US destroying its reputation as a scientific leader – European science diplomat
139 comments
·December 22, 2025thisisit
gcanyon
> the current WH has decided science has a bias against them
As the saying goes, reality has a well-established (left|liberal) bias...
meowface
All I can say is let us all hope this is merely the American decade of humiliation and not the beginning of the American century of humiliation.
klodolph
I hope it’s like what happened to countries like England, France, and Spain. You see your empire collapse but the country itself remains intact.
England “gave up” scientific and technological leadership during the 20th century. (That’s a tongue-in-cheek take on it, don’t read too much into it.)
paxys
It worked out well for Europe because the country that took over its position of leadership position post-WW2 (USA) was aligned with it in all ways (politically, culturally, scientifically, economically), and so (western) European countries could still enjoy all the benefits. It will not be the case this time around, because the next generation of innovation and leadership is going to come from China.
meowface
I think that is the most likely outcome. However, if the decline starts occurring too rapidly, I do think violent far-right (and perhaps far-left) paramilitary action could become a major problem, like in 1920s/1930s Germany. Tons of time spent lurking in far-right extremist communities out of morbid curiosity, and the spread of far-right ethnosupremacist sentiment on basically every social media platform, has me concerned.
estearum
The good news is those people are fundamentally absolute losers.
dragontamer
Yes but Spain, England, and France all had decade long declines that reversed. Except you know, at the end. When it didn't reverse.
We are witnessing the end of... something. Is it the end of the Roman Republic or is this the end of the Roman Empire?
Two very different situations despite being so politically fraught and full of change.
adonovan
> England “gave up” scientific and technological leadership during the 20th century. (That’s a tongue-in-cheek take on it, don’t read too much into it.)
Was forced to give up, due to the economic devastation of WWII, might be more accurate (though of course there were other factors too).
JKCalhoun
It might be what it takes though, 2nd place (if that), to get the U.S. to stop fucking around.
timcobb
Usually the opposite of what happens to a power in decline
meowface
Quite something to imagine 60 years from now history books (or thought-o-grams) may be written on Gamergate and a microblogging application and a reality TV host ushering in the chain of events that upended the biggest global power.
xmprt
To be fair, it was pretty much the entire western world fucking around before. Brexit was the first shock but I don't think the world learned many lessons from that. However a lot of western nations are taking the US as a cautionary tale and will learn from US mistakes. So 2nd place might be lucky at this point (assuming we're comparing large trading blocs rather than just countries).
djaouen
All I have to say is, don’t blame me. I am an American and didn’t vote for this bullsh*t. Leave me out when you enslave the rest of the Americans lol
embedding-shape
> I am an American and didn’t vote for this bullsh*t.
Isn't the whole principle about democracy and freedom that you all stick together no matter what political party/parties is in power? If you're just throwing your hands up in the air because your party isn't the one in control, what kind of democracy is that? The whole point is working together with opponents for common goals.
Otherwise, may I interest you in an insurrection? Pretty hot and trendy these times.
AndrewKemendo
Ideally it’s an end to the pax Americana which has been a unmitigated, measurable documented and unambiguous pox on the globe since 1949.
meowface
I think it's very likely counterfactually better than USSR (now Russian) or Chinese hegemony. Imagine if Al Gore had won 2000 - America at the helm while growing increasingly wary of violent foreign interventions seems like the least bad path for Earth. (I am not sure if such a path still remains.)
China ultra-liberalizing and becoming a democracy and then the hegemon could be an okay path but I am not too optimistic about the prospects of those first parts.
lm28469
The good thing is that we'll be able to fact check this comment in 50 years
embedding-shape
> I think it's very likely counterfactually better than USSR (now Russian) or Chinese hegemony.
Why is it either or the other? Just because the US happens to turn inwards and stop acting like the world police, doesn't mean that other countries suddenly start dreaming of world domination. China and Russian both have plenty of problems in their home fronts and surrounding areas.
throw-the-towel
As bad as American domination is, wnat's coming after is might easily be worse.
lbrito
Why?
China is the alternative. How many countries has China waged war against, toppled democratic governments, established puppet março-states and invaded since 1949?
sallveburrpi
Worse for US Americans probably - rest of the world? Not so clear cut
burnte
The US has screwed up but to state we've been nothing but bad since 49 is a genuinely revisionist take.
JumpCrisscross
I guess I respect you being honestly pro-war. Not sure that’s what everyone wants.
idiotsecant
It's popular to hate the US but I'd like to know what country you think would be better at the role of global hegemon. What country would you suggest would do a better job? Be specific.
lbrito
That's not a hard question. Any country that invaded, plundered and destroyed democracies less than the US has in the last hundred years.
adventured
The greatest era of prosperity expansion and peace in world history courtesy of pax Americana. The best decades - measurably - for humanity overall have taken place since the US assumed that role post WW2.
tsoukase
The post WWII peace was made possible due the existence of nuclear weapons. It will go on after the next global power takes over.
peppersghost93
Depends on where you were during those decades. If you're in one of the unlucky countries that didn't do what the US wanted you likely suffered enormously.
gcanyon
> courtesy of pax Americana
Can we back this up? As an american, I'd like to think it's true, but I'd take a historian's viewpoint seriously.
CursedSilicon
Henry Kissinger? I thought you died!
verdverm
It's not just science, all sorts of conferences and other group gatherings are actively avoiding meeting in the US to avoid difficulties for international travelers.
lisbbb
[flagged]
Rebelgecko
The problem is that the current government's idea of being a piece of shit politically includes any sort of dissent, disagreement, or mocking of the administration (see the people who have gotten in trouble for JD Vance memes)
CursedSilicon
I too, enjoy having my DNA samples taken and my phones contents downloaded as an agent scrolls through 5 years of my social media history for wrongthink against Doritos Flamin' Führor
throw-the-towel
But how does a person know if they are a piece of shit, according to CBP, or not? Might just skip the trip altogether and have less things to worry about.
Sharlin
That's a cute idea. Are you sure it's aligned with the reality?
verdverm
The reality of any extra difficulty does not matter, the perception and response are the reality we deal with
gcanyon
> ... and have white skin
You forgot that. It's not that black and white (pun fully intended). But it's not not that black and white either.
habinero
Not true. Border agents were always tinpot dictators, but they're awful these days.
I personally know white collar professionals who were turned back at the border for having a B1 visa instead of a TN visa for temporary work, while another person in their group was let through with no problem. They've been using the same kind of visa for a decade before this. And they were white dudes from Canada.
My Mexican friends said they're not stepping foot in the US for the foreseeable future, and I don't blame them. They have families and can't risk being disappeared and potentially killed because of some idiot border agent.
tsoukase
The US might remain a leader country in science and other fields for many more years. The problem is that fewer persons will participate at this (due to less research positions, company lay offs, replacing AI, tariffs and other similar reasons). And this is bad for the people more than the country.
deepfriedbits
What an embarrassing era for America.
lbrito
Sad state of affairs that this gets flagged. Any critical coverage of the American regime is censored.
drawnwren
"says chief EU research diplomat" -- leaving off half the sentence sure does change the quote.
joe_mamba
Also from the article:
"Speaking at the European Science Diplomacy Conference in Copenhagen, she did not elaborate on exactly how the US was wrecking its reputation."
For someone in the top position of EU's research leadership, she sure does seem to suck at explaining and arguing her statements, which should be the no. 1 skill of academics in research.
nemomarx
We have another article about the funding thing on the front page, so it's not a hard pattern to work out?
Angostura
I’m not sure it does. Particularly since the diplomat is outgoing
drawnwren
If you don't think a foreign diplomat's comments about a counterparty nation are potentially biased, we don't have enough common ground to warrant further discussion.
null
Swenrekcah
Nothing would please our enemies more than people not being able to talk to each other. This decline of trust is not accidental.
null
tensor
[flagged]
mikeocool
Does it?
zkmon
It sounds more like a parroting of a popular sentiment as a conclusion, rather than providing a data-based assessment. What are the numbers? What's the real impact? How much lead does USA have over it's nearest competition?
afavour
The U.S. Is Funding Fewer Grants in Every Area of Science and Medicine
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/12/02/upshot/trump-...
Far too early to know the exact long term effects but it’s definitely happening.
heironimus
Is there any metric saying what the proper amount is or is it always “more”? Is there a point where others should do more and the US less?
estearum
It's totally valid to say we don't have the money to pay for this stuff, but to frame this as "others not doing enough" is hilariously juvenile. We do this because it's good for our economy, our people, and our global industrial dominance. Not charity, lol.
jmward01
For the year ending May 2024, China released more scientific papers -in English- than the US [1]. We have been on a decline for a while.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_number_of...
[edit] I think that list is total, not just for a single year. Still telling though.
zkmon
USA has a huge lead in the deployed technologies such as chips, software and defence tech. Research papers might not be a good metric.
robmccoll
That's the thing about investing in scientific research, especially toward the basic science end of the spectrum - the real benefit is seen years down the line after technology transfer to public-private partnerships and private industry. It can take many years to decades to see the long-term benefit, which is why it needs government backing. It's not sustainable for most players in the private sector to invest research that is high risk (with respect to applicability), long term, or both. This also makes it easy to cast doubt on the value of research being done now or recently - we don't have a ton of concrete results to show for it yet. The best numbers to look at would probably be emigration / immigration of PhDs, papers published in top-tier journals and the universities associated with them, and where conferences are being held.
JKCalhoun
I suspect that's a little tricky to quantify, so we're left with anecdotal observations. I would be surprised if anyone looking around objectively could say feel the U.S. was gaining any ground.
kova12
Seems like a lot of people were getting a lot of easy money, and now they are unhappy.
lawlessone
>Seems like a lot of people were getting a lot of easy money, and now they are unhappy.
who? can you be more specific than your generic "scientists" response?
kova12
[flagged]
ahmedfromtunis
I recently read "Chip War" and it talked about an era (around the 80s and 90s) were american dominance on electronics (and economy) seemed in deep decline.
Japan was the next big thing.
But the collective efforts of some government agencies, academia and the private sector helped reverse the trend.
American dominance is sure not a given but with an almost century of inertia, all hope is not lost (especially compared to the alternative).
Boxxed
> But the collective efforts of some government agencies, academia and the private sector helped reverse the trend.
Well that's the key. The current administration is doing its best to sabotage science.
ahmedfromtunis
I get it. But what I'm saying is that the impact of a single misguided administration, while can be very devastating, is not enough to write off american super power status in research.
With appropriate planning and funding, the next administration can definitely reverse the trend.
layer8
The current administration is braking hard against the inertia.
ahmedfromtunis
Even the concerted effort of a competent administration wouldn't be enough to cancel a system that's a century in the making.
Keyword: competent.
adamhartenz
For a country thats whole personallity is "winning" and that lates losers, The USA is very good a setting itself up to lose every race.
robswc
What is US losing, relative to Europe/other countries?
I can't really think of many notable things to come out of Europe as of late... besides maybe covid vaccines but its hard to really say that when 90% of the wikipedia page for the "creators" is about research and contributions that they did (and could really only do) in the US.
cgio
You allude to it yourself in your example. People, from all over the world, were doing research in the US, because that’s the only place they could really do it. Now that this option is disappearing, the system will have to adjust and find another place. When that happens, US loses. Until it does, we all do.
robswc
People have been claiming "this is the end" of the US, for some reason or another, ever since I've been on the internet (since 2005).
This same sentiment was going around in 2016 when Trump was doing those ridiculous "bans" on immigration. Since then I would argue the US has only increased its influence and power over Europe. Europe needs help with the war and the US has already given immeasurable resources. Europe has almost no skin in the game when it comes to AI. Maybe that's a bubble but the point still stands.
Ofc I don't agree with what the current president is doing, but the idea that businesses and research will flock to Europe is amusing. They've certainly introduced enough barriers to ensure that won't happen.
websiteapi
It’ll be interesting to see how this shakes out in the next 3 years or so.
mlinhares
Countries shouldn't have outsourced all research and development to the US, hope they all notice this wasn't a good plan and that they all need to get back to it right now.
estearum
Countries didn't "outsource" it, the US competed for and dominated this extremely high value-added portion of the global economy.
It's a complete own-goal for us to give up what we fought so hard for.
afavour
It’s difficult to compete economically. If the US has welcoming immigration policies for scientists and will pay 10x what your country can afford then you’re going to end up with a brain drain.
Recent changes in the US have changed that calculus but you can’t create an entire industry in the blink of an eye (and, of course, those changes can be reversed at any point)
lisbbb
What the US needs first and foremost is a better future for its own citizens. We have abandoned our youth to unemployment and underemployment.
silisili
Agreed with this sentiment. The average American doesn't care about any of this. Why would they? You have someone working 40+ hours a week to just barely be able to afford a dumpy apartment, with no real prospects or signs of escape - tell them that the US may no longer be paying top dollar to import the smartest people around the globe and see what they care.
In order for all of this to work cleanly, you need the everyman taken care of and actually willing to participate and have hope for the future. Until then you'll just get a slew of likely underhanded populists, because they at least pretended to care.
afavour
I think you need to show the working a little on a statement like that. Some immediate questions that come to mind:
- how many US citizens do these labs hire for every immigrant scientist they employ? There are support roles at all levels, all the way down to custodian. What jobs are lost when these grants are denied? A lot of this work will (hopefully!) continue, just in other counties. Now those countries get to employ their citizens instead.
- are the youth unemployed compared to previous levels? Are these unemployed youths able to do the jobs the immigrants do?
The US doesn’t take in skilled immigrants as a favor to the rest of the world or something. Other countries educate their citizens to a high level then the US poaches them and has them contribute to growing the US economy. It’s the story of countless Silicon Valley startups so it’s especially surprising to see this sentiment on HN!
estearum
Youth unemployment is right around its historical average.
tensor
Countries don’t outsource any research to the US. US funding lured many scientists to the US but this has never been seen as a positive thing outside the US. In Canada we call it brain drain. Now we’re capitalizing and the US science failing to strengthen our science sector.
Long term science is not at risk. Science doesn’t need the US. This is, however, a big problem for the US.
exceptione
Don't worry, countries didn't do that. Academia is quite strong outside of the US. Still a loss of course!
When we talk about innovation, hn has a narrow focus on the well-known monopolies. That is understandable, because they are well-known brands, not some obscure innovative Swiss company in a critical supply chain. Reality is more complex than we discuss about, fortunately enough.
But the focus on the winner-takes-all is also a bit unhealthy, because monopolies are the anti-thesis of a free market. A free market needs rules to keep it free and fair. I know, that conflicts with the sponsored narratives--how else can you get people to justify gatekeeper siphoning everyone of in their walled garden?
Swenrekcah
It wasn’t exactly those countries choice, but since the US seems hell bent on sabotaging itself one can only hope the rest of the western world picks up this slack.
It is pretty much clear that the current WH has decided science has a bias against them and wants to curb it. There is no reason apart from that.
People still bring in bad faith arguments about private companies funding research or replication crisis. Sure these are big issues in current scientific research. There is no denying that.
While there might be an intuitive sense of less public research means money saved, there is no data or research (duh!) showing the impact of reduced public research.
From what we have seen so far this will make things worse - because for one private research is going to biased. It happens today but public research can counter that. Later there will be no defense. Like MAHA report making up BS sources using AI to push its agenda.
The irony in all of this is - the man pushing ivermectin during a pandemic - one of the biggest replication issue if not the big one - is telling others how to do research and people are defending him.