Skip to content(if available)orjump to list(if available)

Death of Michael Ledeen, maker of the phony case for the invasion of Iraq

jaybrendansmith

This is the last time I felt the power of the propaganda machine. (The most recent time was the 2024 election) It was so obvious to myself and my friends that this was completely cooked up intelligence. And yet the truth was not getting out, and had fooled many people with this strange groupthink, almost like a dumb, braying herd animal, where the collective intelligence was utterly ambushed and tied up in a sack. I don't like feeling powerless, yet I have this feeling that our voices have been smothered of late, destroyed by ridiculous talking points.

sigmoid10

If you didn't feel the machine in all those other cases it has gone full swing since then, that just means these two attempts were extremely crude by comparison (and they were indeed). But Cambridge Analytica has really ushered us into a new era of manipulation, where most citizens don't even have the slightest chance of perceiving how they are getting played by nefarious actors. And that was just the tip of the iceberg. Today we have stuff like the Saudis buying access to Twitter/X after getting busted for planting literal double agents inside the company. The level and sophistication of propaganda we see right now is unprecedented in human history.

princealiiiii

The same propoganda machine has been on full effect in Israel's war on Gaza with American support. As soon as the attacks happened, there was a rush of propaganda (40 beheaded babies, mass rapes) to make the Hamas attacks seem completely unprovoked to justify the complete destruction of Gaza. The good news is Americans are more questioning this time of why they need to be involved in this at all.

Veen

[flagged]

proshno

[dead]

CoastalCoder

It certainly is making me wonder about the supposed benefits of democracy.

If our votes, even those of our elected representatives, are so easily manipulated, then what's the point?

My question isn't entirely rhetorical. I'm hoping someone can talk me out of that conclusion.

jackyinger

To the contrary, if voters are manipulated it is not a well functioning democracy. It is a farce of a democracy, the subtle manipulation just adds a veneer of legitimacy because it appears to be a democracy. Those who are manipulating people are the ones in power, not the citizens.

Edit: I say subtle in the sense that those being manipulated are not particularly aware of being manipulated.

stormfather

I've never understood what the real reason we invaded was. I just know it wasn't what we said, or oil.

washadjeffmad

You'd have to understand everything from a century before the formation of the Baath Party to how Saddam consolidated power in spite of global efforts to destabilize the people of the region for Western gain from WW1 until the 1980s.

He was both a horror and a blight on a long spanning intelligence effort that intersected with the storied history of Anglo interaction with the "Musselmen" empire.

Long story short, you can't without a Muslim perspective.

dragonwriter

A US invasion, occupation, and political reformation of Iraq to serve as a lever for a pro-US series of regime changes in the Middle East were central ideas of the Project for a New American Century, from which the Bush Administration drew heavily for its defense and foreign policy officials (as well as VP.)

somenameforme

This is 100% it, but this goes far beyond just Bush or Iraq. If you ever want to understand what's really happening in US geopolitics, their paper, Rebuilding America's Defenses [1], is critical reading. It describes every motivation, goal, and purpose with 0 effort to fluff it up for public. This absolutely transcends parties as well. It is the position of the US political establishment. For instance Robert Kagan is the founder of the Project for the New American Century and his wife is Victoria Nuland who served as deputy head of state under Biden.

It's not easy to give cliff notes, because there's too much to say. But in general, this was at the time when the USSR had still only relatively recently fallen and the US was not only essentially the king of the world, but had 0 meaningful competition for said claim. The goal of PNAC, and of the US political establishment, was to take this scenario, expand it, and perpetuate it. So the primary point was to prevent the rise of any other power and to essentially dominate the world primarily through being seen as the unquestioned premier military power, which would entail dramatic increases in military spending, regular demonstrations of power including preemptive and unilateral attacks on other countries if necessary, and so forth, wrapped in a tidy package of 'spreading democracy and freedom.'

Most famously they acknowledged that all of their goals would be quite difficult without, in their own words, something like a new Pearl Harbor: "Further, the process of transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing event—like a new Pearl Harbor." 9/11 happened less than a year later, and everything went into overdrive, a trend that continued long after Bush was but a fading memory.

[1] - https://archive.org/details/RebuildingAmericasDefenses

HaZeust

Solid comment. The more I read into these geopolitical pretexts, the more I think the U.S. government didn't orchestrate 9/11 - but that they allowed it to happen.

rich_sasha

Methods aside, it is funny how quickly Republicans went from "we want to rule the whole world" to "we want nothing to do with the world and btw, foreigners get out".

brookst

Now they just want to annex Canada and Greenland, and hand over the US’s role in UN, WHO, and economic development to China.

arp242

There was the notion in certain (neo)conservative circles throughout the 90s that toppling Saddam really would be the trigger for a democratic wave throughout the middle east, kind of like an "Arab spring". This would benefit everyone in a kind of win-win situation: the US would have fewer enemies, and the people living there would benefit because freedom and democracy is good.

The "weapons of mass destruction" was kind of used as a pretext because they didn't believe such an argument would win popular support. It's somewhat abstract and rooted in a kind of ideology rather than pragmatism. They also genuinely believed that Saddam did have weapons of mass destructions, but just couldn't prove it. They would be found after invasion. Just a little white lie in the meanwhile.

That's really all there's to it. People get all cynical about "freedom and democracy", but that really was the goal, as a kind of "enlightened self-interest". After 9/11 this only became more acute: with the middle east part of the liberal hegemony, there would be no more Al-Qaeda (or they would be severely weakened).

Because they lied about the pretext, there was little to no broad discussion about any of this so they just operated in their ideological echo chamber. There was no one to really point out this entire notion was perhaps well-intentioned but also rather misguided and ignorant (to say nothing of the execution, which was profoundly misguided and ignorant).

moomin

But you see, this was a bigger crime than the invasion. Because it was ideologically driven on faith, no-one was looking at the actual facts. The US military could knock over Hussein, no problem, but no-one had any plan for what happened next. No state-building, not even a plan for how the civil service was going to work. Absolutely no plan to win over hearts and minds and not create the next generation of extremists. No-one checking prisoners were treated with respect.

The Iraq invasion was wrong, but the occupation was worse.

arp242

I'm just explaining what the thought process was that lead up to the invasion.

But yes, I broadly agree with you. Although I'm somewhat sceptical you can do this kind of state-building imposed from the outside in the first place though. But if you must do it, then the way the US went about it was clearly the wrong way.

amanaplanacanal

If I remember right, Bush ran on the idea that the US should not do nation building. So I guess he was just being true to his values? Maybe he thought Iraq would self-organize into something better.

Just another example of hubris. Then he got re-elected, which still blows my mind.

aeve890

This sounds to good to be true. Neoconservatives pushing for freedom, democracy, enlightened self-interest? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.

arp242

It's well documented. I'm not going to spend ages finding citations because this is a HN comment and not a scientific paper.

If you prefer to live in the psychological simplicity and safety of "neocons do evil because they're {evil,greedy,powerhungry,...}" or whatever then you're free to do so. But at that point you've also disqualified yourself from serious discussion.

bongodongobob

No one actually thought or thinks that. It's about control of that region. All they want are figureheads that play nice with American business. That's always been the goal.

4ndrewl

Keystone for the Project for the New American Century. The problem is that the people who write this dross think they're in the same league as Plato or Hulme or Rousseau but they're barely above Sesame Street levels.

Project 2025 is this generation's equivalent and will be equally as successful.

candlemas

There were a few reasons but an important one is that Cheney, Wolfowitz, and Rumsfeld were convinced by Laurie Mylroie that Iraq really had something to do with 9/11 and everybody in the administration was paranoid about another attack. Wolfowitz also felt guilty about the George H. W. Bush administration abandoning the Shiites. All of them (except maybe Powell and Armitage) already disliked Iraq, felt like the first war was unfinished business, and didn't need much prodding to go after Saddam but the 9/11 connection they thought existed gave it urgency. Ultimately it came down to Bush and he probably thought it sounded like a good idea and not for any particular reason.

Retric

Ego? Bush Jr trying to surpass his father isn’t particularly far fetched.

The signal war plans leak shows decisions for these kinds of things aren’t necessarily particularly well thought out.

djohnston

IMO that's unlikely. For all his faults he doesn't seem particularly egotistical. He was more likely manipulated by Cheney and the MIC and probably as shell-shocked after 9/11 as the rest of us. Dumb war; dumber pretence; not a dick-measuring contest with his dad.

Retric

I don’t think anyone runs for the presidency without a major ego, but we may disagree with what ego means.

motorest

> I've never understood what the real reason we invaded was.

Wikipedia has a pretty good summary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prelude_to_the_Iraq_War

iJohnDoe

Cheney. Halliburton. Money for everyone involved. Bush and Cheney had to pay back the cronies that got them elected.

melling

$2 trillion for that war. Next time let’s cure cancer(s).

Correct, no one said it would be easy. True we would likely not have succeeded, but millions more would be cancer survivors.

johnohara

2,000,000 miles of roads @ $1,000,000 per mile.

Think of that the next time you drive through Arizona on I-40, avoiding the potholes, debris, and life-threatening disrepair.

I-40 runs a scant 2,556 miles from Barstow, CA to Benson, NC.

ahmedfromtunis

I always wonder how much the war would've ended faster if Bremer didn't screw up the "transition" phase. So many lives would've been spared.

SilasX

Alternatively, for $2 trillion, you could probably solve cold fusion and synthesis of liquid fuels, making the Middle East's oil wealth effectively irrelevant.

arp242

Cold fusion is basically impossible according to the laws of the universe as we understand them today. You'd have to do some sort of major discovery about the fundamental physics to do cold fusion. It's unclear (and IMHO, very unlikely) this will ever happen. It's very much not a money issue, it's a "we need to wait on some Einstein to make a major discovery of an unknown nature" issue, except that we don't know if that's even possible.

daymanstep

That's assuming cold fusion is real.

motorest

> $2 trillion for that war. Next time let’s cure cancer(s).

Aren't there any positive tradeoffs in overthrowing the likes of Saddam Hussein?

somenameforme

There's a problem there. Many people reason about things by assuming that since option A is clearly bad, option B must be more desirable. But in life we often have this fun situation where we get to choose between a bad choice, and a terrible one - there is no good one.

Saddam was, without any doubt, an at-times brutal tyrant. Yet not only was Iraq vastly more stable and peaceful under his reign, but so too was the entire Mideast. That war set off a chain reaction of events that led to a complete destabilization in the Mideast and created a fertile ground for extremist groups to recruit, operate, and generally thrive.

So I don't think so. Like in most contemporary wars, the only real winners are the arms dealers, and the people getting rich off death and destruction.

motorest

> Saddam was, without any doubt, an at-times brutal tyrant. Yet not only was Iraq vastly more stable and peaceful under his reign, but so too was the entire Mideast.

Hindsight is 20/20, but as consequences go I think that making a mockery of the UN in general and it's sanctions and weapons inspection in particular was something that had far more nefarious consequences. Most of today's stability issues in the middle east are caused by Iran financing and supporting terror groups, which isn't something that Saddam Hussein would counter. Worst case scenario, Saddam's post-normalization rule would double down on this playbook. Gaddafi's fate and Israel's handling of Iran shows that this blend of terrorism is only curtailed by going after the source.

impossiblefork

The problem was that he was holding Iraq together. After he fell, we ended up with a situation where there are about 1/2 as many Iraqi Christians in Sweden as there are in Iraq.

Basically, Iraq went straight to hell, and whatever minorities etc. didn't flee got murdered.

I interpret it as something along the lines of Saddam Hussein's government caring about having a strong or at least functional country enough that they only wanted to kill Kurds and Iranians.

Baathists are better than sectarian madmen, and I suspect we'll see some kind of idiot outcome in Syria as well.

motorest

> The problem was that he was holding Iraq together.

Not really. He was oppressing Iraq and ruling it with a cruel tight grip, but any regime change takes decades to normalize. You don't just replace a nation's political class overnight and expect to a) not have pushback, b) the successors having it easy or hitting the ground running.

amanaplanacanal

Half a million dead for totally bogus reasons, and you want to try to find positive tradeoffs?

floralhangnail

In an alternate timeline, maybe he would have become more of a dangerous liability, but I think it would have been cheaper for the CIA to overthrow him in any case

shigawire

The CIAs track record here is terrible. It basically only succeeds if there is already a viable opposition that it can hand bags of cash.

It can't create regime change out of nothing, despite what it's detractors and its own propaganda might claim.

the_gipsy

Not much. Except for the oil companies. In any case the goal was not to make the world a better place.

agent281

Maybe? But it destabilized the Middle East, caused the migrant crisis in Europe, the migrant crisis caused a rise in right wing movements in Europe, it caused the rise of ISIS (lots of Iraqi ex-military), ISIS was involved in the the civil war in Syria, it caused a loss of faith in the American government, created a generation of disillusioned combat vets, so on and so forth.

I really think we're still recovering from the damage caused by Bush administration.

i80and

Are we recovering? The knock-on damage you list seems to be accelerating if anything.

vkou

Yeah, like killing half a million people, creating an environment for ISIS to germinate, grow, and perform unspeakable atrocities in both that, and a neighbouring country (with a little bit of fun terrorism in Europe thrown in, but on the grand scheme of things, the moral weight of a few hundred murdered Europeans pales in comparison to what they were doing closer to home).

It's never a bad idea to create a power vacuum by overthrowing a dictatorship and then utterly fucking up your occupation and handling of the peace.

It's not clear if any invader and occupier could have handled that part well, but it is absolutely clear that the ghouls running the Bush regime were completely incapable of it. That those architects are still part of civilized society, and didn't spend the rest of their worthless lives breaking rocks with their teeth in a chain gang never fails to boil my blood. They put the lie to every principle of freedom and liberty that western democracies claim to stand for.

Similar horrors were inflicted on Libya by the Obama administration in particular and NATO in the general, but they were smart enough to not even sully their hands with making any effort to occupy and nationbuild after the fact. And guess what happened? Also ISIS and also a decade of civil war, and while it's died down a bit, there are still violent clashes between warlords and a humanitarian disaster nobody gives two shits about going on in the background.

Under Qadaffi, Libyans weren't free. But they weren't hungry, either.

null

[deleted]

reptilian

[flagged]

flamingshorts

[flagged]

hackandthink

Jeff Stein smells like a spook.

I'm sure it's his real name, but it still sounds made up.

HaZeust

why not just go to /pol/ at this point with a comment like that?