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While Eyes Are on Takaichi, Taiwan's Lai Is Quietly Redefining the Status Quo

While Eyes Are on Takaichi, Taiwan's Lai Is Quietly Redefining the Status Quo

2 comments

·November 21, 2025
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AtlasBarfed

This is interesting posturing, but ultimately I think the Ukraine drone war has made an invasion of Taiwan by China virtually impossible.

- Surface naval assets are extremely vulnerable to drones, so a blockade probably can't be maintained

- a marine assault will get utterly obliterated by drones as well as conventional military defenses

- urban warfare with drones is now even more difficult

- wars like this expose governmental corruption on a massive scale, so the mainland military won't want it to happen

- the Malacca Straits will be blockaded by a deep water navy (ours) that can't be reached by Ukraine-style drones, so China's economy collapses without oil for fertilizer, energy, and transportation

JumpCrisscross

> Surface naval assets are extremely vulnerable to drones, so a blockade probably can't be maintained

> the Malacca Straits will be blockaded by a deep water navy (ours) that can't be reached by Ukraine-style drones, so China's economy collapses without oil for fertilizer, energy, and transportation

Then don't use Ukraine-style drones. Also, blockading Malacca also tanks the Phillipines, Japan and Korea.