay huge sums out in equal pay lawsuits that they can't afford.
All this is a direct result of bad, ideological law making combined with a biased judiciary that interprets it in bad, ideological ways. Unfortunately it's the ideology Labour is in thrall too and they're in power for several years at minimum and maybe much longer if the right stays split, so the state of Britain's infrastructure will continue to sharply decline.
pseudalopex
> Councils are going bankrupt due to court cases and equity laws that say any gender pay gap is the result of discrimination.
Where can I read about this?
mike_hearn
This summary is OK:
https://grok.com/share/bGVnYWN5_d7ff3a8f-9cf7-4ff3-837a-0bbb...
Although Grok thinks the problem lies in "deep rooted inequalities", whereas I'd say it's pretty normal for jobs like bin men to be paid more than cleaners. It's one of the most dangerous jobs you can do, due to the frequency with which they get hit by cars.
gruez
https://www.economist.com/britain/2025/02/06/british-equal-v...
paywall bypass: https://archive.is/MLC49
It only mentions councils in passing and doesn't cover them going bankrupt over it, but it covers the issue at hand, which affects the private sector as well.
varispeed
> general upkeep on public spaces and services like libraries
This is also a cultural issue. In large cities, people often don't feel as being part of the community and they don't take pride in their surroundings. They put rubbish everywhere, vandalise. There is little done to change that. They see neighbour has nice flowers in the garden? Instead of admiring, they will cut them off.
OtherShrezzing
>This is also a cultural issue. In large cities, people often don't feel as being part of the community and they don't take pride in their surroundings. They put rubbish everywhere, vandalise. There is little done to change that. They see neighbour has nice flowers in the garden? Instead of admiring, they will cut them off.
I don't think this aligns with the lived-experience of most Britons. The big cities are mostly litter-free areas, and people can have well tended gardens go unmolested by neighbours.
varispeed
Not my experience from living in South London. There is rubbish everywhere and I had my front garden vandalised many times.
Cthulhu_
"In large cities" is very much a sweeping generalisation. What you're describing sounds a lot like it's caused by broken window syndrome; people put rubbish everywhere because there's no good trash collection system (I know in the UK people have to pay for it, so they just dump it in nature instead. Collect it from people's doorsteps for free and fly tipping wouldn't be nearly as big an issue anymore.
Vandalism is a difficult one. But it's likely because the people doing it don't have anything better to do, no hobbies, jobs, families, responsibilities, etc. And also, broken window syndrome.
But then you look at e.g. east or southeast asia and they have things like neat closed off bus stops with heating and you're like, "Why can't we have nice things?". We're stuck with glass booths with a beam for leaning against at best. Glass so that people in there are visible and don't use it as a public toilet, uncomfortable seating so people don't use it as a hang-out or sleeping spot. But the design adapts to a problem, one which the government has little interest in fixing - or which would infringe on people's rights.
mattmanser
We don't have to pay for it, it's just part of the general council tax [1], so if you're exempt from that, you get free rubbish collections.
We also have free bulky waste collection, so again, we actually already have that. You just have to arrange for it. You are very poorly informed.
There are also free council run recycling centres (previously known as tips), where you can take stuff yourself. Some have a charge for hardcore, that's about it. Businesses cannot use them though and must pay for waste disposal themselves.
Fly tipping is fairly rare in the UK, I saw an armchair fly tipped on a train journey yesterday and it was notable because you rarely see that sort of thing.
There are areas with fly tipping problems, but usually because those people are lazy, not because of cost. And the council will clear it up (at least eventually depending on the area).
We are having a problem with councils struggling to perform their usual role at the moment. Running out of money. Potholes are a hot topic.
This is actually because our councils are mandated to provide care for old people, and the cost has sky rocketed in the last 2 decades, while they've been capped on how much they can raise their tax. So now almost 90% of my council tax gets spent on old person care instead of what most people might think it was for, bins, schools, parks, etc..
[1] It's not worth going into different taxes here, think of it as a state tax instead of a federal tax. In fact the UK government have a large degree of control in that they force the councils to spend most of it on mandated services and can dictate how much the councils are allowed to raise it by
philipallstar
> I know in the UK people have to pay for it, so they just dump it in nature instead. Collect it from people's doorsteps for free and fly tipping wouldn't be nearly as big an issue anymore.
This just isn't true. The council takes taxes at pain of going to jail to eventually pay for this service. Saying "make it free and the behaviour will change" is just nonsense. Things can't all be free. People need to make an effort to keep their neighbourhoods nice.
If they don't feel that a neighbourhood is "theirs" - that's more likely to be a problem.
pastage
In the cities I have been to this is not my experience, at least in South America and the Nordics. The wear and tear of lots of people means you need to design things differently in well visisted areas, but there a square meter sees more people in a day than you get in a year in small villages.
Muromec
Oh, look, the usual dogwhistle of "not throwing pataat op de straat".
HPsquared
Somehow, this isn't called corruption.
pjc50
It would be nice to have someone to point the finger at; SERCO? What evidence do we have?
anon291
For some reason Britain's migrant population is disproportionately reliant on government services. This is a common talking point in American politics, but doesn't seem a common one in English politics, but in England the data is pretty incontrivertible, whereas in America it's a bit harder to ascertain.
This is because America's alleged welfare queens are undocumented, whereas Britain's are there legally and the government actually has very good data on which groups are a net boon and which are a net draw on the economy.
I'm not a Brit and I could care less at the end of the day, but it does seem kind of bonkers to me to be importing people while your own country suffers.
deanc
It is absolutely untrue that this isn’t a talking point. It’s all the far right and tabloid newspapers talk about.
anon291
Fair enough. I don't see it on BBC or any of the british sources I read, and you'd think it'd be a pretty neutral topic, since the data is published by the central govt.
xhkkffbf
This is part of the problem. The venues that mention this are labeled "far right". The other ones try to ignore the issue because they want to pretend it isn't happening. But it shouldn't be a "far right" discussion. Everyone should be in on it because the consequences are so significant.
gghhzzgghhzz
Everything that provides any service or assistance to normal life has been sold off and rented back to us at enormous cost, often with many of extra financial scalping included in the systems we are forced to rely on. And a percentage of the extracted wealth is used to push political and public narrative to incentivise the selling off more.
Local authorities are forced to sell off assets and fire direct employees, then get charged a fortune to provide basic services and child and adult social care.
And for contracts and outsourcing, the ownership of the contract itself is the thing that gives value, not providing the actual service. Creating a whole set of perverse incentives.
A council should look at a pot hole in a road as a massive opportunity. Here is a chance to provide good quality work for local people and local resources, but the opposite happens.
We have a whole layer of service retailers e.g. for electricity and gas and communications, who are not more than a spreadsheet speculating on long term prices, a call centre and a web site. Their entire business model being based on a) not messing up the spreadsheet calculation b) enough people being lazy and not renewing or switching their contract every year.
Our financial services industry has massive positive PR, seen as a net good for the country. When in reality it is focused not on basic things like providing banking and direct insurance, but in attracting our best and brightest individuals from around the country and instead of having them put their talents to something productive. Instead reward them for creating and maintaining complex systems to move wealth around, asset strip regions, hide it from tax and create a layer of gambling and financial products on top of these systems.
I could go on.
fads_go
So you mean that Britian has pioneered the US's Project 2025 plan?
ceejayoz
Nah. The push for both plans originates at least in part from elsewhere.
Cthulhu_
Capitalism, to oversimplify. The powers that be realised there was money to be extracted and they did it. Packaging it as beneficial for the people; the usual line is "healthy competition will lower the prices for consumers" but I have never seen this work in practice. We have a few areas with competition, like cell phones or health insurance, but the cost and service level differences between them is minimal and there is no competition. Or if there is, it's lower prices at worse service / quality - the race to the bottom.
Reprivatize shit and put it in the hands of someone competent. Also, increase wages so that government agencies don't depend so much on expensive consultants / contractors.
Danieru
Everyone appears to agree that Britain is broken. The author recognizes that the issue is not a lack of taxes, but lack of care at where the money goes.
Sadly the author I think is getting distracted by specific issues. Focusing on school or social costs. Or specific large project over runs.
While I do not agree with him on many things, I think Dominic Cummings's treatment of the subject digs deeper: https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/q-and-a
You need to read through a ton, but it paints a picture of a government chasing newspaper headlines. And an overall ineffective method of running a country from the top down.
How could it be that an act of parliament is being held up by local councils? Parliament's orders used to be the law of the land. Now it is but one of many.
Often treatments of British decline read as if the authors wished Britain had been fire bombed to smithereens, and benefited from the Marshel Plan. Yet this undersells the British people. They know how to build new houses. They know how to build trains. Yet Britain as a whole is still searching for that win-win. The path to fixing problems without compromises.
Meanwhile Britain's managerial and governing class is so incompetent, it is hard to imagine replacements who would perform worse.
pjc50
Dominic Cummings got to be inside Number 10 and entirely blew it with Brexit and everything else. He belongs in the "discredited" pile with the Trussnomics lot.
mytailorisrich
No, actually his plan for Brexit was the most coherent, and Truss/Kwarteng were on the right track but executed appallingly badly.
If you go for Brexit the "hard way" as the country did then your way forward to compensate and to create growth is to find new competitive advantages and there are not many options apart from going low tax low regulations.
This never happened. Truss/Kwarteng made a bad and short-lived attempt and that was it.
I am not saying Brexit was a good idea but this is one of those massive changes of course that require "going big or going home" instead of trying to keep things as they were when that's impossible, and slowly fail (it does not mean that it would necessarily succeed but at least you're going for it).
pjc50
No, it was a massive failure in the market, because it was made of unfunded tax cuts to the well off, and we're watching how the "destroy all the regulatory stuff you don't understand" approach is working out in the US right now.
The lasting effect of Truss was to make the national debt problem much worse by pushing up interest rates.
samiv
If it already hasn't been said I'd really recommend anyone interested in this topic to checkout "Gary's Economics" on YouTube.
Even if you don't agree with him (and I know many don't for various reasons..) You have to admit that he does bring a new perspective to the table and (as a layman economist) it just makes logical sense.
Regardless, the main stream economists have not been able to either predict the economy or improve it (for the general majority of people) and it seems that every western economy is following the same trajectory where
- governments are broke and pulling back on their services to the public (health care, education etc.)
- working class is broke, living pay check to paycheck barely scraping by
- middle class is shrinking and financing their lives with ever increasing amounts of debt (mortgages)
All the above then begs the question, who has all the money? Who has all the wealth?jbjbjbjb
I think he massively misses the mark. If you look at Britain’s actual problems they’re not due to a lack of tax revenue or “the rich”. People aren’t able to save because their money is spent on housing and energy - both of those are due to poor policy.
schnitzelstoat
Yeah, the housing market is completely broken.
I feel more optimistic that the energy issue will be solved with a shift to nuclear and renewables.
Housing just seems so hard to fix as so many people have a vested interest in not fixing it.
James_K
The purpose of tax is not to raise money to government, but to redistribute wealth. The government prints money to cover the bill of its expenditure. If it issued no taxes, then that burden would fall on all people through inflation, affecting the poor moreso than the rich. Taxes are an issue separate from spending that allows the government to move money down from rich to poor, and in doing so offset the inflationary effects of spending. This is why tax is a solution to rent. Rent is poor people giving money to rich people, and tax allows you to reverse that flow.
hgomersall
The purpose of tax is to free resources from the private sector so it can be purchased at non-inflationary prices (as well as driving the currency). The actual financial operations of the UK make it clear that taxes at the national government level are not used for paying for anything, as you rightly point out: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4890683
jbjbjbjb
That’s just wrong on so many levels. If I look at just one error, inflation doesn’t affect everyone it is a tax on savers ie the rich. Wages and prices go up with inflation (prices by definition), but cash and savings go down in real terms.
giraffe_lady
Where does all the money they spend on housing & energy go.
jbjbjbjb
Housing and energy could both be dirt cheap and the money would still go to rich people. The problem from a living standards point of view is the cost which is due to a lack of supply. Get the cost down and poor people would be able to save and buy assets and become wealthy.
hgomersall
A fair chunk of the energy spend goes to multinationals and ultimately sovereign wealth funds. The housing goes to rentiers: banks for the most part, but also landlords and other investment entities that are living nicely off the income without having to do very much - parasites in other words.
anon291
Ding ding ding. Western governments have spent years on housing and energy policy driven by ideoogical concerns, when a technocratic approach would have been much more productive. Yes, this includes things people may not like, especially environmental or 'social justice' groups.
os2warpman
>Yes, this includes things people may not like, especially environmental or 'social justice' groups.
They tried that before and got The Aberfan disaster, Newgate Prison, and child labor.
"Trust me baby, I've changed!"
maigret
Nonsense. When the gas crisis hit, a lot of people with badly insulated houses (Britain fares quite badly here) were hit very hard and whining while the ones with insulation and solar panels were laughing away. House price is mostly related to taxation and land availability. Local politicians like to constrain land availability to keep their own houses priced up.
meekaaku
He is a betting man. He himself says he and colleagues bet against the economy in the financial crisis and made shit ton of money.
Stock market/trading is a kind of zero sum game. For him to gain, someone else has to lose.
However, real economy is not a zero sum game and I dont think he understands that. AFAIK never was an entrepreneur, or created a business.
He advocates for a wealth tax, ie a tax on unrealised gains.
For realised gains, we already do wealth tax and thats called capital gains tax.
samiv
I think he understands that but when you have a situation where the real economy is growing only around 1% per year but rich people grow their wealth somewhere around 4-10% that can only come at someone else's expense.
In other words while the real economy might be growing as a "non-zero sum game" the growth of the elite and the rich far exceeds that and outpaces it. Net effect is that their wealth is wealth away from everyone else.
blitzar
Classic grifter - 95% of his backstory is made up.
You can achieve far greater enlightenment by simply droping your preconceptions about rich and poor people and understanding the very basic day to day things happening around you than you will achieve listening to him.
bostonwalker
Source on his backstory being made up?
euroderf
> All the above then begs the question, who has all the money? Who has all the wealth?
The "I.T. Revolution" was supposed to bring a vast payoff from improved productivity. Did the benefits of society-wide process improvement get snarfed up by... vastly more inequality ?
p0d
I am a walker and walk around most of my city, Belfast. The affluence I encounter does not seem to match the news narrative. I am concerned that I have become hard-hearted. Alternatively, I wonder if I just see the world differently to others. I have not determined how to come to a conclusion on the matter.I have lived and worked in some of the poorest regions and housing estates of the UK. If anyone has insight I would love to hear it.
tremon
I don't live in the UK so I don't know if this is relevant, but you could possibly argue that Belfast has been in an upward trend since the end of the Troubles, and therefore it might feel different to people living there as opposed to old mining towns like Birmingham or industrial areas like Liverpool/Manchester.
truculent
Northern Ireland has done much better over the past decade IIRC, with more government spending and investment per head than the rest of the UK. I visited last year and felt the difference was immediately noticeable.
meheleventyone
It's a bit like climate change in that local conditions are not necessarily indicative of overall trends.
Der_Einzige
Ireland (including the illegally occupied parts you talk about) is economically far more prosperous than the rest of the UK.
graemep
I think the pessimism of the British is part of it, and as I have said before, the British have a rosy tinted view of the rest of the world. They compare to UK to the nice bits of other developed countries that they visit on holidays and business.
roenxi
You're not really saying anything there. It is a city. There are buildings. How are you judging how affluent an area is by walking through it?
badlibrarian
How deeply your asshole puckers at dusk when you hear a loud noise is one sign. Artists, musicians, survivors of trauma are clued into such things. Also parents with children, merchants carrying sacks of cash to the bank. You know, humans.
roenxi
That is crime, not affluence. Poor people aren't automatically criminals.
vel0city
There's a lot of ways to get at least a surface level understanding of the general affluence of an area.
How well upkept are the buildings? Are they clean and well maintained or are they dingy and broken with overgrowth? Are there a lot of open shops around? Do people seem to be buying things? What kind of clothes are the people wearing? Does it seem like many people are homeless? How is the state of the transit (both public and private?) Do people feel the need to have bars on their windows and security stationed around to prevent theft, or do storefronts feel safe enough to even have merchandise sitting out? Are people eating in restaurants? Are those expensive or cheap restaurants? Do people seem to be comfortable spending a night out on the town, going to bars and shows or are the streets empty because people can't afford outside entertainment?
roenxi
You're describing a scene that I have seen in a fairly un-affluent country (namy, Thailand back in the day) that looked fairly affluent (central Bangkok, the place was thriving). There were a lot of beggers, I grant you. But homelessness beggars are famously common in some of the most affluent places in the world, like San Francisco. It is probably more linked to outdoor min & max temperatures than anything else.
You can find relative class status of an area by the number of beggars, I grant you that. But you aren't going to get a bead on the actual affluence of the high-class people. Are they thousandairs or billionairs? All we really know is they aren't beggars.
FirmwareBurner
>How are you judging how affluent an area is by walking through it?
Probably seeing a lot of new/upper segment cars and well maintained houses.
docdeek
> To build a railway between Euston and Curzon Street in Birmingham, I need 8,276 consents from other public bodies, planning, transport, the Environment Agency or Natural England. They don’t care whether parliament did or didn’t approve building a railway.
Google suggests that line would be about 127 miles long, or about 200 kilometers. That’s one different consent form for every 25 meters of track. Mind boggling.
devsda
> I need 8,276 consents from other public bodies, planning, transport, the Environment Agency or Natural England
> That’s one different consent form for every 25 meters of track. Mind boggling.
I can easily imagine Sir Humphrey lecturing Bernard on why 8276 is not enough consents and why they need more of them.
Our country inherited/modeled our civil services and bureaucracy based on the British system. We know the effort it takes to get things done.
jwhiles
It's because we won't build things. Writing from a part of zone-2 London which is full of two story detached and terraced houses.
blitzar
All build 100-200 years ago.
jmathai
I don't agree with everything on this channel but Gary's Economics does a good job articulating a perspective that the lowered quality of life is directly related to growing wealth inequality.
Gary's angle is mostly based on wealth being a zero sum game. I think new wealth does get created but I agree that the vast majority of wealth is existing assets and their growth probably dwarfs any net new wealth creation.
Some links:
Gary's Economics on Youtube - whether or not you agree, he articulates his economic view: https://www.youtube.com/@garyseconomics
This podcast where Gary debates with Daniel Priestly who has opposing views. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4yohVh4qcas
spacebanana7
It feels perverse to say, but I feel like the UK doesn't have enough income inequality.
The effective pay of a person making £80k per year in London isn't really all that different from a minimum wage worker in social housing. Especially when things like child benefit, student loans, and potential council tax reductions are involved.
I think it's better to be at the top of the working class than the bottom of the middle class.
pjc50
This definitely sounds like you don't know anybody in that category and are judging based on a misleading media impression.
spacebanana7
Don't the numbers speak for themselves?
£80k a year works out at £4,166.14 per month (assuming plan 2 student loan and 0 pension contributions).
Full time minimum wage works out at £25,397.00 per year or £1,819.48 per month (assuming no student loan or pension contributions).
That works out as a difference of £2,346.66 per month. It's plausible the cost difference between social housing and private rent for a 3 bed in Westminster could make up that difference alone.
Westminister social housing is obviously a favourable case, but we also have to consider benefits:
In the scenario of 2 kids on that min wage salary it seems like you'd get £34.15 per month in universal credit.
Whilst small on its own, the universal credit status unlocks many other benefits and perks. Potential discounts of up to 100% of council tax could be possible depending on local authority (avg council tax in London is £157.75 per month). The NHS low income scheme can be accessed: getting free prescriptions and support with health travel. Another big thing would be getting access to social tariffs on energies and utilities. Together these could add up to hundreds of pounds per month.
The min wage worker would also child benefit at £187.17 monthly.
neilwilson
Gary's angle is wrong. He's got a book to flog and a channel to promote.
It's crystal clear we can build new houses and new businesses, so suggesting 'wealth' is a zero sum game is ideological folly.
As to his thesis, here's the demolition of mathematics within it: https://birchlermuesli.substack.com/p/copy-garys-badeconomic...
samiv
He doesn't suggest that the economy is a zero sum game, but that the distribution of that wealth matters and in our societies we're increasingly distributing wealth unevenly so that tiny minority of people increasingly control and own all the wealth, assets and means of production thus depriving other people of economic opportunities and crippling the economies.
In your example of building more, in order to a new building get erected someone owns the land, someone owns the materials, someone owns all the assets and the capital required to build. The people who invest to this will of course want to turn a profit on it.
neilwilson
"someone owns the land"
In England, only the King owns the land, and Parliament can deploy any resources in the UK it wishes by simple Act of Parliament.
The only other thing there is is human labour, and that can similarly be deployed if we choose to.
As we discover every time we go to war.
So no there is no cabal of hoarders preventing anything, and no shortage of stuff or money. All that is preventing regeneration is the political will to do so.
In reality Gary is a member of the Outer Party, and he wants to take money off the Inner Party and give it to his mates so they can all play at looking after the Proles while value signalling to one another.
jmathai
I'm neither an economist or mathematician. But I'm smart enough to observe my surroundings. I observe that the middle class is shrinking rapidly. Wealth concentration is increasing rapidly. Income has not kept up with the price of goods. And it's increasingly difficult for working people to accumulate wealth.
Can you point me to other theories which articulate the cause of my observations?
foretop_yardarm
"When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right."
aaronbaugher
New wealth can be created, but it seems like at least since the 90s, we've been in a pattern where the people with most of the wealth would prefer a sort of stasis, because that way their chunk of the pie doesn't get smaller by comparison to the rest. They'd rather have slow, managed, inflation-swallowed "growth" than the ups and downs that accompany leaps forward but sometimes change who is on top.
So we've gone from "everyone will have flying cars" to "the rest of you will eat bugs." Castles and jets for the few; austerity for the rest of us. Which certainly isn't new, but it's not what was promised, or what seemed possible within living memory.
riehwvfbk
New wealth "creation" is a lie. It only looks that way because of devaluing currency and population growth.
No conspiracy theory beliefs required to see this one. At the end of the day, what we are buying and selling is compute time on our brain CPU cluster. We can reshuffle what gets our attention, and the relative cost of things can change, but ultimately the only way to increase "wealth" is to get more underlying resource: human brainpower.
I see the counter argument coming from a mile away: yeah, but your poor is not your grandfathers poor. You have an iPhone, gramps did not. My counter is again simple: relative value. Electronics were a frontier at the time, and are a commodity now. They are now cheap, and this is compensated by a huge increase in the cost of basics like housing.
spacebanana7
> New wealth "creation" is a lie.
Perhaps the bigger issue is old wealth destruction. We live in a world of effectively infinite low cost electronics, clothes and food, but the things which used to be abundant are now actually quite scarce.
Housing is most obvious example here - but the costs of driving (excluding vehicle purchase), childcare, wedding, and energy are now radically higher than ever before. In these areas it feels like we've gone backwards in productivity.
AnimalMuppet
I take some silicon from high-purity quartz in North Carolina. I make CPU chips out of them. Have I not created wealth? Is not the CPU chip more valuable than raw, high-purity quartz?
aaronbaugher
I planted $10 worth of potato seed this year, and I'll be harvesting at least $100 worth of potatoes in a few months. It would take a lot of economics books to convince me I haven't created wealth. Unless they've redefined "wealth" to the point of uselessness as a concept.
Spooky23
It’s lower than you think as it has high present value, but is a waste product in less than a decade.
9rx
> New wealth "creation" is a lie.
Wealth is created by taking less valuable inputs and producing something new of greater value. For the HN crowd, that might mean using a little energy and a cheap computer to produce software that provides something even more value than the sum of its parts. Clearly you can create wealth out of "thin air".
Perhaps you mean in the net? Where new wealth is created, equal old wealth must be destroyed? But wherein that aforementioned software was additional value destroyed in order for the net wealth to remain the same?
> It only looks that way because of devaluing currency and population growth.
Not really. While we often measure wealth in currency, which is subject to fluctuations over time, wealth is not the measurement itself. In the same vein, the physical distance you currently know as a kilometre will still be the same distance even if we redefine the kilometre.
jddj
Leaving wealth to one side, do you think value creation is a lie?
petercooper
I think about it in a naive way, but one that seems to vibe with what I see: Britain is rich. It has huge amounts of capital wealth, property, culture, etc. It just trails in productivity and income. It's like a comfortable, house paid off retiree with a part time job, mostly living off accumulated wealth and prestige.
Starlevel004
> It just trails in productivity and income. It's like a comfortable, house paid off retiree with a part time job, mostly living off accumulated wealth and prestige.
Britain is a retirement home with a handful of warships attached.
null
pjc50
> comfortable, house paid off retiree with a part time job, mostly living off accumulated wealth and prestige.
That's the median voter.
Or at least the picture of the median voter all the parties are chasing. Which is very bad news for the working population, because policy gets heavily influenced by clueless retirees.
Nursie
Because it is. Something I heard on BBC Radio 4 recently is that everywhere in Britain that's outside of London is now poorer than any given state in the US.
Partly this is because of the myopic policies of the coalition and then conservative governments, which didn't invest in growth and what seems like a blindingly obvious consequence of this is that there was then no growth.
> Britain’s houses are cramped, ancient and in the wrong places
Ain't that the truth. And actually you're better off getting the ancient ones because they're less cramped.
I think I agree quite a lot with this article, as someone now watching from overseas - something needs to be done as the state just seems to soak up ever more money for ever less benefit to the average person. Things are getting worse and more expensive over there. Time to change tack and at least have them get better if it's going to cost more!
mytailorisrich
> everywhere in Britain that's outside of London is now poorer than any given state in the US.
This is true of Europe in general vs the US because economic growth in Europe has been low compared to the US since at least the financial crisis. At the time GDP of the Eurozone was comparable to the US' now the US is almost twice as big. As a consequence every European country ranks low compared to US states on GDP per capita:
"Italy is just ahead of Mississippi, the poorest of the 50 states, while France is between Idaho and Arkansas, respectively 48th and 49th. Germany doesn't save face: It lies between Oklahoma and Maine (38th and 39th)." (2023) [1]
[1] https://www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/article/2023/09/04/the-gdp...
Rexxar
> At the time GDP of the Eurozone was comparable to the US' now the US is almost twice as big
No, You're just comparing change in the EUR/USD exchange rate here. In 2007, the euro was at a high point of 1.48, and in 2024 it's at a low of 1.02. Inflation has not been higher in Europe than in the USA over that period.
If we look at GDP at purchasing power parity from 2007 to 2023 we have this:
- European Union: 31,162 → 61,217, +96% (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD?locat...)
- USA: 48,050 → 82,769, +72% (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD?locat...)
Which shows a slight catching-up by the European Union over the period.
mytailorisrich
The US are leaving Europe behind in term of growth (and thus ultimately GDP and GDP per capita) in any case [1] [2].
"Between 2010 and 2023, the cumulative growth rate of GDP reached 34% in the United States, compared with just 21% in the European Union and 18% in the eurozone. This measure of GDP in volume does not depend on changes in exchange rates." [2]
[1] https://www.futuribles.com/en/sur-le-decrochage-economique-e... [2] https://www.polytechnique-insights.com/en/columns/economy/ec...
pjc50
> And actually you're better off getting the ancient ones because they're less cramped.
zabzonk
Have you actually been to the poor states in the USA? And where do you think those very poor people are getting health care and other benefits from?
Nursie
1. Yes, some of them. Spent a little time in New Mexico. I've travelled through the gulf states and Alabama. Particularly outside of Albequrque and Santa Fe, the general level of deprivation in NM was quite clear.
2. I'm glad that people in the UK have access to healthcare. I'd be very happy if that went to the US. That doesn't change the raw GDP figures though.
I agree it may change the experience they have of being poor if you aren't also deprived of medical care. But here's another thing - people in the UK are less satisfied than ever with the NHS as well - it appears to be floundering.
(In answer to the below "people have always been less satisfied with the NHS" - perhaps so, but this time it's serious, they haven't been this less satisfied before - https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/apr/02/patient-sati... )
sofixa
> That doesn't change the raw GDP figures though
That's assuming they're relevant, and spoiler, they aren't for the topic at hand.
How is any individual's life better because they work at a café selling $20 coffee vs £5 coffee? Because if you measure GDP, person one is drastically more productive, but in reality, it doesn't matter, really. If both are earning minimum wage, the person in the UK with the cheaper coffee has higher income (outside of a few US states). But what is their quality of life? That's highly dependent on where they live, what are their housing costs (which are quite high in the UK in most desirable locations), etc. In any case, GDP doesn't evaluate that, and it's probably the main thing people care about and what they mean by "poor".
zabzonk
UK citizens have ALWAYS been "less satisfied than ever with the NHS". It's a service - no one likes services. But it still goes on looking after us, pretty well.
Straw
Similar argument to the article, but in much more depth.
In a nutshell, the UK has made it legally difficult to construct new housing and many forms of infrastructure- electricity plants, roads/tunnels, railway, hospitals, etc.
As a result, these things take up a larger fraction of ordinary people's budget and also limit mobility and hence productivity, resulting in poverty or effective poverty even for someone with an income that would make them globally rich.
I run an IT consultancy and often work in both commercial buildings and private residences across the UK. When it comes to the latter—trust me, the elites (and even the upper-middle class) still have an extraordinary amount of money.
What’s changed is that no one cares about the public sphere anymore. You wouldn’t believe the contrast between Britain’s crumbling high streets and the lavish interiors of some of these homes. I’ve seen marble floors, $10K TVs, $100K kitchens, $150K bathrooms. Home offices decked out with $50K worth of gear. Wine cellars, indoor spas, private gyms—you name it.
Even on the commercial side, it’s wild. It’s not uncommon to walk into a privately-owned or government-owned building and be greeted by a $5 million art piece in the lobby. Then you start looking around and adding up the costs—“they probably spent $10K just on that fancy trim around the doorframe.” Or you notice a particularly heavy door, Google it, and realize it costs $15K per door. Then you start counting the doors—there are thousands. The rabbit hole goes deep, and the amount of wealth becomes staggering. It’s just hidden in plain sight.
But all of this wealth is cloistered. No one’s investing in the public-facing world. There’s a broad cultural resignation—from the elites to the average person: “Why bother fixing the outside world? Just survive the workday and retreat into your private kingdom.” The mindset has shifted toward building personal fortresses rather than shared prosperity.
So yes, Britain feels poor—but it’s not because the money is gone. It’s because it’s been withdrawn from the commons and buried behind closed doors.