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Italy moves to reverse anti-nuclear stance

Etheryte

I think realistically this is the only way in the turbulent times we live in. Even in the small and interconnected Europe, you have to be completely self sustainable when the need arises. We've seen more than enough broken pipes, power lines and the like in the last year alone to underline this need.

JumpCrisscross

> you have to be completely self sustainable when the need arises

The last few days have also laid bare that there is no sovereignty without nuclear weapons. A civil nuclear fleet is a stepping stone to nuclear weapons stewardship.

(Even absent nuclear weapons, see the special treatment of Zaporizhzhia [1] over Ukraine’s other power infrastructure.)

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaporizhzhia_Nuclear_Power_P...

ZeroGravitas

Russia wants to control its neighbour Ukraine and also is a supplier of nuclear tech to other countries.

It's not guaranteed that every geopolitical rival would have those considerations when deciding whether to care about, or plan to actively attempt, triggering a nuclear meltdown in your nation.

ViewTrick1002

You do know that Europe still haven't been able to decouple from the Russian nuclear supply chain?

The only way to be independent is to invest in renewables and storage.

disgruntledphd2

Why not both?

ViewTrick1002

When renewables deliver 5-10 ax much decarbonization and independence per dollar/euro spent compared to nuclear power why waste money?

est31

Italy neither has the engineers to build a nuclear power plant, they would have to ask another nation, like Russia, Canada or France, to build it for them.

And where does the nuclear fuel come from? Russia.

lelag

> And where does the nuclear fuel come from? Russia.

Not true at all. Russia is producing 5% of the world Uranium, and they probably use quite a lot of that domestically given they produce 8% of all nuclear power in the world with their own plant.

Kazakhstan + Uzbekistan is 50% of the word production. Canada is second and will be happy to start selling to the EU. Namibia and Australia both produce twice as much as Russia.

Not to say that supply of natural Uranium is not a concern because you do depends of a small list of countries but we don't need to buy any from Russia.

Source:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_uranium_p...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_by_country

est31

Russia's large market share is rather in uranium enrichment than uranium mining. That's what I meant when I wrote "nuclear fuel".

legulere

That’s raw uranium ore. Uranium undergoes several refinement steps. In each Russia has an enormous market share.

Fragoel2

That is simply incorrect, Italian companies are already building nuclear reactors/power plants abroad.

Enel has built/is managing nuclear plants in Spain and Slovakia: https://www.enel.com/media/explore/search-press-releases/pre...

Eni is involved in building the first fusion plant: https://www.ansa.it/english/news/science_tecnology/2024/04/0...

est31

I would classify ITER as basic research instead of a commercial nuclear power plant.

I didn't know that Enel operates nuclear power plants, that's interesting, but they seem to come from an acquisition of Endesa and have been constructed way before that acquisition, and from designs of foreign places. So they aren't modern generation reactors that one would want to build from scratch.

As for the Slovakian nuclear power plant, it's a russian design as well.

I don't doubt that Enel could operate nuclear reactors of foreign design, where Canada, Russia and France have strong capabilities, but if the design comes from a different country, do you really achieve the independence goal?

slavik81

Why not get the nuclear fuel from Canada? There's plenty of uranium in Saskatchewan.

llm_nerd

>And where does the nuclear fuel come from?

Canada, Khazakhstan, Namibi, and so on. Russia is pretty far down the list. Australia has the largest known reserves of uranium they just haven pushed to extensively extract it.

throw0101a

> Canada, Khazakhstan, Namibi, and so on. Russia is pretty far down the list.

Not wrong, but Russia controls about half of the world's enrichment capacity.

If you want to avoid possible lock-in, then you may want to look at reactors that do not need enriched uranium (like CANDU: it does have an extra up-front cost for 'heavy water' though).

cinntaile

The fuel comes primarily from Kazachstan, Canada and Australia.

Edit: Parent meant enriched uranium, not ore so this comment is not relevant.

agumonkey

Aren't there other ore sources ? I think nuclear powered countries diversified inputs.

Caius-Cosades

And that's because western nations are run by idiots that can't do long term planning to save their lives.

null

[deleted]

croes

You know how long and expensive it is to build and operate a nuclear powerplant?

And do you really want another target for foreign sabotage?

sph

As an Italian abroad, this came out of the blue and I was not expecting this change of mind, at all. There have been two referendums on nuclear energy in Italy: one just after the disaster of Chernobyl. They tried again decades later, in 2011; just after the disaster of Fukushima. The result was of course overwhelmingly negative both times.

This is great news, and will hopefully lower the cost of electricity that we mostly import from France.

MortyWaves

Who's brilliantly dumb idea was it to have the only two referendums ever also immediately after a disaster? That is what you'd do if you want an overwhelmingly biased referendum playing off people's rash and short term panic based decision making.

erezsh

The green energy lobby has everything to gain, and it's been working extra to make it a reality. For example, Greenpeace has been fighting nuclear power all over the world.

ZeroGravitas

Greenpeace has the word "peace" in their name because they are anti-war. They claimed civilian nuclear power was part of a weapons program.

There's people in this very thread enthusiastic about nuclear power because it will help Italy develop nuclear weapons. So hard to argue that they were wrong.

throwaway48476

The anti nuclear lobby was funded by the KGB.

sph

> Who's brilliantly dumb idea was it to have the only two referendums ever also immediately after a disaster?

Well-timed populists.

kome

> Well-timed populists.

not really. The referendum was planned long before Fukushima, but then Fukushima happened at just the right time, reminding voters just in time to vote against nuclear.

mariuolo

The first one in 1987 was organised by the Radical Party.

The second one was an unfortunate coincidence.

kome

The second referendum had been planned long before, and then the Fukushima disaster happened, just a couple of weeks before the vote. A stark reminder that nuclear energy is not safe.

By the way, Italy had several nuclear reactors, but they were shut down after the first referendum.

sph

> A stark reminder that nuclear energy is not safe.

For some nebulous and often politically-charged definition of safety.

Mawr

A bunch of aviation accidents have happened in the last few months. Is flying unsafe?

See, your definition of safety seems to actually be "what feels safe to me". As such, it happens to be exactly opposite to what the data tells us.

Caius-Cosades

Because that's how democracy works. Democracy has no need for rational thought, only feelings and ego matters.

kome

The import of electricity is around 10-15%, a significant amount, but Italy does not MOSTLY rely on imports.

sph

https://it.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Produzione_di_energia_elettr...

This says that up to 25% of electricity is imported during peak times, and as of 2016, Italy was the third-largest net importer of electricity after US and Brazil.

kome

Quite the contrary: it literally says that imports are not always proportional to demand. During the day, imports are around 10%, while at night, they rise to 25%... probably because it's much cheaper and more convenient.

spixy

15% is bad, that is power for both Sicily and Sardinia combined, dependent on neighbour country

ViewTrick1002

You do know that new built western nuclear power costs €170/MWh. It will in no shape or form lower electricity costs.

Investing in renewables and storage will.

mg

Isn't the price of a KW of solar panels similar to the price of a KW of nuclear power these days?

I wonder what hinders us to replace the roofs of all houses with solar panels and put batteries in all cellars?

It might still be useful to build out nuclear power plants. But the solar+battery approach seems like an easier first step to increase the available power, doesn't it?

ben_w

> Isn't the price of a KW of solar panels similar to the price of a KW of nuclear power these days?

Solar with battery backup is about that, globally, on average.

But: the averages have sufficiently broad variance that there's places where one wins, and places where the other wins.

PV+battery is between 75-140 USD/MWh; whereas new nuclear is, depending on who I ask, any of 81-82, 65, or 141–221 USD/MWh.

Paradigma11

What kind of battery backup are we talking about?

Enough for a long cold winter night in northern Europe?

Enough for a longer https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunkelflaute ?

ben_w

Yes.

From your link:

"Events that last more than two days over most of Europe happen about once every five years."

I belive that for the EU as a whole, enough for two days works out as about 32 kWh per person. More or less for specific nations.

So, think in terms of what you'd repurpose used EV batteries for prior to fully recycling them.

throwaway48476

There's no reason to believe nuear couldn't benefit from economies of scale.

ben_w

Everything seen so far does not suggest it will improve.

SMRs might, possibly, change that — we shall have to see. I have nothing against SMRs, but they're novel, and I've seen a lot of novel ideas that seem interesting, go nowhere.

surgical_fire

It doesn't matter.

As far as I am concerned, self sufficiency comes before price concerns. Nuclear is very safe and reliable.

By all means, EU countries should keep investing in Solar, Wind, Geotermal, etc. but that should be done alongside Nuclear.

hengheng

As always with nuclear there are a few taboo topics. One of them being fuel supply. For European reactors that seems to be either Mali/Niger, or Russia. Both not excellent if the goal is geopolitical independence.

Solar, wind and batteries have no fuel concerns, and they are inherently decentralized.

hocuspocus

Are you joking? Renewables mean one order of magnitude more raw materials imports from China and Chinese operated mining in unstable African countries.

With some work and investment European nuclear fuel supply could be 100% free from Russia, which anyway is peanuts compared to billions spent on Russian LNG. Uranium ore can come from Canada, Kazakhstan and Australia, not only African countries.

delroth

> As always with nuclear there are a few taboo topics. One of them being fuel supply.

It's not taboo, the answer is just extremely simple: mining needs people willing to work in a dangerous and exhausting field, so when practical, rich countries tend to prefer outsourcing this (capitalism does not tend to reward ethics). It's very practical for uranium because nuclear reactors need a tiny volume which is trivial to ship and to store. Most countries with a nuclear program keep a stockpile of multiple years.

Mining uranium in other places is very feasible, as are other more expensive options like extracting it out of the ocean. After all, with nuclear the cost of the fuel is a tiny amount of the actual cost of power generation. This is not happening because there's really no need to. In the past, there have been uranium mines in pretty much every european country, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining_by_country#Euro...

(Refining/processing is a different story. But that's more obviously a "money/care" problem - there's no possible physical constraint for refining/processing as there could be for mining.)

himinlomax

> For European reactors that seems to be either Mali/Niger, or Russia. Both not excellent if the goal is geopolitical independence.

Australia, Kazakhstan and Canada are main suppliers.

wkat4242

Indeed this point is often overlooked.

I know the soviets dug up half the Czech Republic for uranium deposits though. There's still some left there, not sure how much though. I have a feeling that the reliance on Africa and Russia is more price and environmental regulation driven.

mrweasel

Uranium could be sourced from both Greenland and Ukraine, but realistically Australia, Brazil and South Africa might be better options.

Denmark also have 3700 tons of uranium ore just laying around, not sure how much actual uranium you can extract from that, very little I suspect.

ViewTrick1002

Why waste money on horrifically expensive nuclear power?

Look at the energy crisis. Did we have a lack of energy? No, the pricing mechanism made sure we had no rolling blackouts.

Did we have expensive energy? Yes, that was the whole crisis.

You want to lock in another energy crisis because you are completely locked into trying to justify building nuclear power.

willvarfar

> Nuclear is very safe and reliable.

How do we stop fukushima-like disasters?

mrighele

Accidents happen, you cannot eliminate completely the risk, but that is fine as long as you minimize the risk. People died because of wind power [1] but since the event is quite rare we don't ask ourselves "how do we stop wind-power-related disasters".

In the case of Fukishima, only one person died directly because of it. About 2000 more deaths can be related to the nuclear accident, for example because they were displaced and living in worse conditions [2]. Since this is the kind of event that every few decades (we have to go back to Chernobyl for something similar) I would say that it is not a reason for worrying.

For comparison, that is 1/10 of people that died in Japan because of the Tsunami that caused it, and it is less than the number of people that die every year for traffic accidents in Italy, so if I was Italian (wait, I am!) I would be more worried about the road traffic than a nuclear accident.

[1] https://www.electricaltechnology.org/2024/07/two-engineers-h...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_nuclear_accident_cas...

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_T%C5%8Dhoku_earthquake_an...

surgical_fire

How many people died at the Fukushima disaster?

As one of the worst Nuclear accidents in history (caused by one of the largest earthquakes to hit Japan along with a tsunami), an awfully small amount of people died.

If anything, Fukushima shows how safe Nuclear actually is.

mrob

By not ignoring studies that find risk of tsunami damage:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_nuclear_accident#Pri...

raverbashing

In the same way we have handled other dangerous activities (including aviation and driving around with sloshing flammable liquids)

Improving continuously, having strict but not restrictive regulation, addressing risks before they become a problem.

stavros

Mainly by not building reactors designed in the 1960s.

IsTom

Just don't build the plant next to Vesuvius. The biggest recorded earthquake in Europe was 7.1 magnitude, compared to 7.4 that caused tsunami that hit fukushima.

klooney

You can't. The problem with nuclear is that it needs to be properly maintained forever. If you get an irresponsible government or power company that cheaps out in 30 years, oopsies, you're going to irradiate the local area.

It's a lot like trusting your private data to a company. Sure, Google in 2007 is pretty great, but maybe you have some doubts about their integrity in 2025. Too late, they have what they have, forever.

N0isRESFe8GXmqR

By building nuclear plants in places that won't get hit by tsunamis.

patall

Apples to oranges. But in italy, solar with batteries may already be cheaper. Or geothermal energy. But, hey, they want to do a study and the study will find that out too.

amarcheschi

Geothermal energy is already exploited in italy. About 1/3rd of Tuscany energy production happens thanks to geothermal, which is also used for heating purposes [1]

There are also new plants in the making [2]

Being tuscanian, I visited the museum or geothermal energy in larderello once, the area of larderello is quite uncanny, in some parts the ground is literally fuming steam. There's also a smell of rotten eggs lol

https://www.enelgreenpower.com/stories/articles/2024/10/geot...

https://www.lanazione.it/cronaca/geotermia-patto-regione-ene...

stavros

Are you sure it was Larderello? Are you sure it wasn't... hell?

est31

Italy is one of the best countries in the EU to do solar in.

https://solargis.com/resources/free-maps-and-gis-data?locali...

FredrikSE

Well, solar and wind are only usable when it is sunny or windy. The only way to make solar or wind power sustainable is to have ways to store the energy, like hydroplants or hydro pump stations. Right now, they are sabotaging the economy to build sustainable sources.

baliex

If you add storage to the network you can store the surplus renewable generation for later dispatch, Europe's largest just went online: https://archive.is/p9qsS

cinntaile

Their math is a bit off though... 300MW is not enough for 3.1 million households. That's 97W per household for like 2 hours.

Numerlor

To my understanding the use of nuclear would be to reduce the ammount of spread out battery stations that'd have to cover the base load when cloudy / at night.

There'd also be less overbuilding of solar as you have to build for winter weather and day length instead of summer if solar is supposed to cover everything

bsza

Personally, I will install batteries in my cellar when they no longer spontaneously burst into flames that are impossible to put out.

But this shouldn’t even be a requirement as long as you can feed it into the grid.

bmelton

LiCoO2 / NMC aren't the popular chemistries any more. LiFePo4 is a remarkably stable chemistry, with extremely low risks of fire.

In the unlikely event that they do catch fire, they are extinguishable with water.

Nothing has zero risk, but there are much more stable chemistries available than those that formed this (rational) opinion.

bsza

That's reassuring to know, thank you for pointing that out. I didn't get the impression this was already solved since you still keep hearing about battery fires, but hopefully this means that will be a thing of the past soon.

I would still skip this step and let it be the power company's problem though, simply because at ~400 USD / kWh they don't seem very cost efficient for off-peak storage (at least in my country).

bee_rider

Look into LiFePO4 batteries

boringg

Different products -- nuclear provides grid stability, power quality and dedicated baseload power. Rooftop solar provides some residential power but not helpful for the grid at large -- requires upgrades to the local infrastructure and decreases reliability. All manageable but people constantly think of power in terms of how much is $/kwh - there is soo many more important qualities to powering the grid than strictly cost.

pfdietz

> Isn't the price of a KW of solar panels similar to the price of a KW of nuclear power these days?

Solar panels are down to something like $0.20/W, a factor of 50 cheaper than a nuclear power plant. Solar panels are only a fraction of the cost of a solar installation though. Utility-scale solar is around $1/W, a factor of 10 below nuclear. Adjusting for capacity factor, solar is still several times cheaper than nuclear (and has lower operating cost).

patall

And takes weeks to plan and set up. Compared to decades.

pjc50

Never mind the cost, it has taken the UK over a decade from initial decision to not yet completing Hinkley Point C. Nuclear is really slow to build. You can get a solid decade of carbon-free electricity out of solar panels in that time.

Panels today. Batteries as available. Nuclear eventually - maybe.

(people will respond with "what about SMRs", to which I will ask "what's the shortest time from decision to online that a SMR project has achieved?")

vanviegen

One has to wonder if a desire to develop nuclear weapons may have something to do with this, in light of recent events...

arlort

No, just weird timing but this has been floating around for a while

sph

As the 4th richest country in Europe, after Germany, UK, and France, it does make a lot of sense.

badRNG

To be very clear, the title refers to nuclear energy, which may not be immediately obvious given the current geopolitical climate.

amarcheschi

I am not knowledgeable about nuclear energy, however, I would not be surprised if this reversing could have to do with having a nuclear pipeline - or at least a nuclear knowledge - already available in the country, in case things go south and there's need to develop own nukes

snowwrestler

It’s obvious, given the current geopolitical climate, that this announcement is about more than electric power generation.

miklosz

Oh, I hoped it's about nuclear weapons. Pitty, it's not. Now, as US is slowly leaving NATO, European countries should urgently work on increasing their nuclear capabilities, developing strategic and tactical nuclear weapons and means of delivery (rockets, bombers, submarines).

mandmandam

> Oh, I hoped it's about nuclear weapons. Pitty, it's not.

If you were going to resume work on nuclear weapons, would you announce it immediately? ... Or would you say that you're developing your nuclear power capabilities.

There are well established historical lines here to be read between.

gpderetta

Can you effectively have nuclear weapons without a civilian nuclear power infra?

mrweasel

Depends on what you mean by "effectively". Yes, you can absolutely have nuclear weapons without nuclear power infrastructure, North Korea and Israel both have nuclear weapons, but no nuclear power programs.

Having a civilian program makes things a little easier, or at least easier to hide. Italy does have a tiny uranium reserve, which it never mined, but I'd guess that they'd need to buy the uranium they'd need for a nuclear weapon. That's a bit easier to do, if you can disguise it as nuclear fuel.

gpderetta

I don't know how effective are NK nuclear weapons, but Israel would definitely count. But according to WP[1], Israel has "research reactors" which might or might not have military use.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Israel

n3storm

So you think Americans honestly think nuclearly destroying Europe will give them peace?

JumpCrisscross

> you think Americans honestly think nuclearly destroying Europe will give them peace?

American here. It’s becoming clear that a sizeable section of our electorate only respects nuclear sovereignty.

Almondsetat

So basically "we are deciding on how to organize how to begin deciding how to approach nuclear in the future"

bilekas

Nuclear isn’t something to be afraid of, in fact it’s a natural progression. It’s quite safe when done right, it’s cheap, there is the disposal question but in relation to anything else it’s pretty manageable. If nuclear was a bigger resource we might even see better research into better methods of disposal.

datadeft

THe green narrative fromt the 70s is still strong today. Many of my friends still believe that nuclear is the most dangerous source of energy even though the per TWh metrics are pretty clear.

Mashimo

Italy has solved the nuclear waste disposal problem. They ship it to Somalia or sink it in old ships. It's quite cheap as well.

account42

And that's already the commonly accepted solution for pollution from other energy sources!

otherme123

How much nuclear? The nuclear lobby "recommends" 10-15% of the mix, but when a country has that (Spain 20%) they keep asking for more.

Also... nuclear cheap? Come on, it's the most expensive energy source of the mix, except maybe peak gas.

Nuclear is big in France, has always been big and favoured. Still no "better research" and no magic disposal, after decades of investment. We are asked for religious levels of faith but they don't deliver.

notTooFarGone

> it’s cheap

yea after you build the damn thing maybe. Good luck with that. There is a reason 90% of new added capacity is renewable and it's not because of the environment.

caseyy

Considering the insane business and government bureaucracy in Italy, I can’t wait for this to happen within the coming centuries.

ZeroGravitas

They should focus on their modern renewables buildout, they've got half compared with Spain and Portugal (20% Vs 40%). With some existing geothermal and hydro in their mix they should be further along.

If you want to be cynical than this latest move could just be the same as Australia's right wing party's pretence about nuclear.

At least in Australia it's local fossil fuels they'd be burning not imported gas.

km144

The current US Administration does not understand the basic mechanics of American hegemony. I think Trump truly believes that we are getting ripped off and stand to gain nothing from our current position with the EU and other allies. But if you take away the incentives and guarantees they'll just turn their back on you and seek their own protection—it has to be symbiotic.

1I3zafs9

I fully agree that the US benefits from its hegemony and that Trump's statements that the US is getting ripped off are completely false.

But what game is currently being played by the Trump administration? He told the EU to be self-sufficient in defense spending, insults them and Ukraine to awaken their pride. He (temporarily) cuts off public ties with Zelensky. The press conference with the row at the end actually ended with Trump winking at the audience and Zelensky putting his thumb up. That part is cut out of many videos.

EU leaders scramble to put up the type of peace plans that they know will be refused. What if all is prearranged and Trump just wants to dump Biden's conflict on the EU, at least temporarily until everyone has rearmed?

Trump has said a lot, including lifting sanctions on Russia. But he extended the sanctions. He did halt arms shipments to Ukraine either to pressure Ukraine or the EU.

The EU should negotiate with Russia without the US, get a viable peace plan and drop sanctions. Then we'll see if Trump's behavior is more than theater.

fteem

Good.