France plots tax on super-rich to rearm – and Britain could be next
101 comments
·March 17, 2025DoingIsLearning
devilbunny
> income taxes will increase for high earners who cannot evade income tax
i.e., those pesky jumped-up merchants who think that $1M a year in wages entitles them to speak to us.
And who, despite what seems like limitless wealth to the lower middle class (I would know), don't have nearly enough to really influence on a major scale.
tmtvl
Those who don't learn from the past... <https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2006/07/16/o...>
chairmansteve
We're not getting any money from them now, so who cares if they leave.
wesselbindt
Don't threaten me with a good time.
deeg
I think the US would be better off if a number of certain billionaires fled the country due to taxes.
r00fus
Nearly 20 years and France is doing fine. So maybe this is a good position to double down on?
lostlogin
There is a flip side though. How long do the working poor tolerate billionaires?
onemoresoop
I think it’s coming and it makes sense.
Detrytus
With the advent of AI, robotics and killing drones the question becomes: "How long do billionaires tolerate the poor?".
dexwiz
That is my question for all those prognosticating an upcoming violent uprising. The disparity in power has only risen in the last 100 years. A single well armed solider could kill tens to hundreds of civilians in minutes given the right conditions. How do you rise up in the face of such disparate conditions?
black_13
[dead]
Teever
There are far more poor people than rich people, and in a world where even the homeless have smartphones the poor will also have drones.
The question then becomes "A rich man may be able to dodge taxes, but can he dodge drones?"
lelandbatey
That's from 2006 and yet, France still roars along even without the rich who were apparently so un-attached to where they lived that they'd rather ditch the country than pay their taxes.
What exactly is the argument made by all these alarmist "who will think of the the wealthy"? Tax the rich and many leave, so you don't get as much tax revenue. Don't tax the rich and you just don't get the revenue. The implication in all these seems to be "well then why not just lower taxes so then the wealthy will grace us with their presence?"
Um, because they're not paying their fair share, and the few who leave don't lead to a net loss in tax revenue/economic prosperity, that's why.
Everything in that article seems quite twisted in its presentation. Quotes like the following:
> Eric Pinchet, author of a French tax guide, estimates the wealth tax earns the government about $2.6 billion a year but has cost the country more than $125 billion in capital flight since 1998.
The implication in that quote is "$2.6 gained but $125 lost, wow what a bad tax scheme", which is horribly irresponsible presentation. That's $2.6B/year in increased yearly tax revenues, but a loss of $125B/8 years (1998-2006) in capital, e.g. assets of some kind in the country. In most real-world cases where most of that flight happened early in those 8 years and the year-over-year capital flight goes down as folks acclimate to a tax regime, that's a totally acceptable trade off! In fact, that trade off might be a HUGE boon to France in the near term, let alone the long term. To actually know though, we need tons more information, information that isn't presented at all.
In short, bad article quotes rich guys who don't want to pay taxes saying "our life is so hard now that we've left a country that we liked but not enough to pay taxes on our insanely valuable assets, and that's actually hurting you more than us, so you should totally lower the tax rates on us."
woleium
i think the cost is seen more in opportunity losses. “if the rich investor leaves then who will pay. for the hermitage!”, as if investment is not entirely globalized at this point.
Swizec
[flagged]
bee_rider
There’s an opening, right? Right or wrong, our (USA) allies are a little skeptical of the us at the moment, and France does still have a defense industry. If they can kick it into high gear and start selling more arms to their fellow Union-members, Europe can arm itself, and France will get some nice middle class engineering jobs.
Seems great for everyone other than US defense contractors.
credit_guy
> other than US defense contractors
Not really. Europe needs to rearm in a hurry, and by a lot. There is not way to do that without help from the US defense contractors.
tbrownaw
They're both trying to do wealth taxes, rather than (more) income taxes.
I suppose that could be interesting for wealth that isn't liquid?
theamk
yep, the comment above mentioned that [0]:
> "They were asking me to pay taxes on money I didn't have," Payre said. "I had no choice but to leave the country."
> 1997, he owned shares that were worth $110 million -- on paper. French tax authorities required Payre to pay a wealth tax of 2.2 percent on the shares, based on what the shares would have been worth had he sold them at the market's highest point.
> But Payre said that he didn't have access to them because of stock market regulations that limited his ability to sell and that, in any case, a market dip had devalued the shares below that peak.
eikenberry
Seems like it'd have to mean nationalizing some percentage of the corporations owned by the wealthy?
andy_ppp
You could call it a sovereign wealth fund
bufferoverflow
There's a big difference between a wealth fun and managing nationalized businesses. As a business owner, you're directly invested into your business doing well. And you have lots of knowledge about your business details. Some government clerk who ends up controlling your business doesn't have either.
This happens every time. Socialist government nationalizes businesses, drives most of them into the ground.
rad_gruchalski
You could also call it USSR.
exmicrosoldier
I am sure the governments can work it out the same way billionaires with bankers do.
Take possession of parts of their stock in a blind trust and just get dividends or take out loans against the stock and use that cash.
Clubber
When you tax wealth, like say land or stocks, if the person is illiquid, they have to sell their assets to pay the tax. I would imagine that markets would crash every tax cycle due to people trying to pay their tax obligation.
bufferoverflow
And the more they sell, the more they have to sell after, driving the prices even lower. It's definitely a good recipe to crash the markets.
andy_ppp
Is this impossible to work out?
Clubber
Well, say you inherited 185 acres in the middle of nowhere that is valued at $500K. You make $150K a year. You can't really do anything with the land, it's all scrub brush by now and the government wants 30% in wealth tax to tune tune of $160K. What do you do?
Say you put all your savings into the market. You have $400K in assets and the government wants 20% of it ($80K), you either tighten your belt or you sell assets.
The wealthy, of course, will be in much better shape to handle this than your average guy who invested some of their income.
aaomidi
If the market is crashing once a year it’s no longer a crash. It’s arguably a prevention of a bubble forming.
r00fus
Europe needs to pay for its defense since the US is no longer willing to fund it. So it's either higher taxes (on people who can ostensibly afford it) or removing social programs.
Since the latter is absolutely political suicide, there is an attempt to do the former.
What's the worst that could happen? It's not like the rich pay taxes anyway - they just setup foreign shell companies (a la Panama papers).
alvah
France seeks to solve its reckless spending problem by increasing taxes on the rich, and setting up yet another rediscovery of the Laffer curve? I can hardly believe it!
onemoresoop
This is for self defense. The rich would benefit massively from that.
eikenberry
Why? The rich can easily diversify where there money is located, so their country being invaded wouldn't impact their wealth to much. They can also flee more readily than anyone else as they probably have their own jet. It would protect their nice house(s) in that country, but how much is insurance from invasion worth...
JumpCrisscross
> Why? The rich can easily diversify where there money is located
Because you want to be in Paris. We’re also entering another xenophobic era. There is an argument to be made that the safest place for a Frenchman is probably in France. (Obvious counterpoints to that. And I’m speaking as an immigrant American.)
alvah
That might be the stated reason. It attempts to increase the overall tax take by increasing personal taxes on the rich, which will allow a new generation of bureaucrats and economists to re-learn the lessons that are already in the textbooks.
A_D_E_P_T
lol, lmao even
Both the French and the Brits have nukes. They're at no risk of hostile foreign invasion and everybody knows it. Entire libraries of books and whitepapers have been written about it.
If it were about self-defense: Build more nukes, build some mobile launchers capable of also launching targeting satellites, maintain the missile and submarine fleets, and your job is done. This can be done on current military budgets, or even smaller budgets.
It's not for "self defense". It's for foreign adventurism and geopolitical posturing. Like the opposite of realpolitik.
pseudony
Having Russia roll through the states of all your principal trading partners is probably no fun. Adventurism is such a poor take in this case.
lukashoff
Tax the assets, make the game fair for everyone - for both workers and people living off wealth. Only then we will see wealthy people start to create new productive assets. It doesn't matter if they leave - their assets will still be in our countries. If they don't want them - we will have someone not as greedy own the assets that will benefit all of us.
budududuroiu
Oh no, the rich are leaving. Hope they manage to fit their assets into cabin baggage.
High paid workers, due to their skills are way more mobile than asset owners. I can be a software engineer in the Bay or Canary Wharf, but if I am a real estate tycoon, it’s not like I can take British homes with me to the US.
bufferoverflow
Rich people can always sell assets and then buy similar ones elsewhere. And them being rich, they don't have to do any of the paperwork themselves.
budududuroiu
That’s… unironically a good thing. Most economies are currently being burned by asset price inflation
s1artibartfast
Only the tiniest sliver of the hyperwealthy's assets are physical. The vast majority is equity, which is relatively easy to move.
cbeach
Hollande tried to do this in France (75% effective rate on earnings above a million Euros).
Even his staunchly socialist regime had to admit its failure and abruptly reverse course in 2014, two years later. The tax raised just €260m in 2013 and €160m in 2014…. But caused an exodus of wealth and job creators
Teever
Where did they go to?
And did they end up coming back?
robocat
Article "Old Money, New Money Flee France and Its Wealth Tax": https://archive.is/Q0ETI has examples Belgium and the UK.
Payre built a successful high-tech company. Payre said the French government sent him a tax bill of nearly $2.5 million on paper assets he couldn't cash in. Payre moved his family to neighboring Belgium. Payre started a new company in Brussels that he said did nearly $32 million
Taittinger, who helped create the champagne label, said the French tax system not only helped force the sale of his family company but scattered the 38 family members involved in the corporation. "Half of my family left France because of taxes," said Taittinger. "They now live in England, Belgium and other countries where they were warmly welcomed -- unlike here."
Eric Pinchet, author of a French tax guide, estimates the wealth tax earns the government about $2.6 billion a year but has cost the country more than $125 billion in capital flight since 1998.
[I've abridged the comments above] Harder to judge the value of talent flight versus capital flight. Anecdotally here in New Zealand I see smart gritty kids emmigrate, and we attempt to import other smart gritty people to replace them.kypro
The super-rich are already leaving Britain[1] so realistically if they want to raise more money they'll just tax workers a bit more since they're less economically mobile. No matter how much European politicians try to deny it, the Laffer is real, and long-term uncompetitive tax policies are not good for government income.
[1] https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/01/22/millionaire-...
elzbardico
So, lots of foreign guys who were not paying taxes in britain while benefitting from a temporary exemption and that would leave as soon as this exemption ended, left early because the exemption period was shortenened.
Good. They were making houses more expensive and not paying taxes anyway.
klipt
Should tax land more and income less. Income from work is at least productive, owning land is not. #Georgism
elzbardico
Inheritance and donations should be strongly progressively taxed.
eikenberry
> and donations
What do you mean by donations? A 'donation' is the typical way to refer to giving money to a charity. Are you saying that charitable donations should be taxed?
theamk
hm... so a tech startup making millions in profits (tiny office for 10 people) should pay less taxes than a grocery store that barely breaks even?
I am not sure I'd agree.
s1artibartfast
Exactly the problem with georgism.
It was conceived in a time when all wealth arose from land, and doesn't account for a service or knowledge economy.
The ultra rich don't get that way from accumulating land, they accumulate intangible contracts and earning rights, 1s and 0s on a server.
The only answer I have heard from georgists is that the costs would would be passed from all of the teachers, farmers, and laborers to the ultra rich.
If that that were true, we could just replace everything with a sales or value added taxes.
I find that georgism appeals to a segment of people who are entirely preoccupied by urban real estate prices, and haven't thought through the implications for the broader economy
elzbardico
You know what? Let them leave. If they have business here, are they going to close shop and forego this market? No, they aren't. Can we still tax them for what they remmit to whatever the place they are? Yes, we can.
And where they will go? Once a major developed nation starts being serious on taxing the billionaires, the others will follow soon, or more probably, they will even coordinate among themselves to harmonize their rates.
Yeah, they could go to some third world hellhole where they could bribe the authorities and live in a Pablo Escobar's style compound. Will they do it? Will they subject themselves to the judicial insecurity that abunds in those places? To politician that manage the incredible feat of being orders of magnitude even more corrupt than the ones we have in washington?
All western nations used to have far higher top marginal rates for income and inheritance taxes. Far less loopholes, and yet here we are.
opo
>...All western nations used to have far higher top marginal rates for income and inheritance taxes. Far less loopholes, and yet here we are.
When western nations had far higher top marginal rates for income there were far MORE loopholes, not less. Those high rates did not bring in much revenue. For example:
>...Of the $517 billion the Treasury collected in 1980, only $3 billion to $5 billion came from the 70 percent bracket — less than 1 percent of total tax revenue.
https://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2019/02/05/democrats-7...
(This is one reason that democrats suggested lowering the top rate in 1981.)
Those high marginal rates encouraged all kinds of unproductive investments to take advantage of loopholes built into the law. Where people couldn't get around such high rates, there were deadweight losses from economic activity that didn't occur. Even if someone thinks it is morally ok to take that much of someone's income, those kinds of high rates simply hurt the economy.
gizajob
The super-rich leaving really breaks my heart.
WalterBright
When they leave, they take their investments, spending, and created jobs with them.
Many countries have confiscated everything from the rich, driven them out, and even mass murdered them. None resulted in the poor being better off - things just got worse for the poor.
elzbardico
In another level: How many software developers are forgoing job offers in California due to it being a state with income tax?
sapphicsnail
There are plenty of examples of people redistributing wealth, whether through taxes or less palatable means that worked out well for the poor. There are also plenty of places that do nothing that are a disaster.
anigbrowl
No they don't. That's just an ideological cliche.
Teever
Well, it seems to me that the current situation of ever increasing wealth inequality is unsustainable.
Can you suggest some sort of middle ground?
elzbardico
Yeah? So, they are going to take their factories? They are leaving the biggest consumer markets to sell their trinkets in the giant Costa Rican market?
roenxi
If they were necessary for funding the country's defence, it is likely that it will also break the borders. France can't tax them to raise money to re-arm if they aren't there.
Peace through poverty in Europe would be an interesting development I suppose.
onemoresoop
If they liquidate their assets it’s gonna be a lot more affordable to buy homes. I think that alone will warm your heart
WalterBright
The super-rich do not have enough houses to make a dent in the supply of homes.
lelandbatey
The title of that link seem to imply it was a net loss, but the numbers in the body seem to imply that while ~10k millionaires left, the tax revenue loss from millionaires leaving was $5b in (theoretical) yearly lost tax revenue (it's not clear from the article if all those millionaires leaving were even paying taxes as it notes many of them were in a grace period after entering before taxes kicked in, and it doesn't link to the downstream report from ASI).
Given that there's a lot more than 10 thousand millionaires in Britain and they are sticking around to pay taxes (more than enough to cover the $5b from those who left), I don't see how that's actually a bad thing?
elzbardico
This opponents of this kind of discussion always argue assuming a binary. Either we keep the status-quo, or we will enter a socialist chaos.
We are discussing making a fairer tax system were billionaires pay more of a fair share, we are not proposing full communism where we confiscate all their money.
Is any marginal increase on taxes fatally destined to lead to capital flight? It looks like a lot of people are arguing exactly that. Well, in that case lets stop completely taxing the oligarchs! Trickle down stravaganza now!
robocat
> we are not proposing full communism where we confiscate all their money.
That's exactly what is usually being proposed - the difference is confiscating everything slowly over decades (rather than by immediate revolution).
The deception is that a 2% tax sounds tiny. If you have a retirement portfolio and are withdrawing money to live (drawdown) then that 2% can easily take > 50% of your wealth over decades. Financial literacy is understanding the power of compounding - yet when it is in reverse it isn't obvious. And when the victims are somebody else (people wealthier than yourself) we conveniently shut our ears to any complaints.
Ironically I think the core motivations of most proponents of wealth taxes are their own greed and envy. Tax anybody else but not moi...
The systematic driver is our aging demographics. Our governments need new taxes to pay for the infinite demand of health services, and the demands of the voting 65yo+ welfare state beneficiaries
elzbardico
If we are going to talk about fairness and greed and envy we should also be discussing how the billionaires benefit from government deficits, how a lot of our government investment is distorted by lobbying from the richest amongst us.
Our years of fiscal irresponsability, of adventures like ZIRP, Quantitative Easings and Stymulus made the rich even richer. Asset Inflation for the rich and purchasing power corrosion for the pleb is all cool and dandy, but it is destroying our societies, and the way we have to fix it is by reversing decades of Lobby facilitated regressive tax policies.
The billionaires benefit from having an educated society to work for them, infrastructure, the rule of law, security from thiefs as well as from foreign governments and organizations. The USMC existence is far more important for big oil magnates than for a public school teacher in Chicago.
I was lucky, I am generation X and I still managed to have a fully paid mortage, a decent, albeit modest, retirement fund, but what about my kids? What world are we leaving them? How can I look him in the eyes and tell, well kid, you're doing great on school, but sometimes I wonder if you shouldn't be playing because our government thinks that you having your own house in the future is something to be decided by the "free"markets, but at the same time, let's subsidize Big Tech to the tune of billions so they can build AI to make sure you won't have a job and will forever live of whatever I manage to pass to you or be a UBI slave.
Because you and I know that all this government money going to AI is motivated by the greed of oligarchs salivating at the prospect of shedding off whole mountains out of their payrolls.
Inflation is never a problem for this system when it is mostly confined to asset inflation. But as soon as we have too little unemployment, and workers start having to mute linked-in recruiter notifications, the calls for austerity start immediatly.
You complain about the poor acting politically for a more progressive taxation system, but why then the rich don't stop lobbying for subsides, why they don't stop lobbying for wars? Isn't it clear that they are they motivated by greed too and will use political power too to satisfy it?
throw0101a
"plots" ?
spwa4
Meaning it'll fail like all previous attempts and this will be yet another tax raise on people having a decent job, but nowhere near rich.
What people imagine this means is a tax on rich people. An appartment in the center of paris costs about 10.000 per month. If you calculate how much you need to own to afford that on interest income alone, it's 120000/4% = 3,000,000. Make it 4 million to cover eating out every day as well. That would be the lowest level I would see as super-rich.
But wealth tax, where it exists (e.g. Switzerland) starts at 111.059. This is in a country where a downpayment for a basic apartment would be at least 160000 (but more likely 200.000). So even in famously not-super-low-but-still-pretty-low-tax-Switzerland it's mostly taxing what you would call "professionals". People with a decent, but not spectacular, job (accountant, programmer, ... not FANG wages or doctors). Oh, and looking at the country's finances it becomes immediately clear: Switzerland is low tax because it also has very low unemployment/social support and very low pensions.
The solution to this USED to be inflation, government deficits of 10% even 20% in Southern Europe (before the euro was introduced, which transferred control of inflation to the independent ECB, preventing government deficits financed by inflation, as was the norm in the 1980s and 1990s for example)
DFHippie
French oligarchs will flee to the Galt's Gulch the neo-monarchists are building here in the US. Then, when the US electorate wrenches control back, they'll all get the same treatment here. Eventually they'll end up in Dubai.
Authoritarian regimes aren't very pleasant places to live, which is why Russian oligarchs send their families abroad.
Eventually they will have farted in all the elevators and they'll have to sit in their own stink.
The few investigations following the aftermath of the Panama papers recovered a couple of billion dollars after several years of investigation.
The estimated evasion _in_the_EU_ using these off-shoring vehicles in Panama is around 100 to 200 billion. [0]
The 2023 Defense spending of the entire EU member states was about 270 billion.
What will happen is income taxes will increase for high earners who cannot evade income tax. And the 'super' rich will continue to own nothing on paper.
[0] https://www.europarl.europa.eu/cmsdata/116947/20170412_panam...